Clase blew it in a big moment. Jack Flaherty was lights out for months and sucked today.
Everything playoffs is a crapshoot. You can make up whatever narrative about what happened with the O's in two games, or whatever's happening with the teams still in it, but it's a dice roll. I hope the O's front office doesn't overreact, and I don't think they will. This year's dice roll sucked, I just want a great regular season next year for the chance to roll again.
I don’t care what he was on pace to do. It’s not being intellectually honest and refuses to acknowledge the whole story. I’m glad you’re an optimist and I’d like to join you there but I also can’t ignore the decline that I’m seeing. I also can’t ignore that he plays the most physically demanding position on the field. If he was hurt, he wasn’t hurt enough to go on the IL.
He came up in 2022 and put up 5.4 WAR in 113 games/470 plate appearances. Over a full season, he’d probably have been in MVP WAR range.
2023, 4.3 WAR but in significantly more games and significantly more plate appearances: 154/687
2024: 3.4 WAR in 148 games, 638 plate appearances.
No matter how you cut it, no matter what excuses you want to make for him, his rookie year is by far and away the best season he’s had. His OPS+ has declined each year.
If he weren’t a catcher, maybe I wouldn’t be this bothered by it. But even if he had nagging injuries this year, IMO, that’s not a good harbinger of things to come.
Like I said, I can’t ignore what I’ve seen. His biggest WAR season came in his first year and in the lowest amount of games played. I’d love to be wrong but I also wouldn’t be surprised if we’re witnessing a really slow decline.
If you don’t believe that, you have to at least recognize that that possibility does exist and that it was always inevitable that he’d have to move off catcher anyway.
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