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Colton Cowser 2022

ShoelesJoe

By ShoelesJoe
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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

He’s not in AA

You’re right.  15% in low A, 32% in Hi A, which some people argued was too low a level to start him at this year.   That opinion obviously was wrong, as it turns out.   It would be very disappointing if he didn’t earn a promotion to AA this year.  He’s a long way from doing that right now.  

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Jammer7
Jammer7

Nelson, this isn’t all directed at you. You are a passionate fan, like most here. I just wish you’d state your case, once. And then let it go. But that is not your style. You feel the need to enlighte

RZNJ
RZNJ

Last year Cowser had 45 hits.  10 of those were extra bases.  This year he has 55 hits. 23 for extra bases.  That is a significant development.  June is the Cowser we've been hoping for. 17

Absltgreek
Absltgreek

Jon Meoli said as much in his Newsletter yesterday, re: Cowser, without quoting the whole thing (as it's paid and all): "Cowser said he was focused on one zone and striking out as a result..."

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Can_of_corn Hangout Grand Counsel

Can_of_corn

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Just now, Frobby said:

You’re right.  15% in low A, 32% in Hi A, which some people argued was too low a level to start him at this year.   That opinion obviously was wrong, as it turns out.   It would be very disappointing if he didn’t earn a promotion to AA this year.  He’s a long way from doing that right now.  

At this rate he's in line to repeat high A.

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Ohfan67 Hangout Grand Counsel

Ohfan67

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7 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

OBP is great but the thing is, if he can’t show a good hit tool and he doesn’t show power, he will eventually just get challenged and be a worthless player.  The OBP won’t be there.

I totally agree.  If he’s really fundamentally struggling, then we would expect to see his OBP to start to crater at some point. His stats are just so weird right now. They are definitely a product of SSS. The OBP numbers provide a hope, at least a little, that Cowser is not totally screwed up. Such a weird stat line. 

7 hours ago, Sports Guy said:
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Moose Milligan Hangout Grand Counsel

Moose Milligan

Posted
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8 minutes ago, interloper said:

Feel like we keep saying this and then he keeps posting up a 3 K night. And then he has a good night. Etc

Yeah, well....I mean, the system and our future doesn't hinge on Cowser, IMO, not in the way it hinges on Adley, G-Rod and Hall. 

It'd be great if he pans out but if he doesn't, I don't think it's crippling to the future.

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interloper Hangout Grand Counsel

interloper

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, Moose Milligan said:

Yeah, well....I mean, the system and our future doesn't hinge on Cowser, IMO, not in the way it hinges on Adley, G-Rod and Hall. 

It'd be great if he pans out but if he doesn't, I don't think it's crippling to the future.

Agree

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OriolesMagic83 Hangout Grand Counsel

OriolesMagic83

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Posted

He's carrying a .384 OBP w/ only a .243 average, so there is hope, IMO.  He also has almost as many walks (24) as hits (27).  At some point, he's got to start hitting.  Is he trying to make swing adjustments?  Maybe he is being so selective, waiting for the perfect pitch, that it's effecting his strikeout rate. 

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RZNJ Hangout Grand Counsel

RZNJ

Posted
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1 hour ago, OriolesMagic83 said:

He's carrying a .384 OBP w/ only a .243 average, so there is hope, IMO.  He also has almost as many walks (24) as hits (27).  At some point, he's got to start hitting.  Is he trying to make swing adjustments?  Maybe he is being so selective, waiting for the perfect pitch, that it's effecting his strikeout rate. 

I have a theory and that's all I've got.   I think he's either swinging harder (even with two strikes) or trying to lift the ball (his ground ball rate suggests this either isn't happening or is a colossal failure).   

I usually look at a hitter's percentage of extra base hits to total hits.  1/3 is usually about average power.   That's very unofficial on my part.   Last year, Cowser had 45 hits and only 10 extra base hits.   That's a singles hitter.

This year Cowser has 27 hits and 12 extra base hits.   Even though he only has 2 home runs, that's actually pretty good.   The Orioles preach putting your "best swing" on your pitch and I'm guessing they preach swinging that way even with 2 strikes.   This has obviously, if I'm right, been a difficult adjustment for Cowser.   He's grounding out a lot and striking out a lot BUT when he's making solid contact he's been driving the ball better.

What we have to hope, again assuming my theory is correct, is that Cowser can meld the contact ability that he naturally posesses with the new idea of taking your "best swing" on every swing.

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interloper Hangout Grand Counsel

interloper

Posted
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5 hours ago, RZNJ said:

I have a theory and that's all I've got.   I think he's either swinging harder (even with two strikes) or trying to lift the ball (his ground ball rate suggests this either isn't happening or is a colossal failure).   

I usually look at a hitter's percentage of extra base hits to total hits.  1/3 is usually about average power.   That's very unofficial on my part.   Last year, Cowser had 45 hits and only 10 extra base hits.   That's a singles hitter.

This year Cowser has 27 hits and 12 extra base hits.   Even though he only has 2 home runs, that's actually pretty good.   The Orioles preach putting your "best swing" on your pitch and I'm guessing they preach swinging that way even with 2 strikes.   This has obviously, if I'm right, been a difficult adjustment for Cowser.   He's grounding out a lot and striking out a lot BUT when he's making solid contact he's been driving the ball better.

What we have to hope, again assuming my theory is correct, is that Cowser can meld the contact ability that he naturally posesses with the new idea of taking your "best swing" on every swing.

As good a theory as I've heard on here. Good post. 

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sportsfan8703 Hangout Grand Counsel

sportsfan8703

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Posted

Wouldn’t this be the correct time to make a swing adjustment for more power?  Last year, was him just getting his feet wet in pro ball, and giving our org a chance to evaluate what exactly he needed to change. So it’s good for him to do that at A+ then to at Bowie where the pitching starts to get a lot tougher. 
 

I’m not worried about Cowser. 

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