Projected Orioles Opening Day Payroll 2018

[AZRon]

For those who want to play GM, I am presenting the current projected opening day team payroll for the start of the this season. I'm dealing only with the "active" roster, but the O's will have pay obligations for all players on the 40 man roster. I'll try to keep this up to date through opening day (all help appreciated).

To be on this list, the player must be under contract or under team control

The players listed on this active roster are my guesses as of now. All of the latest transactions are included. Salaries are displayed as rounded to the nearest $10k, but the total is accurate to 2 decimal places. Projections for those under contract are from the Cots Baseball Prospectus Compensation Website. The MLB minimum salary is $545,000 in 2018. 

Dylan Bundy's salary is based on an ESPN report. The contract amounts for the other pre-arbitration players have yet to be published.  Alex Cobb's salary is per the contract details published by Jon Heyman..

I provide this information so that we can make accurate and useful comparisons to the opening day payrolls of the Orioles in previous years, other MLB teams and the totals for Major League Baseball. As with virtually all team opening day payroll tabulations on the web, my total payroll figure does not reflect any deductions for deferred salaries or additions for set-asides for deferrals from previous years (as required by Article XVI of the CBA). So, please, let's dispense with the squabbling over the "accounting" for salary deferrals. I have noted the 2018 contract deferrals in the right-most column of the below chart.

PLAYER	POS	2018 SALARY	DEFERRED
		($ Million)	($ Million)
***Caleb Joseph	C	$1.25
*Chance Sisco	C	$0.55
***Chris Davis	1B	$23.00	$6.00
***Jonathan Schoop	2B	$8.50
***Manny Machado	SS	$16.00
***Tim Beckham	3B	$3.35
***Adam Jones	OF	$17.33
*Trey Mancini	OF	$0.56
***Colby Rasmus	OF	$3.00
***Craig Gentry	OF	$0.90
*Anthony Santander	OF	$0.55
***Mark Trumbo (10 DL)	DH/OF	$12.50	$1.50
***Pedro Alvarez	DH	$1.00
***Danny Valencia	UT	$1.20
***Kevin Gausman	SP	$5.60
*Dylan Bundy	SP	$1.64
***Andrew Cashner	SP	$8.00	$3.00
***Chris Tillman	SP	$3.00
*Nestor Cortes	SP	$0.55
Alex Cobb (Minors)	SP	$14.00	$6.50
***Zach Britton (60 DL)	RP	$12.00
***Brad Brach	RP	$5.17
***Darren O'Day	RP	$9.00	$1.00
*Mychal Givens	RP	$0.57
*Richard Bleier	RP	$0.56
*Mike Wright Jr.	RP	$0.55
*Miguel Castro	RP	$0.55
*Pedro Araujo	RP	$0.55
*Gabriel Ynoa (10 DL)	RP	$0.55
Option Buyout - J.J. Hardy		$2.00
Option Buyout - Wade Miley		$0.50
Total		$154.45	$18.00
*   Pre-Arbitration
***Contract

[Bahama O's Fan]

I would bet if DD wants to go for it, he can get Angelos to add $50 million. Buy two starters at 20-25 million each.

[wildcard]

10 minutes ago, AZRon said:

For those who want to play GM, I am presenting the current projected opening day team payroll for the start of the next season. I'm dealing only with the "active" roster, but the O's will have pay obligations for all players on the 40 man roster. I'll try to keep this up to date through opening day (all help appreciated).

To be on this list, the player must be:
on the 40 man roster and
under contract or under team control

The players listed on this active roster are my guesses as of now. All of the latest transactions are included. Salaries are displayed as rounded to the nearest $10k, but the total is accurate to 2 decimal places. Projections for those under contract are from the Cots Baseball Prospectus Compensation Website. The arbitration salaries are those projected by Matt Swartz of MLB Trade Rumors.com. The MLB minimum salary is $545,000 in 2018. Dylan Bundy's salary is my guess.

I provide this information so that we can make accurate and useful comparisons to the opening day payrolls of the Orioles in previous years, other MLB teams and the totals for Major League Baseball. As with virtually all team opening day payroll tabulations on the web, my total payroll figure does not reflect any deductions for deferred salaries or additions for set-asides for deferrals from previous years (as required by Article XVI of the CBA). So, please, let's dispense with the squabbling over the "accounting" for salary deferrals. I have noted the 2018 contract deferrals in the right-most column of the below chart.

