Does this team have a hot streak left in them?

[accinfo]

Give me two weeks where this offense hits on all cylinders (Chris Davis remains hot) and we continue to receive good starts from Tillman, Gausman, and Bundy and they can run off a 13-3 or something like that. Then they can go 500 with the rest of the 26 games. That gets us to 93. I am crossing my fingers that Tillman is ok.

[weams]

If (and it's a big if) we go with our current record at home vs. away...we're currently at 67-53 with 42 games remaining.

A 68% win percentage with 22 games left at home gets us 15-7

A 44% win percentage with 20 games left on the road gets us 9-11

Total would be 24-18

That would net us a 91-71 record.

Last AL East winner records:

2015: 93-60

2014: 96-66

2013: 97-65

2012: 95-67

2011: 97-65

2010: 96-66

2009: 103-59

2008: 97-65

2007: 96-66

2006: 97-65

2005: 95-67

So, essentially 91 wins wouldn't do if we're going by historical averages. It'll get us a wild card.

Now, if the club goes .500 on the road? 92-70. Still not quite there.

They'll need to steal a few wins to get at least 93 wins.

Now, this year there are *3* teams battling for the AL East title. So maybe 95-96 wins isn't required this year like last year.

So. 6 out of 10 does it though?

[LookitsPuck]

So. 6 out of 10 does it though?

25-17 would put us at 92-70.

So...maybe?

If we're talking division. If we're happy with a Wild Card...92 should def do it.

[Tx Oriole]

If you look at the Orioles this year, they've played under .500 ball for significant periods, punctuated by hot streaks. To wit:

7-0

9-12

7-0

5-10

7-1

4-7

7-0

6-10

5-0

9-13

In those five hot streaks, the O's were 33-1. The rest of the time, they've been 34-52.

I'm sure a lot of good teams follow similar patterns. In any event, it's been about three weeks since the team had a hot streak. I figure they are going to need one more to get a wild card berth, and two more to win the division. Do they have it in them?

Yes they do Frobby. Some fans on the board may think I am delusional but I believe the O's will win the East then play in the WS.

[mrpennybags]

They'll be in it to the end. That's all I can reasonably ask for.

[tntoriole]

Yes they do Frobby. Some fans on the board may think I am delusional but I believe the O's will win the East then play in the WS.

Not if something is up with Tillman. If he is out, even for a little while, disaster will ensue.

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

[VeveJones007]

That series in Oakland shattered my confidence in this team. I wouldn't be surprised if they put together a good run, but I'm no longer expecting it.

[El Gordo]

That series in Oakland shattered my confidence in this team. I wouldn't be surprised if they put together a good run, but I'm no longer expecting it.

That series in Houston back in may shattered mine. We've just been playing out the string since then.

[eddie83]

Obviously you want both but this team wins more when the offense is better than the pitching than vice versa if that makes any sense. Up to the bats.

[NashLumber]

I think they do have it in them. The only problem, as noted earlier, has been getting the hitting going and the pitching going at the same time. Lately, the pitching seems almost as streaky as the hitting. Almost.

"* After a run of seven straight quality starts from Aug. 5-11 with a rotation ERA of 2.93, now the Orioles have gone seven straight games without one quality start. In this latest stretch, the starters have allowed 27 earned runs over 31 2/3 innings for an ERA of 7.67.

* O's hitters have scored 21 runs in this series and 49 runs the last eight games. O?s pitchers have allowed 20 runs in this series and 46 runs the past six games."

^ From Steve Melewski's column.