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How many games will the Orioles win in 2021?


Frobby

How many games will the Orioles win in 2021?  

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  1. 1. How many games will the Orioles win in 2021?


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Going out on a limb with 71-75.  There's lots of interesting guys.  And the team could get better as the season goes on, especially the pitching.

Edit:  I was excited to see that 20% agreed with me.  Then I realized that only 5 votes were in and I was the 20%.  ?

 

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1 minute ago, NCRaven said:

Going out on a limb with 71-75.  There's lots of interesting guys.  And the team could get better as the season goes on, especially the pitching.

Edit:  I was excited to see that 20% agreed with me.  Then I realized that only 5 votes were in and I was the 20%.  ?

As orange tinted as my glasses are, I couldn't quite get there. I put the over/under at 69 wins (nice!). Of course, I don't think I have ever set my personal over/under below the Vegas over under (64.5 this year). I am still an optimist.

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67-95.
 

Brutal division and pitching issues. I think we will see stretches where things are ugly and other times we are fun to watch. Just in general I hope the pitching allows the games to be competitive. I honestly don’t know about the arms the second half of the year. It could get worse or better. I hope to see some of the guys at AAA but we can’t assume it will all pan out.
 

I think carrying all these arms early will allow them to be competitive out of the gate. The lack of depth worries me as the year goes on.   

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Joe Trezza predicted 51.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-wild-episode-1675-season-preview-series-dodgers-and-orioles/

He also had the tidbit our DR complex is modeled on the Indians one, and is basically right next door.

I do worry a little about 0-21 adjacent stuff happening until some of the better players start to mix in, but at the same time 13 of the first 16 are against Red Sox, Rangers, Mariners teams I think we're competitive with even while we're handcuffing ourselves.   66-70 is my vote.

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3 minutes ago, OrioleDog said:

Joe Trezza predicted 51.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-wild-episode-1675-season-preview-series-dodgers-and-orioles/

He also had the tidbit our DR complex is modeled on the Indians one, and is basically right next door.

I do worry a little about 0-21 adjacent stuff happening until some of the better players start to mix in, but at the same time 13 of the first 16 are against Red Sox, Rangers, Mariners teams I think we're competitive with even while we're handcuffing ourselves.   66-70 is my vote.

He must think the team ERA will be. 6.50 

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I also went 66-70, the early schedule is a little more friendly and there will be a lot of fresh arms filtered in and out, and I think the team will be competitive again in august and September.

Side note: May 11th through July doesn’t look like much fun, except the privilege of booing the Astros for a few days.

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