Jump to content

Ryan O'Hearn Per Mewleski


Roll Tide

Recommended Posts

17 hours ago, Malike said:

Whenever they ask him on TV he keeps saying no shift is a big reason for his success. Seems odd that that is always in his head.

I thought this was a solid pick up before the season when you look at his exit velos and the spray charts. He hit a lot of hard shots to short to medium right field and the 2B made those into outs.

As far as to why it is an issue to him now, when it seems he uses the entire field, is because of approach in an at bat. A LH batter, particularly a power hitter like Ryan, wants to know that if they get a ball on the inner half that can barrel with their true swing and have a good chance of success. The approach is to look outside and react inside by getting the barrel out in front. If you do that today, it is likely a positive outcome. Before 2023, those guys either hit it out or made an out. So, just speculation, but I would think that added feeling of comfort allows him to stay on the outside pitch and know that he can handle the inner half as well. He wants to produce and win. It’s a results based business, and he is 30 years old. He knows this is his time do it or get forgotten. A truly inspirational story for me this year.

The sad part is that Kjerstad, Cowser and others may make him expendable this off season. That’s the business, but I really like Ryan as a player. 

  • Upvote 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 2 weeks later...

I think they've utilized O'Hearn perfectly. If he were an everyday player instead of a pretty strict platoon guy, we're probably not speaking as positively about him as we are. They do just a masterful job of putting him in the right positions to succeed and he's running with it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

From Roch

 

Quote

O’Hearn went 5-for-5 in Monday’s series opener against the Astros, making him the oldest Orioles player (30 years, 54 days) to collect five hits in a game since catcher Matt Wieters (30 years, 85 days) on Aug. 14, 2016 in San Francisco. He’s the oldest left-handed hitter since B.J. Surhoff (35 years, 329 days) on June 28, 2000 in Boston.

A few teammates beat him to it.

O’Hearn is the fourth Orioles player this season to collect five hits, tying the Red Sox for most in the majors and equaling the franchise record, according to STATS

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 9/9/2023 at 10:35 AM, Jammer7 said:

I thought this was a solid pick up before the season when you look at his exit velos and the spray charts. He hit a lot of hard shots to short to medium right field and the 2B made those into outs.

As far as to why it is an issue to him now, when it seems he uses the entire field, is because of approach in an at bat. A LH batter, particularly a power hitter like Ryan, wants to know that if they get a ball on the inner half that can barrel with their true swing and have a good chance of success. The approach is to look outside and react inside by getting the barrel out in front. If you do that today, it is likely a positive outcome. Before 2023, those guys either hit it out or made an out. So, just speculation, but I would think that added feeling of comfort allows him to stay on the outside pitch and know that he can handle the inner half as well. He wants to produce and win. It’s a results based business, and he is 30 years old. He knows this is his time do it or get forgotten. A truly inspirational story for me this year.

The sad part is that Kjerstad, Cowser and others may make him expendable this off season. That’s the business, but I really like Ryan as a player. 

I thought it was a solid pick up too considering the shift ban.  Career splits vs. RHP looked solid for a shot at a platoon too.  Add in a healthy dose of concern over Mountcastle's off 2022 for some playing opportunity.  And a pinch of OPACY's RF for some upside.  The contract was the insurance policy against a waiver claim too.  I honestly didn't think it was more than a depth play who had MLB experience but there was a hopeful path for improvement.  I didn't anticipate the .319/.345/.514 triple slash against RHP in 300+ PAs.  

2024 depends on what the Arb number is.  But there's a chance the Sigbot likes O'Hearn's risk aversion as a function of the cost-benefit analysis.  

 

On a side note, he's matched his career high in HRs in a season at 14 (2019).  But then he slashed .195/.281/.369...  13 of his HR in 2019 were against RHP in 309 PAs.

For Mounty, he had slim reverse splits in 2020 and 2021.  Then OPACY changed LF.  So I suspect the OPS gap of .100+ career and .400+ 2023 in Mountcastle's RHP/LHP splits dictates to Elias that there's a platoon need (and some off-season work to be done by Mounty).  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

35 minutes ago, btdart20 said:

I thought it was a solid pick up too considering the shift ban.  Career splits vs. RHP looked solid for a shot at a platoon too.  Add in a healthy dose of concern over Mountcastle's off 2022 for some playing opportunity.  And a pinch of OPACY's RF for some upside.  The contract was the insurance policy against a waiver claim too.  I honestly didn't think it was more than a depth play who had MLB experience but there was a hopeful path for improvement.  I didn't anticipate the .319/.345/.514 triple slash against RHP in 300+ PAs.  

2024 depends on what the Arb number is.  But there's a chance the Sigbot likes O'Hearn's risk aversion as a function of the cost-benefit analysis.  

