Low A, High A stolen base explosion

[Legend_Of_Joey]

https://www.mlb.com/news/stolen-bases-up-early-in-minor-leagues
 

Talks about the new rules implemented and the results so far.

Delmarva currently has 18 (5th in Low A - East) and Aberdeen has 26 to lead High A - East.

[survivedc]

I’m surprised at the disparity between low and high A. I thought the step off rule would make it significantly easier than the 2 pickoff rule, but that hasn’t been the case so far. I prefer the 2 pickoff rule between the 2.

I also like the larger bases rule, and it has had a smaller impact, but I think a positive one overall.

When does it become a good idea to steal more, run and win probability wise? Like many fans I’m rooting for more action and these are a couple interesting ways to influence that.

[MurphDogg]

I like the larger bases. Really, the first base bag should extend into foul territory for running out grounders to keep hitters out of fair territory on nubbers, so there is less judgement calls on runners interference.

[Frobby]

C Maverick Handley is second in our entire organization in stolen bases, with 5.    Zach Watson leads, with 6.  Both play for Aberdeen, which (as LoJ noted) has 26 stolen bases in 12 games.  

[Frobby]

4 hours ago, survivedc said:

When does it become a good idea to steal more, run and win probability wise? Like many fans I’m rooting for more action and these are a couple interesting ways to influence that.

The number changes slightly depending on the run-scoring environment of the league, but it hovers around 71%.    If the league is very high scoring, then you need a higher success percentage to justify the cost of a potential out   If the league is low scoring, then the break-even percentage goes down