The Rubber Match (vs. RED SOX, 7/26)

[GuidoSarducci]

9 minutes ago, Morgan423 said:

Not a fan of the sac bunt there.

Expected runs per inning, first and second, no outs: 1.46

Expected runs per inning, second and third, one out: 1.36

Adjust for situation.  How likely is a ground ball and potential double play with DJ Stewart facing Ryan Wheter?  How likely is it that Hays can get a fly ball deep enough, vs the chance that he gets a base hit? 

[Can_of_corn]

Just now, Morgan423 said:

Yeah, stats say the sac move somewhat increases the chance of scoring at least one run in the inning in that scenario, but lowers your chance of a big inning quite a lot.  Just about what you'd expect.

With the increase in both home runs and strikeouts I think it's a worse play now than ever before (depending on how juiced the 2020 ball is).

[MurphDogg]

This Red Sox rotation is brutal, are they really going to waste this lineup on their current rotation?

[scOtt]

Iggy hitting .500 for the year I think.

[Can_of_corn]

Just now, MurphDogg said:

This Red Sox rotation is brutal, are they really going to waste this lineup on their current rotation?

They should trade for Cobb.

[OFFNY]

 o

 

NUMBER 1

 

ANTHONY ROGER SANTANDER 

ANTHONY ROGER SANTANDER 

ANTHONY ROGER SANTANDER 

ANTHONY ROGER SANTANDER 

ANTHONY ROGER SANTANDER 

ANTHONY ROGER SANTANDER 

ANTHONY ROGER SANTANDER

 

o

[Il BuonO]

Iggy inside-outing the ball for a dunker. That’s when you know you’re going well.

[SteveA]

Iggy just keeps on dropping hits in.  He's like a 2014 Royal.

[Il BuonO]

2 minutes ago, GuidoSarducci said:

Adjust for situation.  How likely is a ground ball and potential double play with DJ Stewart facing Ryan Wheter?  How likely is it that Hays can get a fly ball deep enough, vs the chance that he gets a base hit? 

Not as high as you’d think because Stewart runs better than you think.

[OFFNY]

o

 

Hey, we got a Roy Firestone Special this inning.

 

o

[SteveA]

1 minute ago, Can_of_corn said:

With the increase in both home runs and strikeouts I think it's a worse play now than ever before (depending on how juiced the 2020 ball is).

My initial impression having watched about 6 MLB games so far is that it doesn't feel like last year's superball.  A lot of the HRs I've seen have been in the first few rows, I *think* only one team has had a 5 HR game so far (White Sox yesterday), and I have yet to see one of those fly balls that looks routine and then carries out and surprises me like we saw so much last year.

And it's certainly prime hitting/carrying weather around most of the country 

[MurphDogg]

Somebody needs to teach Garceau how to pronounce Santander's name. We aren't in the Bob Clemente era anymore.

[spiritof66]

7 minutes ago, GuidoSarducci said:

Adjust for situation.  How likely is a ground ball and potential double play with DJ Stewart facing Ryan Wheter?  How likely is it that Hays can get a fly ball deep enough, vs the chance that he gets a base hit? 

It's not just a double play. A bad bunt can result in a popup or a force-out. (The popup can be a DP if the runners are in motion.)

[OFFNY]

6 minutes ago, MurphDogg said:

 

Somebody needs to teach Garceau how to pronounce Santander's name. We aren't in the Bob Clemente era anymore.

 

o

 

I remember my friend showing this baseball card that he acquired, about 25 years ago.

 

 

o

[MurphDogg]

Devers off to a worse start than Chris Davis. 0-11 with 5 Ks.