Jump to content

Who would you not trade?


wildcard

Recommended Posts

Starters

1.  Grayson Rodriguez

2. DL Hall

3. John Means

4.Dean Kremer

5. Michael Baumann

6. Zac Lowther

Relievers

7.  Hunter Harvey

8. Zach Pop

 

Catcher

9. Adley Rutschman

 

Outfielders

10 . Austin Hays

11.  Yusniel Diaz

12.  Anthony Santander

 

Infielders

13. Ryan Mountcastle

14 Gunnar Henderson

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, mdbdotcom said:

Everyone available if the return is right. There are no untouchables.

Theoretically, I agree.   But in reality that is probably not true.   When there are young core players at the beginning of a rebuild they are rarely if ever traded.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Prospects are potential core players. Until they prove themselves in the major leagues they are not core players. But even core players can be traded if the return justifies the trade. The Rays traded several of their core players for young, mostly unheard of players before the 2018 season and everyone assumed they were tanking. Instead of tanking, they won 90 games. 

Any team that decides preemptively that it won't trade any of its best players is cutting themselves off from one avenue to new talent and success. That's just as bad a policy as the O's not signing international players. A team has to keep all options available.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, mdbdotcom said:

Prospects are potential core players. Until they prove themselves in the major leagues they are not core players. But even core players can be traded if the return justifies the trade. The Rays traded several of their core players for young, mostly unheard of players before the 2018 season and everyone assumed they were tanking. Instead of tanking, they won 90 games. 

Any team that decides preemptively that it won't trade any of its best players is cutting themselves off from one avenue to new talent and success. That's just as bad a policy as the O's not signing international players. A team has to keep all options available.

I'll bet that none of the players I listed are traded by the O's this off season.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

@wildcard Practically/realistically, I'm not selling a lot of guys, but your list is essentially backwards, IMO. 

If you trade, you want to get rid of guys whose value is higher than you expect their future value to this franchise to be and for whom you think you can get great value in return. Means *might* be a great example. I'm guessing Mancini and Mountcastle are not great examples, because despite their performances this year, their position value really limits what we can likely get back.

You keep guys whose value is not what you expect it should be. Givens is that guy, IMO. Castro too. I understand trading either of them, but only if we've given up on their FV. In that case, go ahead and jettison them, but don't expect to get much back. 

If you want to get franchise changing guys in return, you look at the list you made and see where you think you can get a great deal based on your confidential assessments of those players, which likely indicates some are over rated. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • They also haven’t announced the times, yet.
    • Well, I don't like to predict things on message boards but my prediction is we will not acquire two pitchers with a better Zips projection than Kremer. I would be more surprised by two than I would be by zero.
    • You can’t ignore how he pitched against Detroit and the makeup of their roster. He has more value than even Suarez if that is who we end up playing.
    • So it is different from last year? Last year the games were something like 3:00, 4:30, 7:00, and 8:30.   Have they said it will be different this year???
    • Me too. Driving 4 hours to have a father daughter date. Can't wait!
    • The discussion about Cle vs NYY is interesting. The Os always struggle at Cle and their BP is awesome but the starters are meh and so is the offense. I prefer to play NY. Worse pen, doesn’t run as much.  Not a bunch of contact hitters.  
    • Bautista, if he is back to his old self, would be a big addition. Dominguez and Soto have to improve the walk rate. They certainly have swing and miss, but at a significant cost. Cano can throw up in the zone and get misses, but he is used so often he is rarely sharp. He is used to induce ground balls, and the sinker is fairly effective when he is tired.  Akin, Webb and Coulombe are getting some swing and miss. They are all above average in swinging strike percentage, according to FanGraphs. MLB average is generally around 11.2% from year to year, and Akin (second on the Orioles behind Grayson 13.6) is at 13.2, Dominguez 12.4, Cano 12.2, Soto 12.9, Webb 11.8, Coulombe is 9.9 and Cionel 9.5. In fairness to Coulombe (11.8) and Webb (13.7), they are higher over the last three years. They have not been healthy for a fair amount of this season and pitched through some things that made those numbers dip, perhaps.  Bautista was 18% in the same period of 2022-2024. He would be 11th in MLB in 2024. No other Oriole is in the top 100 in MLB. Grayson Rodriguez is at #120. It should be noted that Andrew Walters is at 18.8, ranking 7th. He was our unsigned 18th round pick in 2022. All of that aside, I am not sure the pen is structured the same as in recent years. There may be some moves there. Or, perhaps it is like you wrote, and they focus on Soto and Dominguez making adjustments to having more command, decreasing the walks. Those two are getting a little expensive as well. I guess we’ll see.   
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...