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Mancini talk, 2017

weams

By weams
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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

Posted
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2 minutes ago, Babypowder said:

He has hit 20 fly balls in his MLB career, 10 of them have gone over the wall. At AAA, he had a 12.5% HR/FB rate. I'm going out on a limb to say it's probably not sustainable and chalk it up totally to small sample size... for now. 

The thing is, it's not like these homers have been just barely over the fence.    I don't expect Mancini to hit 35 bombs as he's on pace to do, but when he gets hold of a pitch, it's going to travel.   

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Can_of_corn Hangout Grand Counsel

Can_of_corn

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, Babypowder said:

He has hit 20 fly balls in his MLB career, 10 of them have gone over the wall. At AAA, he had a 12.5% HR/FB rate. I'm going out on a limb to say it's probably not sustainable and chalk it up totally to small sample size... for now. 

 

1 minute ago, Frobby said:

The thing is, it's not like these homers have been just barely over the fence.    I don't expect Mancini to hit 35 bombs as he's on pace to do, but when he gets hold of a pitch, it's going to travel.   

A 20% rate is considered excellent so I'm sure a 50% is sustainable.  Him and Judge both are going to hit 80 or so HR.

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tntoriole Hangout Grand Counsel

tntoriole

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9 minutes ago, Babypowder said:

He has hit 20 fly balls in his MLB career, 10 of them have gone over the wall. At AAA, he had a 12.5% HR/FB rate. I'm going out on a limb to say it's probably not sustainable and chalk it up totally to small sample size... for now. 

  I have said it for two years....Mancini is a BEAST.   He will not only continue to exceed expectations, he is going to exceed them in a fashion which people will look back on in a couple of years and say  "Man, we never saw that coming."  

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Babypowder Hangout Veteran Council

Babypowder

Posted
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Just now, Frobby said:

The thing is, it's not like these homers have been just barely over the fence.    I don't expect Mancini to hit 35 bombs as he's on pace to do, but when he gets hold of a pitch, it's going to travel.   

Obviously, he has power in his swing. I just don't think he can continue to homer 1/2 times he hits the ball in the air. If he did he would be the greatest home run hitter of all time by a wide margin. 20 percent would be well above league average. There's regression coming on that front alone.

Even if he really is a 30+ homer bat. He's going to have to maintain a very high average to be valuable with what is likely to be an extremely low walk rate and poor defense.

I see his upside as basically Mark Trumbo. Which is fine value at cheap costs, since the end product is somewhere in the vicinity of league average.

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Ruzious Hangout Grand Counsel

Ruzious

Posted
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5 minutes ago, tntoriole said:

  I have said it for two years....Mancini is a BEAST.   He will not only continue to exceed expectations, he is going to exceed them in a fashion which people will look back on in a couple of years and say  "Man, we never saw that coming."  

Yup, and I'm going out on a limb to predict he's going to have a better year than Judge.  Judge might be the media darling who's going to be on SportsCenter a thousand times more than Mancini, but Mancini will quietly be the better player.  If anyone at ESPN reads that, they'll either think I'm insane, or they're wondering why am I comparing a baseball player to a boxer?   

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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28 minutes ago, Babypowder said:

Obviously, he has power in his swing. I just don't think he can continue to homer 1/2 times he hits the ball in the air. If he did he would be the greatest home run hitter of all time by a wide margin. 20 percent would be well above league average. There's regression coming on that front alone.

Even if he really is a 30+ homer bat. He's going to have to maintain a very high average to be valuable with what is likely to be an extremely low walk rate and poor defense.

I see his upside as basically Mark Trumbo. Which is fine value at cheap costs, since the end product is somewhere in the vicinity of league average.

I think that's all pretty reasonable.   I'm sure his HR/FB ratio will drop significantly.    I'm just saying the kid has more power than I'd realized from the scouting reports I'd read in the minors.   

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OFFNY Hangout Grand Counsel

OFFNY

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On 6/7/2017 at 10:33 PM, OFFNY said:

o

 

(vs. PIRATES, June 7th)

 

NUMBER 8

 

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

 

o

o

 

(vs. PIRATES, June 7th)

 

NUMBER 9

 

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

JOSEPH ANTHONY MANCINI

 

o

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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Our no. 11 prospect, per the OH season ending list.    The other 10 must be awesome!

This guy was seriously underrated.   He may not walk a lot, but he's got good strike zone judgment and makes great adjustments during at bats.   He's got more power than advertised, he's faster than advertised, and he's very adequate in the outfield.

I'll remember his performance tonight for a long, long time.   

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