 

On a side note, he's matched his career high in HRs in a season at 14 (2019).  But then he slashed .195/.281/.369...  13 of his HR in 2019 were against RHP in 309 PAs.

For Mounty, he had slim reverse splits in 2020 and 2021.  Then OPACY changed LF.  So I suspect the OPS gap of .100+ career and .400+ 2023 in Mountcastle's RHP/LHP splits dictates to Elias that there's a platoon need (and some off-season work to be done by Mounty).  

Impossible, I was told this year was a fluke and that’s he’s all but guaranteed to revert back to his .650 OPS self next year. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, dystopia said:

Impossible, I was told this year was a fluke and that’s he’s all but guaranteed to revert back to his .650 OPS self next year. 

Maybe he will if he were batting against LHP too.  Maybe he will if he goes somewhere with a bigger RF.  It makes sense to project some regression, but he's raising his floor for sure.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Roll Tide said:

From Roch

 

 

Wow, talk about obscure stuff. “Oldest left handed Orioles hitter to get five hits” - should put him in Cooperstown!  

Seriously though, O’Hearn is the Steve Pearce of the 2023 Orioles.  I expected nothing, and we’ve gotten a lot.  And watching him, it doesn’t feel like a one-year, SSS fluke.  It feels like the O’s acquired a talented player from a backwards organization and did a few things to unleash his talent.  
 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Frobby said:

Wow, talk about obscure stuff. “Oldest left handed Orioles hitter to get five hits” - should put him in Cooperstown!  

Seriously though, O’Hearn is the Steve Pearce of the 2023 Orioles.  I expected nothing, and we’ve gotten a lot.  And watching him, it doesn’t feel like a one-year, SSS fluke.  It feels like the O’s acquired a talented player from a backwards organization and did a few things to unleash his talent.  
 

I agree with this.  It could just be a career year, but his hard hit percent is 52.3 which is in the 95 percentile.  Exit velocity is 92.2 in the 90 percentile.  Heck, the only thing he's been really bad about is his walk percentage.  And I don't feel like he chases and it appears to me he has a good eye.  He just is aggressive with pitches he can hit hard.  

Ryan O'Hearn Statcast, Visuals & Advanced Metrics | MLB.com | baseballsavant.com

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I went back and reread my take on O'Hearn and while I saw the good EV's, I certainly did not expect a 29-year old to suddenly change this much. 

When you look at the offseason, which I thought was very disappointing after the "Lift off" comment made by Elias, O'Hearn is certainly his best pick up.

I was certainly wrong about him.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Posts

    • And that team still didn't win anything, and neither did any other team except Texas. Must be nice to hang your hat on something that has 29 out of 30 possibility of happening
    • You don’t he adds anyone?    This pen is not as bad as Texas was last year. They pitched well in playoffs.   You would think the team ERA is 12th in the AL. The playoffs start in a little over 3 months. It’s about getting there. Who is healthy and throwing well 3 months from now is what matters. 
    • From what I've been reading those are rare as hen's teeth right now.
    • By no small margin, the chances of a drafted player making the majors for more than a cup of coffee are significantly better with a position player (and particularly a skill position player) than with a pitcher. And the higher the draft position, the greater the differential. So if one were to craft a strategy around this observation, it might be to load up on skill position players that seem to have big bat potential, and use them not only to stock your own club, but to acquire pitching later via trade (after other teams have assumed the risk of vetting the pitching for you). This startegy also affords you the ability of "selling high" on the better seasons of your MLB position players, in later arb. To some extent this appears to be what Elias is doing (although he doesn't seem to have mastered the "selling high" part..  I would also suggest that he would be better served by attempting to acquire a larger portion of promising AAA arms for his stockpile of position players, than trying to acquire MLB arms. That said,  the strategy only works if you actually TRADE the talent proactively, rather than waiting for logjams to occur, and for your MLB talent to reach FA
    • They are too good a team for this to continue.  Right now it is something different every night.  They hit and the pitching sucks.  Pitching is good and the bats are cold.  Throw-in some occasional bad defense, 4 unearned runs last night and you get a losing streak. The 83 O's had 2 seven game losing streaks to keep things in perspective. 
    • The good thing about the current playoff setup is that you do not have to panic.  Back when only the division winners made the playoffs, you could not fall too far behind.  After losing 5 games in a row, the O's are still only 2 games out of first for the division and are 7 games up in the wildcard.   Elias has to wait over the next month to see exactly what the team needs.  If you try to make a trade at this time, you are going to overpay because the other teams are waiting for the deadline to hope a team becomes desperate.  You also have the issue of a most of the NL teams being in contention for the wildcard, not many sellers out there.  In another month, hopefully a few more NL teams realize they need to sell and that widens the trade market hopefully driving the price down for what has to be given up.  
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...