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Why I don't fully trust Catch Probability


Frobby

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52 minutes ago, Frobby said:

Statcast rated Mauricio Dubon's catch of Ramon Urias' long fly ball in the LF corner as a 55% probabilty catch.  Yeah, right....😏

They were talking about the hang time on KB's alternate Statcast broadcast.     The play was so dramatic because Cowser's pasture gives left fielders so much room to run.

I remember when 5-star catches got rolled out, it was notable "RF" Miguel Sano bafflingly had one or two, and as I recall they were quick reaction plays in very low hang time scenarios.

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