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By DrungoHazewood · Posted
Agreed, with the caveat that I'm not convinced that (for example) the 1927 Negro Leagues were a completely different quality of play compared to the 1927 AL/NL. My guess is that if the MLB quality was 1.00 and the International League was .90, then the Negro Leagues of that year were .97 or something. -
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By interloper · Posted
They have to DFA Vieria today right? You can't carry this guy in a 30 game stretch that has started off with two short starts. -
By DrungoHazewood · Posted
I think pitcher's platoon splits can be larger, and not just due to random variation. Because pitchers can employ strategies that emphasize the platoon split, like throwing sidearm sweepers/sliders that are vastly more effective against same-sided hitters. Hitters really don't have the option of using some kind of strategy that is wildly more effective against one type of pitcher, or one hand of pitcher. -
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Considering our shallow starting pitching pool, should we put on a full court press to extend Corbin Burnes? -
By DrungoHazewood · Posted
With the caveats of my last post. Baseball is kind of unique in that Jorge Mateo and Adam Frazier can get as many chances to impact a game as Mike Trout. It's a little like a version of basketball where everyone on the court had to take at least 15% of the team's shots and nobody could take more than 25%. Or a version of football where you have five starting QBs, and they each only start once every five games. And all of them get 162 games to even out the luck. But, yes, variations in performance and randomness impact every sport. -
I think we're saying the same thing, or at least we rhyme. If they're going to include one league that has completely different quality of play, why not all leagues? Why stop at the Negro Leagues? -
By DrungoHazewood · Posted
Baseball is different from most other team sports in a number of key aspects: The number of trials. 162 games is a lot of games to have random variation smooth out. If you pick random 16-game stretches you'll have NFL-like outliers, such as teams going 15-1 or 1-15. Nobody goes 150-12. Pitchers are very limited in how much they can pitch. A 200-inning starter can only have so much impact. Hitters cannot get more than ~1/8th of a team's PAs. This and the prior point means that there's no way around having your 3rd- and 5th and even 14th-best players getting almost as much playing time as #1. So you end up with the most dominant teams usually not even winning 2/3rds of their games, wherein other sports you can have teams win 80% or more. Which makes baseball look more random. Contributing to this is the expanded playoffs, where a .600 vs .575 matchup is more-or-less a coin flip. I doubt most other sports have a situation where the obviously best team in the league has a 25%-ish shot of the Championship (in other words, a 75% chance of going home disappointed) on day one of the playoffs. In most soccer leagues the regular season champ is The Champ, so there's a 0% chance of that. The best team always takes a big trophy home.
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