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By interloper · Posted
I'm in shrug-mode for the rest of the season. It's just, we'll see how it shakes out at this point. The Orioles aren't a very good or healthy team right now, so... that's it! -
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The Tigers are on a roll, and an example of how seasons can turn on a dime in unexpected ways. In mid August they were 55-63, 8 games under .500 which was close to a season worst. But after a 20-9 stretch, they now have a solid chance of posting their first winning season in 8 years, and an outside chance of reaching the postseason for the first time since we beat them in the 2014 ALDS. They are 75-72 and 3.5 games behind Minnesota for the last WC spot. Pitching is the main reason why, even after trading some arms at the deadline. They are 4th in MLB in ERA, have the likely Cy Young winner in Tarik Skubal, and a pretty good bullpen. Their offense has been average, led by All Star Riley Greene. Kerry Carpenter has also been excellent-- he missed most of the season with a back issue, but is playing now and playing well. We currently have TBDs tonight and tomorrow because the Tigers used openers twice last weekend vs the A's. The bulk followers of those games are both rookies who have been effective in limited innings, some as a SP some as a RP. Then, we likely face another rookie Sunday, but one who has been more entrenched in Detroit's rotation. Looking at those games, here's my best guess: Eflin vs Opener/LHP Brant Hurter? (4-1, 3.00 ERA, 33 IP) Hurter threw 5.1 IP, 1 ER, 3 K as a follower last weekend Burnes vs Opener/RHP Ty Madden? (1-0, 2.57 ERA, 14 IP) Madden threw 5 IP, 1 ER, 7 K as a follower last weekend Povich vs RHP Keider Montero (5-6, 4.88 ERA, 83 IP) Montero threw a complete game, 3-hit shutout against Colorado on Tuesday A lot of the Tigers hot run has come against cellar dwellers. In their 20-9 stretch, they're 1-2 in series against current playoff teams. (Beat NYY, lost to CHC and SDP.) Hopefully we can stamp out some of their momentum, but facing three straight rookie SPs who are running hot lately is a bit spooky. -
One of the unique and weird things about Clutch Cargo was it entirely animated except that the mouths were video of actual moving human mouths. It made for a very strange look. -
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By bpilktree67 · Posted
There were men on 1st and 3rd with one out O’Neil hits a homer 12% of the time vs lefties which is what they would have been needed to win the game. A single just puts the winning run on 2nd maybe third most likely in Fenway a double won’t score him with the wall unless he hits it the other way which he doesn’t do. As good as he is he still just gets a hit 33% of the time Yoshida even though he doesn’t hit well vs them doesn’t strike out and he has 5 GIDP in 385 plate which ranks him 155th out of 178 qualified hitters with 400 at bats. So the chances of getting a double play are very slim. In order to win the game you have these scenarios and percentage based on splits. 1 O’Neil to hit a homer 12% 2. O’neil to get a hit 32% and Yoshida get a hit 20%(30% if Refsynder pinch hits) or Jansen to get a hit 25% 3. Walk O’Neil 20% Yoshida gets a hit or 25% Jansen gets a hit So statistically it shows these percentages for Boston to win Pitch to O’Neil and he homers 12% Pitch to O’Neil and they get two hits to win 14% Walk him and face Yoshida and Jansen and one of them get a hit 22% That is without factoring in wild pitch walk or an error which makes walking him a worse decision. -
By Moose Milligan · Posted
That's how everyone should be looking at it. Yet, inexplicably, there are people here who think we should have more wins because...Hyde.
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