 

PLAYER		POS	2018 SALARY	DEFERRED
			($ Million)	($ Million)
**Caleb Joseph		C	$1.40
*Chance Sisco		C	$0.55
***Chris Davis		1B	$23.00	$6.00
**Jonathan Schoop		2B	$9.10
**Tim Beckham		SS	$3.10
**Manny Machado		3B	$17.30
***Adam Jones		OF	$17.33
*Trey Mancini		OF	$0.55
*Austin Hays		OF	$0.55
*Anthony Santander		OF	$0.55
*Joey Rickard		OF	$0.55
***Mark Trumbo		DH/OF	$12.50	$1.50
*Steve Wilkerson		UT	$0.55
**Kevin Gausman		SP	$6.80
*Dylan Bundy		SP	$2.30
**Miguel Castro		SP	$0.55
*Gabriel Ynoa		SP	$0.55
*Chris Lee		SP	$0.55
**Zach Britton		RP	$12.20
**Brad Brach		RP	$5.20
***Darren O'Day		RP	$7.00	$1.00
*Mychal Givens		RP	$0.55
*Richard Bleier		RP	$0.55
*Jimmy Yacabonis		RP	$0.55
*Tanner Scott		RP	$0.55
Option Buyout - J.J. Hardy			$2.00
Option Buyout - Wade Miley			$0.50
Total			$126.82	$8.50
*   Pre-Arbitration
** Arbitration
***Contract

O'Day in 9m next year.

[AZRon]

3 minutes ago, wildcard said:

O'Day in 9m next year.

Corrected -- thanks

[AZRon]

Based on my current projected payroll, here's a look at how much the O's have left to spend under various scenarios:

Scenario		Projected $(M)	$ Left to Spend (M)
No Change		164.3	9.8
MLB Average Increase		172.4	17.9
O's Average Increase		188.1	33.7
Same Delta as 2017		182.0	27.6
10% Delta		180.7	26.3
20% Delta		197.2	42.7
30% Delta		213.6	59.1

[wildcard]

2 minutes ago, AZRon said:

Based on my current projected payroll, here's a look at how much the O's have left to spend under various scenarios:

 

Scenario	Projected $	$ Left to Spend (M)
No Change	164.3	35.5
MLB Average Increase	172.4	43.5
O's Average Increase	188.1	59.3
Same Delta as 2017	182.0	53.2
10% Delta	180.7	51.9
20% Delta	197.2	68.3
30% Delta	213.6	84.8

Where did you get 164.3?   I have them at 170.528 in 2017.  157.578 after deferrals

[AZRon]

In terms of opening day payrolls, what has the AL East done during the Dan Duquette regime? 
(Information from the Baseball Prospectus Compensation Website)

 

				Opening Day Payrolls in $M
Year	Orioles	% Delta	Yankees	% Delta	Red Sox	% Delta	Blue Jays	% Delta	Rays	% Delta	AL East	% Delta
2018	154	-6.0%	166	-15.4%	233	18.4%	161	-1.2%	76	8.4%	791	0.0%
2017	164	10.8%	196	-13.8%	197	-0.5%	163	19.5%	70	5.1%	791	1.8%
2016	148	24.6%	228	4.6%	198	9.5%	137	8.6%	67	-13.7%	778	7.9%
2015	119	10.2%	218	9.7%	181	10.6%	126	-8.2%	77	0.6%	721	5.4%
2014	108	17.4%	199	-13.5%	163	8.5%	137	7.4%	77	24.1%	684	3.4%
2013	92	8.2%	229	7.6%	151	-14.0%	128	52.6%	62	-2.7%	662	6.6%
2012	85	-3.4%	213	2.7%	175	5.7%	84	19.1%	64	51.8%	621	8.2%
2011	88		207		166		70		42		574
Since
2011		75.5%		-19.9%		40.6%		129.7%		81.4%		38.0%

[AZRon]

22 minutes ago, wildcard said:

Where did you get 164.3?   I have them at 170.528 in 2017.  157.578 after deferrals

Opening Day Payroll

Verified @ Baseball Prospectus Compensation Website

[OFFNY]

2 hours ago, AZRon said:

 

For those who want to play GM, I am presenting the current projected opening day team payroll for the start of the next season. I'm dealing only with the "active" roster, but the O's will have pay obligations for all players on the 40 man roster. I'll try to keep this up to date through opening day (all help appreciated).

