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By Sports Guy · Posted
We don’t have a current combo that is ideal. You have to go with the best possible grouping you have. -
By Moose Milligan · Posted
Yep, we're in agreement on the 70 rWAR threshold. A championship would help Manny's cause, though I'm not sure if that's in the cards for him in the near future. He needs a big moment on a big stage, too....as silly as that sounds, I do believe it matters in the eyes of some voters. Not to derail, but Whitaker is a guy that belongs in the HoF, too. I'm not sure why Grich never got serious consideration. -
I’ve always felt that 70 rWAR was the line between having to justify why someone shouldn’t be in the HOF versus justifying why they should. In other words, if you’re over 70, there needs to be a reason for you NOT to be in. There are 70 position players over 70 WAR, and the only ones not in are Bonds, Pujols (not yet eligible), Trout (not yet eligible), Rose, Bill Dahlen, Lou Whitaker, Raffy Palmeiro, Bobby Grich, and Carlos Beltran. Really, only Dahlen, Whitaker and Grich have no obvious reason why they’re not in. And I wouldn’t bet against Beltran getting in eventually. He’s gotten 46% and 57% of the ballots his first two tries. -
By Jim'sKid26 · Posted
Recency bias: "Is a common distorting effect within systems of performance appraisal. It refers to the appraiser assessing employee performance, not on work undertaken across the full performance management cycle, but only on recent events or activities that can be readily recalled. Recency bias can be countered by keeping a record of appraisee performance over the full period of work that is being appraised." https://www.oxfordreference.com/display/10.1093/oi/authority.20110803100407676 -
By Aristotelian · Posted
You're right, I shouldn't assume he's a hole. More of an unknown (11 career AB). Still, an outfield of Slater, one unknown, and one hole isn't exactly ideal. I think Mountcastle 1B/Santander RF is pretty clearly preferable to Santander 1B/Kjerstad RF vs LHP when you include defense. -
I forget which game it was (Fri or Sat) but he also pulled a ball foul down the LF line that nearly snuck inside the pole. So he was close to having 2 HRs in the series -
I think the "not improving" idea is buoyed by some recency bias. Year over year, we've got Gunnar .814->.910, Westburg .715->.815, Cowser .433->.756. Kjerstad, Mayo, and Holliday haven't found their big league footing, but all spent most of the year at AAA and did better there than they did last year. Milder praise, but still not a given. Rutschman is the only one of the group who categorically took a step back this year. I do think there's something to be questioned with how several of these guys (Cowser, Holliday, Mayo namely) have not just struggled but been downright awful in their first season of MLB exposure. To me the Holliday/Mayo flops have been the biggest disappointment of the year, or at least right there with the pitching injuries.
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