Jump to content

Witt Extension; Adley Comparison


Bahama O's Fan

Recommended Posts

I think the deal is a win for both sides. Witt Jr can still get to free agency at age 30. I would offer the same contract to Gunnar with one change. I would try to front load some of the money these first couple years with a signing bonus. We have payroll flexibility right now to offer 20 million per season over next 3 seasons.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 minutes ago, Rbiggs2525 said:

I think the deal is a win for both sides. Witt Jr can still get to free agency at age 30. I would offer the same contract to Gunnar with one change. I would try to front load some of the money these first couple years with a signing bonus. We have payroll flexibility right now to offer 20 million per season over next 3 seasons.

Repeat after me future money is worth less than money today.

Makes no sense to front load.

 

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Can_of_corn said:

Repeat after me future money is worth less than money today.

Makes no sense to front load.

 

Sure it does.  For the exact reason you state and for the very reason Rbiggs suggested it.  Let that compound interest get working for Gunnar right now.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

ZiPS loves the deal:

“How good is this projection? ZiPS would happily throw another $100 million Witt’s way, meaning the Royals still have a lot of room for this deal to be absolutely fabulous from their point of view. Note that ZiPS isn’t even assuming Witt is a +10 defensive shortstop; 2023 was only enough for it to believe that he’s league average. If I tell ZiPS to assume he’s a -10 shortstop with the glove right now, it still thinks $240 million would be a fair deal. In other words, liking this contract from Kansas City’s perspective does not require you to abandon all skepticism about his defense.”

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/royals-sign-bobby-witt-jr-to-franchise-record-extension/

Interestingly, at least for the next three years, ZiPS likes Gunnar better than Witt.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 2/5/2024 at 12:31 PM, CaptainRedbeard said:

First impression is that this seems like a pretty bad deal for the Royals. They bought out 3 free agent years, but at $30-$35M each and the price was guaranteeing $140M in 4 consecutive opt out seasons for the player at $35M a year. That guaranteed money with 4 opt outs is massive value to the player.

 

I didn't read thru the entire thread so apologies if this was mentioned but Kansas City has a ballot referendum coming up to extend a sales tax for a new downtown Royals stadium (and new or improved Chiefs stadium). They're under deadline in the next couple of weeks to finalize the stadium site so I'd wager the timing of Witt's extension is intended to drum support for the vote. A $50M overpay for the face of the franchise is chump change compared to fleecing the state (2 states?) for $1 billion.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 2/6/2024 at 8:13 AM, Can_of_corn said:

Repeat after me future money is worth less than money today.

Makes no sense to front load.

 

Understood but right now we have salary flexibility. Between arbitration and extensions our payroll is going to increase dramatically. Being able to negate some of the effects now will be important in the back end. Between Adley, Gunnar, Jackson, Bradish and Grayson that’s 100 million dollars minimum.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 4 weeks later...
On 2/6/2024 at 8:13 AM, Can_of_corn said:

Repeat after me future money is worth less than money today.

Makes no sense to front load.

 

Is it really wise to just assume that the US won't go into an extended deflationary period like we saw between the War of 1812 and the Civil War?  Sure, that's essentially unheard of since then, but maybe Elias knows things we don't. There's strong indications he's part of the Illuminati.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, DrungoHazewood said:

Is it really wise to just assume that the US won't go into an extended deflationary period like we saw between the War of 1812 and the Civil War?  Sure, that's essentially unheard of since then, but maybe Elias knows things we don't. There's strong indications he's part of the Illuminati.

Good.  Maybe part of the world domination will be O's domination.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • I honestly think there is very little difference in most the teams that made the playoffs.  The most wins was 98 wins and there was 12 teams with 86 wins or more.  It also seems that many of the teams are on the same page with scouting and analytics now hitting wise.  Years back you had moneyball which the A’s used before anyone else.  Then the Astros and few teams started with analytics and seemed to be ahead of the rest of the league but they have caught up now imo.  Now the move seems to be on launch angle and hitting homers by getting the ball in the air but that seems to be across the league.  Obviously some teams have more money and more talented players but the strategy seems about the same.  The main differences I see is in pitching in the playoffs which is bullpen games and using openers rather then a starter to go 7 innings and carry your team to win now a slight sign of trouble they are taking them out.  With all these short inning guys and pitching them in certain pockets we are seeing very little offense and the hitting with runners in scoring position has been awful.  It all comes down to RISP at bats and getting 1 or 2 big base hits in those situations.  We just haven’t been able to get those hits so far in short series.  
    • And we've seen similar with Kjerstad. Kjerstad might be the best pure hitting prospect in the Orioles system of recent years besides Gunnar. I want to see him playing everyday next year is possible none of this sitting him versus LHP more often than not. These prospects need to get their reps and stop treating them like John Lowenstein and Benny Ayala.
    • I don’t see Elias trading off prospects anymore at least top guys.  We have moved a few guys in last year and I expect they try to build that back up.  They should have money to use if they want to add talent.  
    • Blah, well Rob Manfred has to be happy along with Fox network. A Yankees-Mets World Series match up is still on the table and the Dodgers as well if they win tomorrow. I knew the Royals would get jettisoned by the Yankees without too much of a fight.
    • For Mountcastle …Maybe Chase Petty and Tristan Smith?
    • I’m guessing they ask for Mayo or Basallo of Kjerstad. For me …I’d give them Kjerstad since he’s defensively challenged IMO. Maybe Kjerstad, McDermott, Beavers, and O’Ferrall? 
    • 192 wins in two seasons is a pretty strong argument to stay the course.  That said, I wonder if the young players wouldn't be better off long-term if the scientific matchups took a back seat to the raw talent a little more than we've seen.  Overthinking something can be a thing you know.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...