Jump to content

Who Stays and Who Goes Early Guess


Carllamy

Recommended Posts

Don't Know: Coumbe and Suarez. Both are old, but both are relatively cheap and hope that they might produce at least something close to what they did this year isn't too farfetched.

Stays: Cano, Dominguez, Eflin, Kremer, Povich, Akin (cheap), Selby (cheap), Soto, Webb, Rutschman, Holiday, Urias, Westburg, Cowser, Kjerstad, Mullins, Bradish, Wells, Rodriguez.

Gone: Burnes, Perez, McCann, Mountcastle, O'Hearn, Rivera, Santander, Slater, Means, and the "Did he play on this team" winner Burch Smith.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I wouldn't mind keeping Perez and he shouldn't cost much. Burnes I'd love to keep but not going to happen, the rest are fine to leave. I really want them to focus on speed and more athleticism. Being able to go 1st to 3rd on singles is huge, along with stolen bases to be able to produce runs in other ways besides HRs.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Carllamy said:

Don't Know: Coumbe and Suarez. Both are old, but both are relatively cheap and hope that they might produce at least something close to what they did this year isn't too farfetched.

Stays: Cano, Dominguez, Eflin, Kremer, Povich, Akin (cheap), Selby (cheap), Soto, Webb, Rutschman, Holiday, Urias, Westburg, Cowser, Kjerstad, Mullins, Bradish, Wells, Rodriguez.

Gone: Burnes, Perez, McCann, Mountcastle, O'Hearn, Rivera, Santander, Slater, Means, and the "Did he play on this team" winner Burch Smith.

DC is definitely back.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think it’s pretty obvious that they need another TOR starter. I’d pencil Rodriguez, Eflin, Kremer, and an external 1-3 SP in. The 5th spot is up for grabs. The bullpen and position player decisions should be a lot more interesting. 

For the pen, Bautista should be back but they should add another backend arm. I would let Soto or Perez go and would lean towards keeping Soto. They both have control issues but Soto has better stuff and gets more K’s. The bullpen looks like they will be decent next year, especially if they add another external piece. 

 

Bautista

Coulombe 

*FA Signing/Trade*

Cano

Dominguez

Webb

Soto/Perez

Akin

 

Their lineup is extremely LHH heavy right now. They need to add a starting caliber OF’er (along with keeping Slater or adding a RHH OF bench piece). Elias said that 1B is a viable option for Mayo. That clearly puts Mountcastle’s spot in jeopardy and is probably good news for O’Hearn. I don’t know if Kjerstad and Mayo can coexist on the same roster with their defensive limitations. I would not be surprised to see Kjerstad dealt. Keeping him as the everyday RF’er likely means 2 of Cowser/Mullins/Kjerstad are playing every day against LHP’s too, and you’re getting terrible defense in RF. 

So pretty much, I think Holliday replaces Urias’ spot in the lineup and at 2B, and Mayo takes Mountcastle’s role. Slater is fine as a 4th OF’er but they need to add a starting RF that is a MOO bat and ideally RH. Kjerstad chases more, whiffs more, and will hit for less power than Santander while still being bad defensively. They need a calming MOO presence that will give them professional AB’s, and while he’s good, he’s not that. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, LGOrioles said:

I think it’s pretty obvious that they need another TOR starter. I’d pencil Rodriguez, Eflin, Kremer, and an external 1-3 SP in. The 5th spot is up for grabs. The bullpen and position player decisions should be a lot more interesting. 

For the pen, Bautista should be back but they should add another backend arm. I would let Soto or Perez go and would lean towards keeping Soto. They both have control issues but Soto has better stuff and gets more K’s. The bullpen looks like they will be decent next year, especially if they add another external piece. 

 

Bautista

Coulombe 

*FA Signing/Trade*

Cano

Dominguez

Webb

Soto/Perez

Akin

 

Their lineup is extremely LHH heavy right now. They need to add a starting caliber OF’er (along with keeping Slater or adding a RHH OF bench piece). Elias said that 1B is a viable option for Mayo. That clearly puts Mountcastle’s spot in jeopardy and is probably good news for O’Hearn. I don’t know if Kjerstad and Mayo can coexist on the same roster with their defensive limitations. I would not be surprised to see Kjerstad dealt. Keeping him as the everyday RF’er likely means 2 of Cowser/Mullins/Kjerstad are playing every day against LHP’s too, and you’re getting terrible defense in RF. 

So pretty much, I think Holliday replaces Urias’ spot in the lineup and at 2B, and Mayo takes Mountcastle’s role. Slater is fine as a 4th OF’er but they need to add a starting RF that is a MOO bat and ideally RH. Kjerstad chases more, whiffs more, and will hit for less power than Santander while still being bad defensively. They need a calming MOO presence that will give them professional AB’s, and while he’s good, he’s not that. 

What does MOO mean?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I see almost zero chance that Dominguez isn’t brought back. He was their highest leverage reliever once he was acquired. He threw 24.1 IP total, with an 11.2 K/9 rate and a 3.73 ERA. They need more arms like him. Having him in the 7th or 8th inning in front of Bautista is a luxury. He’s also their only reliever with playoff success.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

59 minutes ago, Carllamy said:

Don't Know: Coumbe and Suarez. Both are old, but both are relatively cheap and hope that they might produce at least something close to what they did this year isn't too farfetched.

