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Offseason Rumors and Deals Around MLB


neveradoubt

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The Chapman fiasco can only raise Brittons value. Moving on though. Could we all live with Matusz/Worley as the #5 through May, if we sign Henderson Alvarez and he's ready June 1st?

I could. He's a TOR arm and has a killer GB rate. As in like tops in baseball GB rate.

I think more I could live with a Tyler WIlson, Wworley option not a Matusz as a starter option.

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The Chapman fiasco can only raise Brittons value. Moving on though. Could we all live with Matusz/Worley as the #5 through May, if we sign Henderson Alvarez and he's ready June 1st?

I could. He's a TOR arm and has a killer GB rate. As in like tops in baseball GB rate.

I wouldn't mind signing Alvarez, but he would be a Johan Santana type lottery ticket, not someone that I would pencil in as definitely getting a positive contribution out of.

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Sources: <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Orioles?src=hash">#Orioles</a> among teams trying to trade for <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Brewers?src=hash">#Brewers</a>’ Lind or <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Rangers?src=hash">#Rangers</a>’ Moreland. Also inquired on <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Braves?src=hash">#Braves</a>’ Miller, but no match.</p>— Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) <a href="

">December 8, 2015</a></blockquote>

<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

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If someone believes that, I guess I'd want to know what on Earth makes them think that O'Day is suddenly going to revert to his FIP numbers after beating it so handily for so long.

Well, I won't microanalyze that, other than to say that we saw Tillman and Gonzalez revert to their FIP last year after beating it handily over 400-500 innings in 2012-14. O'Day's entire career is 443 innings.

That said, I'm not the biggest believer in FIP, as anyone who reads my posts regularly knows. It is probably an indicator that O'Day won't post a 1.92 ERA over the next four years, as he did in the last four, but I wouldn't expect him to be as good at 33-36 as he was at 29-32 in any event. I think a 2.50 ERA and 5-6 rWAR over the next four years would be a very good outcome. I'd feel lucky to get that.

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