What Will Be the Biggest Orioles Headline this Offseason?

[Frobby]

19 minutes ago, Luke-OH said:

I want to be clear that Steamer isn't equal to a team's own projection system, but forward looking projections are absolutely how teams are making these decisions. 

Seems like an obvious thing to do.

[weams]

27 minutes ago, Frobby said:

Seems like an obvious thing to do.

I saw that Villar was projected at 1.8 WAR for 2020. 

[tntoriole]

Not much baseball news for the  Orioles this offseason.    Headline?   No, maybe second page copy.  

[Luke-OH]

14 minutes ago, weams said:

I saw that Villar was projected at 1.8 WAR for 2020. 

So related to my earlier calculations, if he gets 10M in arb, giving him about 4.5M in surplus value or a FV 45 prospect by Fangraphs calculation. 

[weams]

4 minutes ago, Luke-OH said:

So related to my earlier calculations, if he gets 10M in arb, giving him about 4.5M in surplus value or a FV 45 prospect by Fangraphs calculation. 

Yes. All good assessment. 

[Frobby]

1 hour ago, weams said:

I saw that Villar was projected at 1.8 WAR for 2020. 

Personally I’d go with 2-2.5.   But 1.8 is not unreasonable.  

[UpstateNYfan]

9 hours ago, TonySoprano said:

On MLB Hot Stove today, they brought on Chris Davis to talk about his "exceedingly generous" donation to charity.

No, it wasn't the balance of his contract to the Angelos sons'  "Make Baltimore Great Again" fund.  They'll have to go back to selling pencils on the sidewalk instead.

Davis gave $3M to the University of Maryland Children's Hospital.  It's the largest donation by any Baltimore sports figure ever. Tip of the cap to Chris.  Anything to help out the littlest ones is tops in my book.

Very nice indeed, and glad he did it. He certainly didn't have to, but it is a PR move. 3 million on a 150 million deal, plus the tax incentives for the donation ends up costing him considerably less. He could be donating at least 50% of his salary, based on his performance...he'll still live a very comfortable life. It is certainly an indicator that there may be some "guilt" associated with his contract.

[NCRaven]

14 minutes ago, UpstateNYfan said:

Very nice indeed, and glad he did it. He certainly didn't have to, but it is a PR move. 3 million on a 150 million deal, plus the tax incentives for the donation ends up costing him considerably less. He could be donating at least 50% of his salary, based on his performance...he'll still live a very comfortable life. It is certainly an indicator that there may be some "guilt" associated with his contract.

Or he’s a good guy that just appreciates what he has and wants to give back.

[Il BuonO]

22 hours ago, UpstateNYfan said:

Very nice indeed, and glad he did it. He certainly didn't have to, but it is a PR move. 3 million on a 150 million deal, plus the tax incentives for the donation ends up costing him considerably less. He could be donating at least 50% of his salary, based on his performance...he'll still live a very comfortable life. It is certainly an indicator that there may be some "guilt" associated with his contract.

Cynicism rears its ugly head.

[Just Regular]

6 hours ago, Luke-OH said:

Steamer (the projection system I referenced before) has Calhoun at 1.5 WAR in 2020, so that's 12M at a 8M/WAR valuation making the 13M seem like a minor overpay. 

Always good to keep in mind that teams don't pay for past performance and Calhoun is 32 and had a abysmal 2018. 

I think Adell may have affected Calhoun's context there too.  

[Luke-OH]

9 minutes ago, OrioleDog said:

I think Adell may have affected Calhoun's context there too.  

Yeah, there are usually other factors other than purely money. I just wanted to point out that Calhoun wasn’t a data point refuting a 7-8M/WAR valuation, but a data point supporting it. 

 

[Tx Oriole]

6 hours ago, UpstateNYfan said:

Very nice indeed, and glad he did it. He certainly didn't have to, but it is a PR move. 3 million on a 150 million deal, plus the tax incentives for the donation ends up costing him considerably less. He could be donating at least 50% of his salary, based on his performance...he'll still live a very comfortable life. It is certainly an indicator that there may be some "guilt" associated with his contract.

That was a nice thing he did.

[Tx Oriole]

6 hours ago, NCRaven said:

Or he’s a good guy that just appreciates what he has and wants to give back.

I think he is a good guy. 

[sportsfan8703]

I’ll have to go with “Villar traded to A’s for Profar, and prospect.”  

[bobmc]

10 hours ago, Il BuonO said:

Cynicism rears its ugly heard.

Did you mean to say, "head" or perhaps "herd"?  But whatever - well said!