Chris Davis 2019 and beyond

[Il BuonO]

5 hours ago, Frobby said:

Uh, are you mathematically challenged?

Apparently so today.

It's the new math. But I'm sure the point was taken. 

*OP edited for your approval.

[Il BuonO]

7 hours ago, bobmc said:

Have you nothing good to say?  Are you becoming webrickian?  

Hook 'em Horns! 

That was negative. How's this? I think he has a beautiful wife.

[bird watcher]

Obviously with his salary he will be given every opportunity. I do however believe there has to be some degree of awfulness/time being awful that would be just too much to over look.  What does that look like for you?  Say he has an identical year to last year.  Does he start all year?  or does his playing time diminish?  What if he is worse?  How bad would it have to get and for how long?  Is it even possible this year or does he have to be awful into next year?

My take is that as long as he is performing above average defensively he will be the starting first baseman all year.  Buck will stick with him longer than I think most here would want.  

[Ripken]

With Buck around, Davis will play a lot, no matter how bad.  I suppose he'll get some days off if he's batting under .200 for a while.  I'd start the year batting him 7th and see what happens.

[jamalshw]

He'd have to be historically terrible to lose his everyday spot. I think it's possible we see him sit some against lefties if he slumps to start the year, but for the most part, he'd have to be hitting .180 with a sub-.700 OPS into June before we see his playing time cut in any significant manner (even then, i think he still plays at least half the time).

Fortunately, I don't expect the above putridness to happen. I'm expecting (probably a bit optimistically) for him to produce a .800 OPS and hit at least 30 bombs. I think we'll still have a low average, but I think/hope he can at least bump his OBP up to .320-.330.

[interloper]

It's hard to yank on any kind of leash with Davis when the rotation could be on fire all year. Got bigger fish to fry than one guy striking out in the middle of the lineup.

[Redskins Rick]

No reason to knock Buck here, I think just about every other MLB team would do the same thing, given the same type of situation.

 

[bird watcher]

6 minutes ago, jamalshw said:

He'd have to be historically terrible to lose his everyday spot. I think it's possible we see him sit some against lefties if he slumps to start the year, but for the most part, he'd have to be hitting .180 with a sub-.700 OPS into June before we see his playing time cut in any significant manner (even then, i think he still plays at least half the time).

Fortunately, I don't expect the above putridness to happen. I'm expecting (probably a bit optimistically) for him to produce a .800 OPS and hit at least 30 bombs. I think we'll still have a low average, but I think/hope he can at least bump his OBP up to .320-.330.

Potential comeback player of the year numbers?  Would be nice.  

[interloper]

Just now, bird watcher said:

Potential comeback player of the year numbers?  Would be nice.  

We can't have these 25 homer years out of Chris Davis. Big boy needs to hit 30+. 

[bird watcher]

3 minutes ago, Redskins Rick said:

No reason to knock Buck here, I think just about every other MLB team would do the same thing, given the same type of situation.

 

I wasn't knocking Buck at all.  Just stating an opinion that his leash would be longer than many here.  I suspect there are some who would bench him/significantly reduce his playing time after a month of last year's Numbers.  

 

 

[bird watcher]

Santander hits like a rookie of the year candidate, Hays continues to hit like a beast perhaps improves, and Trumbo picks his game up and Mancini hits like he has.  

Perhaps those variables shorten Davis' leash if he isn't hitting.  Trumbo/Mancini to first/DH.  

 

Buck loves to ask reporters "who else" when confronted with reducing a poor players time.  Perhaps if he has other options he'd use them.  

[Redskins Rick]

1 minute ago, bird watcher said:

I wasn't knocking Buck at all.  Just stating an opinion that his leash would be longer than many here.  I suspect there are some who would bench him/significantly reduce his playing time after a month of last year's Numbers.  

 

 

No, but other comments made in this thread, sounded like a knock

[Beef Supreme]

If Davis is performing like he did in 2017, I could see him not starting as many games against lefties. For a player who has exhibited fairly even splits in other seasons, last year Davis slugged a mere .319 against left-handed pitchers! That weak performance helped produce a meager .618 OPS, as compared to an OPS of .785 versus right-handed pitchers.

[theocean]

Well, taking the bat off his shoulder every once in a while would probably help.

[webbrick2010]

51 minutes ago, jamalshw said:

He'd have to be historically terrible to lose his everyday spot. I think it's possible we see him sit some against lefties if he slumps to start the year, but for the most part, he'd have to be hitting .180 with a sub-.700 OPS into June before we see his playing time cut in any significant manner (even then, i think he still plays at least half the time).

Fortunately, I don't expect the above putridness to happen. I'm expecting (probably a bit optimistically) for him to produce a .800 OPS and hit at least 30 bombs. I think we'll still have a low average, but I think/hope he can at least bump his OBP up to .320-.330.

I expect him to hit <.200 and OPS < .700, but Buck will still bat him 4-6 for the first 3 months of the year