To be on this list, the player must be:
on the 40 man roster and
under contract or under team control

The players listed on this active roster are my guesses as of now. All of the latest transactions are included. Salaries are displayed as rounded to the nearest $10k, but the total is accurate to 2 decimal places. Projections for those under contract are from the Cots Baseball Prospectus Compensation Website. The arbitration salaries are those projected by Matt Swartz of MLB Trade Rumors.com. The MLB minimum salary is $545,000 in 2018. Dylan Bundy's salary is my guess.

I provide this information so that we can make accurate and useful comparisons to the opening day payrolls of the Orioles in previous years, other MLB teams and the totals for Major League Baseball. As with virtually all team opening day payroll tabulations on the web, my total payroll figure does not reflect any deductions for deferred salaries or additions for set-asides for deferrals from previous years (as required by Article XVI of the CBA). So, please, let's dispense with the squabbling over the "accounting" for salary deferrals. I have noted the 2018 contract deferrals in the right-most column of the below chart.

 

PLAYER		POS	2018 SALARY	DEFERRED
			($ Million)	($ Million)
**Caleb Joseph		C	$1.40
*Chance Sisco		C	$0.55
***Chris Davis		1B	$23.00	$6.00
**Jonathan Schoop		2B	$9.10
**Tim Beckham		SS	$3.10
**Manny Machado		3B	$17.30
***Adam Jones		OF	$17.33
*Trey Mancini		OF	$0.55
*Austin Hays		OF	$0.55
*Anthony Santander		OF	$0.55
*Joey Rickard		OF	$0.55
***Mark Trumbo		DH/OF	$12.50	$1.50
*Steve Wilkerson		UT	$0.55
**Kevin Gausman		SP	$6.80
*Dylan Bundy		SP	$2.30
**Miguel Castro		SP	$0.55
*Gabriel Ynoa		SP	$0.55
*Chris Lee		SP	$0.55
**Zach Britton		RP	$12.20
**Brad Brach		RP	$5.20
***Darren O'Day		RP	$9.00	$1.00
*Mychal Givens		RP	$0.55
*Richard Bleier		RP	$0.55
*Jimmy Yacabonis		RP	$0.55
*Tanner Scott		RP	$0.55
Option Buyout - J.J. Hardy			$2.00
Option Buyout - Wade Miley			$0.50
Total			$128.82	$8.50
*   Pre-Arbitration
** Arbitration
***Contract

o

 

Much appreciated for your continual payroll outlines each year to give us a general idea of where things stand financially.

Thank you.

 

o

[wildcard]

1 hour ago, AZRon said:

Opening Day Payroll

Verified @ Baseball Prospectus Compensation Website

Here are the players either omitted or the amounts are wrong.

Hellickson is not accounted and Kim salary is wrong even though the cash Philly send evens out  the impact.

21 - 1.051m Jackson RP  (1.279m prorated portion of 2m) DFA signed with Nats minus 228K =164.108m
22 - .87m Tejada UIF (118, prorated portion of 1.35m salary) 164.978m
28 - .529m Giavotelli (88, prorated portion of 1.1m) 168.674m
30 - .427m Bleier RP (146. prorated portion of .535m) option 169.596
31- .412m Hart LRP6 - (140, prorated portion of .5385m) option 170.008m
32 - .403m Pena BC (138, prorated portion of .535m) outrighted 170.411m
33 - .395M Janish UIF (135, prorated portion of .535m) DFA’d 170.806m
34 - .327m Castro (112, prorated portion of .535m 171.133m
35 - .305m Beckham SS, (63, prorated portion of .885M)  171.438m
36 - .260m Asher SP (82, prorated portion of .535m) option  171.698m
37 - 234m Wright (80, prorated portion of 535m) option 171.932m
38 - 164m Ynoa (56, prorated portion of .535m)

