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Jacoby Ellsbury?


auzzy98

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32 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

But even when he does hit 30 HR he isn't valuable.

BTW, he's managed to hit 30 HR in a season 3 times in his career.  I don't think it is a "very realistic" to expect that in 2018. 

Steamer projects him for 30, Marcel has him at 28.    I’m not sure what “very realistic” means, but I’d say 30 is a reasonable midpoint guess, given the hitting environment the Orioles play in.    

I agree that even at 30 homers, Trumbo would only be of limited value.

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Ellsbury's OBP is no higher than Seth Smith's and significantly lower than Markakis's over the past four years. If the difference to someone is stolen bases, then I wonder if they have watched the Orioles play. Maybe the 34 y.o. Ellsbury in an Orioles uniform steals 5 more bases than the 34 y.o. Markakis or the 35 y.o. Seth Smith. But 5 SBs is about the most you could expect for Ellsbury as an Oriole and that is worth little in the overall. Don't do MFY any favor: let them choke on the contract or find another partner. Taking Ellsbury off MFY's hands hurts the Orioles more than it helps them.

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