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A dangerous time

Frobby

By Frobby
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sportsfan8703 Hangout Grand Counsel

sportsfan8703

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, Frobby said:

First of all, I think you may be correct that it’s not only luck that’s involved.

Second, the gap between Mounrcastle’s wOBA and his xwOBA has been shrinking as the season has gone along.  On April 30, Mountcastle had a .291 wOBA and a .393 xwOBA, a 102 point gap.  Now, he’s at .305/.371, a 66 point gap.  So, I think it’s fair to surmise that though Mountcastle may have had some bad luck in April, that hasn’t really been a significant issue in May.

Third, Mountcastle had a wOBA higher than his xwOBA in 2020 and 2021, so it’s not clear he’s someone who always will underperform his expected numbers.  
 

And we have a huge freaking cartoon wall in LF. 

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Frobby
Frobby

In every season, there are periods where you can sort of feel a slump coming on.   And this feels like one of those times.   Over the last 8 games, the O’s have hit .229/.289/.356, scoring 4.1 ru

glenn__davis
glenn__davis

Last week we were flying high off a sweep of the Jays.  Amazing how quickly the mood can turn. A June Swoon certainly feels imminent.  Or do I just have PTSD from 2005 still?    

Sports Guy
Sports Guy

It won’t get ugly because the pen is too good for that imo. Now, if Cano and/or Bautista get hurt or perform poorly, we could be in some real trouble but otherwise, I think they will tread water.

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