Jump to content

Adley's health this season


accinfo

Recommended Posts

16 hours ago, DirtyBird said:

Isn’t this saying -14 Swing Runs in the shadow?

That chart on the right is confusing AF. I see -14 swing runs in the shadow and -13 runs on take but the chart on the left says -16 runs total in the shadow. I dunno. 

I do know it backs up what we show with our eyes and that he missed or took way too many hittable pitches this year.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Tony-OH changed the title to Adley's health this season
6 minutes ago, Tony-OH said:

That chart on the right is confusing AF. I see -14 swing runs in the shadow and -13 runs on take but the chart on the left says -16 runs total in the shadow. I dunno. 

I do know it backs up what we show with our eyes and that he missed or took way too many hittable pitches this year.

I think green bar above the color coded line is Swing and the brown bar below the color coded line is Take. So data from each zone straddles its color coded line.

So he was bad when he took pitches in the heart, and bad when he swung at them in the shadow.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, DirtyBird said:

I think green bar above the color coded line is Swing and the brown bar below the color coded line is Take. So data from each zone straddles its color coded line.

So he was bad when he took pitches in the heart, and bad when he swung at them in the shadow.

Forget the value for a second since they don't add up from the chart on the right to the chart on the left. Just look at how much less he swings at pitches in the heart of the zone. He swings at 10% less pitches than the major league average in the heart of the zone where most of the damage is done. He actually swang at 3% more pitches than major league average on chase, so not sure how he was worth 22 more runs unless he did more damage than others in that area.

image.png.e3124411ac1e1bd07782fb4f3c7fa135.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • We no longer the little sisters of the poor. I can understand us maybe not outbidding the Dodgers and maybe the Mets for a top FA. But the rest of those teams mentioned? We should be right there with any of them. Our ownership groups pockets go just as deep if not deeper.
    • Forget the value for a second since they don't add up from the chart on the right to the chart on the left. Just look at how much less he swings at pitches in the heart of the zone. He swings at 10% less pitches than the major league average in the heart of the zone where most of the damage is done. He actually swang at 3% more pitches than major league average on chase, so not sure how he was worth 22 more runs unless he did more damage than others in that area.
    • You're being obtuse.  He would have had the job for good if he had played reasonably well.  He looked completely overmatched in those first 30 AB's so they rightly sent him down.
    • I think dropping the cutter was a big development for him. He used that a fair amount (15%) through the end of his ML stint in July, but then they totally shelved it after that. Seems he replaced it primarily with more use of the sweeper, which proved to be a more effective pitch. After he came back up in August, he had a 4.25 ERA and a 3.47 FIP, which are both very solid numbers for a rookie starter. He did that against a pretty tough slate of opponents, including BOS (x2), DET (x2), LAD, HOU, and MIN.  More specifically, he had a 6.27 xFIP against RHHs up until August, and the cutter was one of his weapons against them. After coming back up (and discarding the cutter), he had a 3.82 xFIP against RHHs. That’s a game changer, and the next step is probably getting that changeup polished up to be the other weapon against righties.
    • I think green bar above the color coded line is Swing and the brown bar below the color coded line is Take. So data from each zone straddles its color coded line. So he was bad when he took pitches in the heart, and bad when he swung at them in the shadow.
    • Ward is a good option because he’s still playable against RHP’s and is decent defensively. He K’d a lot this year but he doesn’t chase much and his whiff rate is fine. Not sure if he’s available, but Lars Nootbar would be a great option. He’s LH, but he doesn’t chase, doesn’t whiff, walks a ton, is a decent fielder, and is almost as good against LHP’s as RHP’s. He would be a perfect lead off option to allow Gunnar to hit 3rd. 
    • Agree. Eflin and Grayson are likely to miss some time on the IL with something hopefully minor. Suarez is 35 and who knows. No guarantee that Bradish and Wells are options. 
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...