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Angels Series


dystopia

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13 minutes ago, DirtyBird said:

Correct.

Going into Boston with Irvin and Flaherty slated to start will be the end of our chances if we don’t sweep these bums first.

Would this be the same Boston that lost 13-2 to the Royals on Friday with Jordan Lyles picking up the win to improve his record to 4-15?

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16 minutes ago, DirtyBird said:

Correct.

Going into Boston with Irvin and Flaherty slated to start will be the end of our chances if we don’t sweep these bums first.

You were speaking the same nonsense about the Colorado and Chicago series. The O's didn't sweep either of those series... And yet here they are, in excellent position to win the division.

Maybe you should take a break from posting in these threads for a while. Save yourself the embarrassment and let others have an intelligent discussion about the series.

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8 minutes ago, CallMeBrooksie said:

You were speaking the same nonsense about the Colorado and Chicago series. The O's didn't sweep either of those series... And yet here they are, in excellent position to win the division.

Maybe you should take a break from posting in these threads for a while. Save yourself the embarrassment and let others have an intelligent discussion about the series.

We would have a 4.5 game lead if we swept those series. If that were the case, this would not be a must sweep series.

You are right, maybe we should stick to talking about intelligent stuff, like how we haven’t played well in Anaheim, even when we’ve won series there whenever the team has been decent.

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18 minutes ago, Filmstudy said:

It's great to have Mountcastle back and hitting, but I'm still a little surprised this team has held up as well as they have against LHP.  The Angels will start 3 lefties in this series.

The O’s have a .764 OPS vs. LHP, .739 vs. RHP.  When a LHP starts, we have a .768 OPS, vs. .735 when a RHP starts.  So, I’m fine seeing LH starters. 

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I'm going to defend the "must win game" people for a moment, even though it's obviously ludicrous to expect the O's to win out with over 20 games to go (and TB isn't winning out either).

But losing 2/3 in this series would be one of those moments, should we lose the division by a game or two, that you look back on and start fuming about.

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35 minutes ago, mrbig1 said:

The Rays are hot on our ass. our schedule is tough the rest of the way.  Every game is a must win.

I don’t like to think that way.  I wouldn’t commit hara kiri  if we lost a game this series, or even if we get swept.   There are 26 games to play and they’re all important, but we are going to lose games at times and it’s counterproductive to think that any particular game or series must be won (until that’s literally true at the end).  We just need to play the kind of ball we’ve played all season and things will take care of themselves.  

Division winning teams don’t go undefeated against bad teams. The O’s are 41-19  against teams under .500, and that’s the best record in the AL against losing teams.   Clearly, they haven’t swept every bad team they’ve played, yet here they are in first place by 2.5 games.  

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We have 26 games left we basically have to play just over .500 the rest of the way and take 1 of the 4 vs the Rays in the series.  If we go 14-12 with the 1 Rays win we get tie breaker and the Rays have to go 17-8 to win the division.  How we get to that 14 with 1 Tampa win doesn’t matter to me just find a way to do that.  

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14 hours ago, dystopia said:

Game 1:  Rodriguez (4-3, 5.03 ERA) vs. Rosenberg (0-0, 6.43 ERA)

Game 2: Kremer (12-5, 4.20 ERA) vs.  Detmers (3-10, 5.01 ERA)

Game 3: Gibson (13-8, 5.15 ERA) vs. Sandoval (7-11, 4.19 ERA)

Rosenberg has pitched two games in the majors this year, both in relief.  He spent most of the year in AAA and made 20 starts there at a 4.95 ERA, which is good for the PCL, where the average ERA is 5.75 this year.   He’s never faced the O’s.  Rodriguez faced the Angels in May and was absolutely shelled, allowing 8 runs in 3.1 innings.

Detmers has been floundering lately, thtt throwing to a 7.56 ERA in his last 9 starts and covering only 41.2 innings in that span.  He hasn’t faced the O’s this year, but was effective in two starts in 2022, yielding only 2 runs in 11 innings.  Kremer beat the Angels in May while pitching just so-so, allowing 3 runs in 5.2 innings.
 

Sandoval has had a nice, consistent year.  He hasn’t faced the O’s this year, but allowed only 3 runs in 11.1 innings in 2 past appearances in 2021-22.   Gibson hasn’t faced the Angels this year but has pitched against them 14 times in the past, carrying a 5.94 ERA against them.

The Angels have a poor bullpen, carrying a 4.76 ERA (12th in the AL), though their 64% save percentage is slightly better than league average 62%.   Like many teams, the Angels are a team you can feast on if you get their starting pitchers out of the game early.  The O’s have a bullpen ERA of 3.52 (4th) and a league-average 62% save %.   Though the Angels have the slightly better save %, their bullpen’s 27-27 record is a full 10 games worse than the Orioles’ 37-17.

Offensively, the Angels aren’t bad, averaging 4.72 runs per game (7th in the AL), with an OPS+ of 102.   The O’s come in at 5.00 runs/game (3rd) and a 106 OPS+ (5th).

Overall, the Angels are like a wounded animal right now, and that can be dangerous.   Let’s hope Grayson is much more effective against them than he was in May, and that the O’s get to Rosenberg early and set a tone for this series.

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With Hicks back our team platoons are great again. Good time to give Santander a day or 2 at DH. I wish the broadcast would have picked up on his all time game yesterday. He went 3-2 his first 4 AB’s after missing so much time and no rehab assignment. Putting over 24 pitches on Gallen cannot be understated. As for the series, this team has Brandon Drury and Randal Grichuck hitting middle of the order. We should be fine.

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