The only thing I see worse with Adley this season is his caught stealing% has declined from 31% in 2022 to 23% this season. Now some of this can be explained by the bases being made bigger, but the MLB caught stealing% went from 25% in 2022 to 21% this year.
Adley was 24% better than the league average last season at throwing out base stealers compared to only 9.5% better this year.
He is weighted down too much from carrying the team on his back?
Seriously though, I personally think he’s been very good defensively. Eye test anyway.
I agree the throws on stolen base attempts have not looked good in some cases. But most of the bad throws have seem rushed. IMO
Adley Rutschman is having an excellent year, 1.9 rWAR, 1.8 fWAR, on pace for around 5.2 -5.5 WAR, depending which flavor you prefer. That’s very good, but Adley was worth 5+ WAR last year in only 3/4 of a season, despite offensive numbers not as good as this year. So, is Adley playing worse defense this year?
Well, statistically, he is. Last year he allowed 23 wild pitches; this year, in less than half the number of games, he’s allowed 18. Statcast had him at 18 blocks above average last year, and 0 this year. Last year, he threw out 31% of runners who tried to steal (25% was league average); this year, he’s at 23% (21% is league average). And, runners are testing him much more often; he’s almost allowed as many steals this year (23) as all last year (25). As to pitch framing, Fangraphs had him at +9.1 last year; he’s at -0.4 this year. Statcast had him at +4 last year and -1 this year.
So, what do you make of it? Have you noticed Adley looking worse on defense this year? Honestly, I haven’t, except that he’s bounced quite a few throws to 2B in his rush to get rid of the ball quickly. I can’t say I’ve noticed any slippage in his blocking or framing, but the numbers say otherwise.
Don’t know why but I’ve never been a big fan of Givens. Yes he had a few good years for us back in the day when we sucked. He was really our only consistent reliever for a couple years. Yes he’s strikes out a good number of hitters. He has good movement on his pitches but also walks a lot. Not sure he should be thrusted into the setup role behind Cano. I think Baker should be that guy if he doesn’t get over used.
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