Stays: Cano, Dominguez, Eflin, Kremer, Povich, Akin (cheap), Selby (cheap), Soto, Webb, Rutschman, Holiday, Urias, Westburg, Cowser, Kjerstad, Mullins, Bradish, Wells, Rodriguez.

Gone: Burnes, Perez, McCann, Mountcastle, O'Hearn, Rivera, Santander, Slater, Means, and the "Did he play on this team" winner Burch Smith.

I don't see why we wouldn't want Coulombe back.

I am unclear whether Suarez is a free agent. If we have control we should bring him back as well. 

I think there is enough uncertainty with Mayo, both offensively and defensively, that we should keep one of O'Hearn and Mountcastle. As I said on another thread, O'Hearn has one of the lowest K rates on the team. He showed up decently in playoffs (1 for 2 with pinch hit BB). However, Mountcastle is better defensively. 

I think we should nontender one of Perez and Soto. Soto is more expensive but I think he is better. Would like to keep him. 

I could see Slater coming back. He played well and we probably need two RHB in the outfield. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This would be external and not sure if he’s available, but Lars Nootbar would be a good add. Upgrade defensively, low chase and whiff rate, high OBP. They need a RHH and he’s a lefty, but he does not have major splits. A MOO bat would be nice but his skill set and approach is probably more needed. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think you shop Mullins. He should have some value on the trade market with team looking to contend next year. Maybe try to get a decent RH 4th OF type w/ some speed and bat to ball skills and team control.

Then try to get Bradfield on track to come up in the second half of the season.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Posts

    • We played Santander in RF most of the year, and they aren't that different defensively.  We can play Soto there.  He gets a decent crutch out there because of the scoreboard as long as he doesn't butcher wall bounces. I'll take his .900-.950 OPS and minimal platoon splits and live with the glove.  Worst case scenario we find a RHB defensive OF like Slater and put him at DH against lefties.  But that's perfectly fine by me.  He'll get what, 10-480?  Maybe 12/500-520 if he wants a longer deal?  (I'm talking present value here, he obviously might do a Shohei deal and take a ton of deferred money, but the effective AAV of that one is 46 million right?)  Regardless I think he's got a decent shot to earn most of that contract in the first 5 years.  If he opts out after 3, we just let him walk; that's like the best case scenario for us.
    • Bro trust me. I hope he was dealing with something serious. Because we are in BIG BIG trouble if he was healthy these last few months.
    • I didn't say they would be. In that (admittedly, worst case) scenario though, those five games do become a big part of the legacy of his tenure here. That's just how it works, again, fairly or not. I'm not calling for anyone to be fired, I'm just saying that the entire point of all this is to win in the post-season, and if he can't achieve that, then that failure is going to dim his other accomplishments. 
    • 1. I don't think for a second that Adley Rutschman doesn't care or is not a "winner." He was a big reason the culture changed at the major league level. 2. The bat speed chart that SG showed tells me its something more than wear and tear. 26-year old catchers typically don't wear and tear down in July, especially after the team was already keeping him fresher than in years past by DHing more than the past. 3. I don't think it was an "injury" per se, but something was bothering him physically. He lost strength, stamina, and just looked worn down the second half of the season. I'm not going to speculate what was going on, but there's definitely something more than normal wear and tear. 4. Saying that, Elias and Hyde may not know because if the players keeps saying he's fine, it's not like they are going to scan his body or make him take blood tests. Basically, I don't think Elias is "lying" to anyone when he said he thinks Adley was just worn down. I don't think Elias or Hyde knew why Adley was not performing so they went with the worn down excuse. As pointed out, much older and bigger catcher like Perez were just fine in September/October. So what does all this mean for the future? That's really the question. No way Adley just forgot how to hit in the middle of a season or lost bat speed because he was "worn down". Maybe it was a combination of things this year on and off the field that limited his effectiveness, but I also think the mental part of the game was getting to him as his struggles continued for longer than anytime in his life. For some reason, he took way too many hittable pitches which made him one of the worst "in the zone" hitters by run value. Rutschman had a -13 "take runs" in the heart of the plate and -14 "take runs" in the shadow. He was outstanding in the chase and waste areas but those take runs in the heart and shadow show that he's not aggressive enough on hittable pitches. We saw that many times this year including in these two games where Adley watched very hittable pitches on 2-0 go by or fouled off. The question is why? I doubt it was because he was tired or worn out.  
    • Adley himself said he was working through some things, which is clearly code for "I was hurt."  He had a documented low back issue that avoided the IL but caused him to miss a couple games, and was hit on the hand while catching which coincided with a massive rest-of-year slump.  I am not buying that he wasn't banged up.
    • Hey Sportsguy, I have a question for you. How much WAR do we need as a team to win a playoff series?
    • Adley had no injuries. Elias had said, Hyde had said it and Adley himself has said it. I get it. It’s a defense mechanism. Hoping that a player is hurt when they suck. And I didn’t say frat boy. I said fat boy. Which he is. You shouldn’t overweight as a 25 year old superstar athlete.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...