39- .132m Crichton RP (45, prorated portion of.535m) 172.228m
40 - .117m Yacabonis (40. prorated portion of .535m) option    172.345m
41 - .112m McFarland  (termination pay) - 172.457m
43 - .091m Sisco (17, prorated portion of .535m) option 172.656m
44 - .091m P Alvarez (31, prorated portion of .535m) 172.747m
45 - .085m D Alvarez (termination pay) 172.832m
46 - .079m Hays (27, prorated portion of .535m) option 172.911m
47 - .077 Wilson (26, prorated portion of .545m) DFA’d 172.988m
48 - .056m Aquino SP/RP (19, prorated portion of (.536m)DFA’d 173.044m
49 - .050m  R Rodriguez (17, prorated portion of .535m) 173.094m

50 - .044m Scott (15, prorated portion of .535m) 173.138m
51 - .026m Verrett  (9, prorated portion of .535m) DFA’d 173.164m
52 - .020m Washington (7, prorated portion of .535m) optioned (DFA’d) 173.184m
53 - .009m Fry (3, prorated portion of .535m) optioned  173.193m
54 - .006m Drake  (Traded to Brewers) 163.5405m  173.199m

50 - .044m Scott (15, prorated portion of .535m) 173.138m
51 - .026m Verrett  (9, prorated portion of .535m) DFA’d 173.164m
52 - .020m Washington (7, prorated portion of .535m) optioned (DFA’d) 173.184m
53 - .009m Fry (3, prorated portion of .535m) optioned  173.193m
54 - .006m Drake  (Traded to Brewers) 163.5405m  173.199m

[wildcard]

Here is the complete 2017 O's payroll

 

1 - 23m Davis 1B 
2 - 16m Jones CF - 39m
3 - 14m Hardy SS - 53m
4 - 13.5m Jimenez SP1 - 66.5m (M3g)
5 - 11.5m Trumbo DH - 78m
6 - 11.5m Machado 3B - 89.5m - option
7 - 11.4m Britton RP1 - 100.9m  
8 - 10.05m Tillman SP2 - 110.95m (M19g)
9 - 8.75m Miley SP3 - 119.7m (M17g) 
10 - 7m Smith RF -   126.7m       
11 - 7m O’Day RP2 - 133.7m
12 - 6.109m Hellickson (acquired from Phillies)=139.809m
13 - 6m Castillo  C -145.809m
14 -  3.475m Schoop 2B - 149.284m - option
15 - 3.45m Gausman SP4 - 152.734m (M17g)
16 - 3.05m Brach  RP3 - 155.784m
17 - 2.708m Kim  OF - (Traded to Phillies 4.2m salary) 158.492
18 - 1.8m Flaherty  UIF -160.292m
19 - 1.64m Bundy SP5 - 161.932m 
20 - 1.125m Nuno RP4 - 163.057m -(DFA’d)
21 - 1.051m Jackson RP  (1.279m prorated portion of 2m) DFA signed with Nats minus 228K =164.108m
22 - .87m Tejada UIF (118, prorated portion of 1.35m salary) 164.978m
23 - .85m Gentry OF - 165.828m (DL)
24 - .7m Joseph C - 166.528m- option
25 - .546m Givens RP5 - 167.074m - option
26 - .536m Mancini OF - 167.61m 
27 - .535m Santander - 168.145m 
28 - .529m Giavotelli (88, prorated portion of 1.1m) 168.674m
29hlk - .495m Rickard OF - (168. prorated portion of .539m) option 169.169m
30 - .427m Bleier RP (146. prorated portion of .535m) option 169.596
31- .412m Hart LRP6 - (140, prorated portion of .5385m) option 170.008m
32 - .403m Pena BC (138, prorated portion of .535m) outrighted 170.411m
33 - .395M Janish UIF (135, prorated portion of .535m) DFA’d 170.806m
34 - .327m Castro (112, prorated portion of .535m 171.133m
35 - .305m Beckham SS, (63, prorated portion of .885M)  171.438m
36 - .260m Asher SP (82, prorated portion of .535m) option  171.698m
37 - 234m Wright (80, prorated portion of 535m) option 171.932m
38 - 164m Ynoa (56, prorated portion of .535m) 172.096m
39- .132m Crichton RP (45, prorated portion of
.535m) 172.228m
40 - .117m Yacabonis (40. prorated portion of .535m) option    172.345m
41 - .112m McFarland  (termination pay) - 172.457m
42 - .108m Ondrusek  (termination pay) 172.565m
43 - .091m Sisco (17, prorated portion of .535m) option 172.656m
44 - .091m P Alvarez (31, prorated portion of .535m) 172.747m
45 - .085m D Alvarez (termination pay) 172.832m
46 - .079m Hays (27, prorated portion of .535m) option 172.911m
47 - .077 Wilson (26, prorated portion of .545m) DFA’d 172.988m
48 - .056m Aquino SP/RP (19, prorated portion of (.536m)DFA’d 173.044m

