Clay Davenport projects Orioles at 62-100

[Frobby]

Clay Davenport has projected the O’s to go 62-100.    Honestly, that would encourage me.    Individual projections are here: http://www.claydavenport.com/projections/BAL.shtml

Some highlights:

Sisco .717 OPS

Davis .662

Villar .725

Nunez .721

Martin .613

Mancini .746

Mullins .706

Stewart .737

Trumbo .737

Hays .667

Wynns .636

Bundy 4.33 ERA

Cobb 4.63

Cashner 4.94

Ramirez 5.01

Hess 5.42

Ortiz 5.36

Akin 5.23

 

 

[NCRaven]

May undervalue rookies.  Akin's ERA seems high.  Hays OPS low.  But nothing unreasonable, IMO.

[Eddie_Ripken]

Man. Those pitcher ERAs. Ouch. Not disagreeing. Just seeing it written down hurts. Lol

[Satyr3206]

Sounds about right. I do think there will be a few players that will over and under perform as usual.

[Can_of_corn]

1 minute ago, Satyr3206 said:

Sounds about right. I do think there will be a few players that will over and under perform as usual.

He does have Davis at 662.

[Satyr3206]

10 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

He does have Davis at 662.

I have no clue how Davis will do. He could rebound nicely or be gone by June. Neither would surprise me.

[Frobby]

7 minutes ago, Satyr3206 said:

I have no clue how Davis will do. He could rebound nicely or be gone by June. Neither would surprise me.

I’d be surprised if he rebounds nicely, depending what you mean by that.   .662 OPS as projected here would certainly be better than last year’s .539 but would still leave him below replacement level.  

[24fps]

I'll happily take 62-100 in 2019.  I'll be overjoyed if they avoid 100 losses.

[Satyr3206]

44 minutes ago, Frobby said:

I’d be surprised if he rebounds nicely, depending what you mean by that.   .662 OPS as projected here would certainly be better than last year’s .539 but would still leave him below replacement level.  

.662 would be better, I meant more in the .750 range. But again, I have no idea. Could go either way.

[linedrive]

But will 62-100 be bad enough to get the #1 pick?

[Can_of_corn]

Just now, linedrive said:

But will 62-100 be bad enough to get the #1 pick?

I don't think so.

[Going Underground]

4 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

I don't think so.

But with analytics it does not matter if first or last pick.We got a damn rocket scientist to take care  of this and make anyone a future superstar In Sig we trust. 

[Tx Oriole]

2 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

He does have Davis at 662.

I'm not counting on Davis for much. 

[foxfield]

13 minutes ago, Tx Oriole said:

I'm not counting on Davis for much. 

.662 aint much, so you're in agreement....

[Just Regular]

57 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

I don't think so.

He has Miami at 62-100 also so that looks like the key head-to-head. Only KC is within 5 games of that, though four others are 6-7 away.

Among the individual PT projections, Rio Ruiz getting a third of 3B from Renato Nunez and Yefry Ramirez over Hess for #4 SP were the most interesting ones.