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Mountcastle’s last 21 games


Frobby

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After a terrible start he has the BA back up to .254 and the OPS up to .729.

I know we're not supposed to care about BA anymore but that .250 number has always been a bit of a benchmark for me.  An outdated view, probably.

Excellent to see him hit the ball lately like we hoped/expected he could.

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Kid's hot! Reminds me of sophomore Mancini and his struggles. Hope he can keep it rolling because this organization NEEDS his bat. Other than Adley, I can't really think of a more critical position player to this rebuild than Mountcastle. You can argue one of the young SS prospects, sure, but in terms of impact bats who are close to or at the ML level. 

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Just now, interloper said:

Kid's hot! Reminds me of sophomore Mancini and his struggles. Hope he can keep it rolling because this organization NEEDS his bat. Other than Adley, I can't really think of a more critical position player to this rebuild than Mountcastle. You can argue one of the young SS prospects, sure, but in terms of impact bats who are close to or at the ML level. 

That seems over the top to me.   Because of his defensive limitations, Mountcastle will probably top out as a 3-4 win player in his best years.   Basically, a Mancini-level player if we’re lucky.   Nice to have, but if that’s the second most important component of your rebuild among the position players, that’s not a very strong rebuild IMO.   

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4 minutes ago, Frobby said:

That seems over the top to me.   Because of his defensive limitations, Mountcastle will probably top out as a 3-4 win player in his best years.   Basically, a Mancini-level player if we’re lucky.   Nice to have, but if that’s the second most important component of your rebuild among the position players, that’s not a very strong rebuild IMO.   

Eh, you're probably right. But considering Mancini probably won't be here much longer, replacing his production with a power bat at 1B seems pretty critical. Basically I'm just saying the O's have to hit on some of these farm bats, and hitting on Mountcastle feels like something that needs to happen if we want to reach the mythical Good Again status. Because I have far less faith in some of the other position prospects: Diaz is injured a lot and a strikeout machine, Hays can't stay on the field either, guys like Bannon and Jones don't feel like big impact bats. And then Gunnar and Westburg are a little farther out.

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i was bowled over when he hit that homer against Shaw the other day.  Shaw's a helluva reliever and seems like a master craftsman.  He got ahead of Mountcastle, and I figured he was gonna easily strike him out and make Mountcastle look foolish.  But Ryan looked supremely confident up there - wasn't rattled at all, got a pitch to hit, and crushed it.  He's struck out a lot this year, but the kid obviously believes in himself, and has the talent.  As long as he keeps working and has a good attitude, he'll be successful.  

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17 minutes ago, vab said:

I don't know why anybody was ever worried about his bat. You don't put the numbers he has at his age and suddenly forget how to hit. 

Yep - there's no substitute for the arms in the Show even for if your hit tool is a high percentile even among MLB 24-year-olds. 

#PleaseGiveAdley300PAnot129.5

While I see Rutschman/Rodriguez/Hall on a higher level of innate talent with some chance to hit the ground running, there's opportunity this summer for them to see what Vlad can do to their pitches, Gerrit's pitches can do to them, etc.    The 2028 Orioles probably have a better forecast than the 2022 Orioles, but I do expect the club to buy a free agent season here or there for current best players, and Means/Mullins/Mancini probably would like to not waste another near peak year.    Fair chance 2022 Adley is better than 2028 Adley straight up anyway.

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His XWOBACON which basically means his production when he makes contact is now .415 vs .363 MLB avg and his XWOBA has climbed up to .298 vs .312 MLB avg. He's still hurt by 1% percentile chase rate a 7th percentile WHIFF rate. 

So the good news is he's at least hitting ball hard now when he does make contact. 

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On 6/3/2021 at 9:23 AM, Tony-OH said:

It's great to see. I've said all along his struggles were some of the most disappointing aspects of this year because I really felt his bat was going to be special and we need him to be a big part of the future at 1B. 

I’d like to see a higher OBP

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