49 - .050m  R Rodriguez (17, prorated portion of .535m) 173.094m
50 - .044m Scott (15, prorated portion of .535m) 173.138m
51 - .026m Verrett  (9, prorated portion of .535m) DFA’d 173.164m
52 - .020m Washington (7, prorated portion of .535m) optioned (DFA’d) 173.184m
53 - .009m Fry (3, prorated portion of .535m) optioned  173.193m
54 - .006m Drake  (Traded to Brewers) 163.5405m  173.199m

173.199m
 
Plus 2m sent to Seattle with Gallardo

Minus 4.671m received from Phillies with Hellickson
SubTotal 170.528m

Minus 6m deferred from Davis
Minus 2.25m deferred from Jimenez
Minus 2.2m deferred from Hardy(best guess)
Minus 1m deferred from O’Day
Minus 1.5m deferred from Trumbo

minus 12.95 deferred
Total  157.578m
 

[AZRon]

8 minutes ago, wildcard said:

Here is the complete 2017 O's payroll.....

Please review the text of my post

I'm  dealing with the: Opening day payroll -- Active Roster

[wildcard]

3 minutes ago, AZRon said:

Please review the text of my post

I'm  dealing with the: Opening day payroll -- Active Roster

That is ok but its not the real O's payroll.  It does not include acquisition, callups, Disable list, trades and post season additions.  So you say it 164m on opening day and I say it 170m for the whole year.  Dan recently said the payroll is in the 150's.  He apparent goes by the payroll after deferrals.

[AZRon]

15 hours ago, wildcard said:

That is ok but its not the real O's payroll.  It does not include acquisition, callups, Disable list, trades and post season additions.  So you say it 164m on opening day and I say it 170m for the whole year.  Dan recently said the payroll is in the 150's.  He apparent goes by the payroll after deferrals.

What is your point?

I am not attempting to determine the "real" (whatever that is) payroll

Quoting from my post:
"I provide this information so that we can make accurate and useful comparisons to the opening day payrolls of the Orioles in previous years, other MLB teams and the totals for Major League Baseball. As with virtually all team opening day payroll tabulations on the web, my total payroll figure does not reflect any deductions for deferred salaries or additions for set-asides for deferrals from previous years (as required by Article XVI of the CBA)."

I welcome all additions and corrections to my post -- and I assert my right to define my terms and to document my justification for those terms.

Thanks
 

[wildcard]

11 minutes ago, AZRon said:

What is your point?

I am not attempting to determine the "real" (whatever that is) payroll

Quoting from my post:
"I provide this information so that we can make accurate and useful comparisons to the opening day payrolls of the Orioles in previous years, other MLB teams and the totals for Major League Baseball. As with virtually all team opening day payroll tabulations on the web, my total payroll figure does not reflect any deductions for deferred salaries or additions for set-asides for deferrals from previous years (as required by Article XVI of the CBA)."

I welcome all additions and corrections to my post -- and I assert my right to define my terms and to document my justification for those terms
 

No point.   If that is what you want to do its absolutely fine.

Personally I like to know where the team is with payroll now.  Not 6 months ago.   If I understand that I can think along with the team better I believe.

I follow every transaction they make during the year.  Look at what impact it has.  It allows me to have a better idea of what they will and will not  do where payroll in concerned. But that is just me.  What you are doing I am sure works for you.