Jump to content

Mariners series


Just Regular

Recommended Posts

I remember growing up the announcers said occasionally the team was wearing such and such uniforms tonight because it was Earl's idea, or McGregor's idea, but I wonder with the monetizing if the players even get say in that anymore.

Here are the Active Roster K-BB ranks for the last two matchups...Bryce Miller I know is a fastball heavy guy.

(39) Kremer v. (19) Miller

(46) Irvin? v. (14) Kirby

ESPN has tomorrow undecided.    20 IP was minimum to gain Irvin visibility in field of AL length pitchers.

The present five SEA SP are all in the Top 20....if they get some Runs, they can still be a factor in this year's race.

Grayson has a LOT of work to do for any hope his '23 could resemble Kirby '22.     Last night Gilbert was about 50 ranks ahead of Gibson though they have similar ERA results so far this year.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Considering the baserunning blunders and blown save in a more or less evenly played game, I feel like we stole the game yesterday to set up the rubber match.

ESPN and B-Ref now have Bradish listed opposite Kirby for this afternoon, so Irvin I guess will wait for Votto and Elly.

Kirby and Gilbert have kind of been in actuality for SEA what I've hoped for with Hall and Grayson, though more story to come there.     Kirby is running circles around the league in Walk avoidance - just 6 in almost 90 innings, under 2%.

Last 30 Days, Bradish has been right there with him as a Top 15 AL Starter by K-BB, so a fun growth opportunity kind of matchup as we see if Bradish can stick with Top of Rotation types around the league.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Mariners are a very good team.   They came into the game with the exact same run differential on the year and the exact same Pythagorean record as the Orioles.   So they had been a bit unlucky.

They have great pitching, their hitting isn't quite what ours is.   But they look to me like a legitimate wildcard contender.    So winning this series is big.   Put a little more distance between us.   If we can win 2 of 3 from them in Seattle with August we would have the head to head playoff tiebreak, which could loom very large in our favor.

  • Upvote 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

20 minutes ago, tntoriole said:

The AL East simply does not lose .. Ysnkees, Os, Rays, Jays all kicking AL teams to the curb .. lol 

Helps when they're playing the likes of KC and OAK. TB actually lost two games to KC in that series, at home no less.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, dystopia said:

Helps when they're playing the likes of KC and OAK. TB actually lost two games to KC in that series, at home no less.

And lost 2 to Oakland the week before .. as long as they are not playing the last place teams, they sweep lol 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

36 minutes ago, LA2 said:

With our record now standing at 47-29, we cd play .500 ball (43-43) the rest of the way and still reach 90 wins. (That said, I'm sure we'll do better than that.)

Why are you sure?   Nothing much is sure in baseball.  I certainly hope that’s the case.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • Soto has had 6 years in the majors. Only 2 of them with an ERA under 4 and he's averaged a 100 ERA+. He has a career FIP of nearly 4. A career WHIP of over 1.4. Why is that valuable? Yeah, he can go on dominant runs. But so could Bryan Baker.  That's worth clogging up a spot and not getting somebody more consistent and...well...better?
    • Taking a look at 2023 vs 2024 FANGRAPHS WAR, some interesting directional info.  (Acknowledging that WAR is not definitivve,  FG uses FIPERA for Pitcher WAR).  This is meant to highlight areas of opportunity not a deep dive on data.  Highlighted 5 key areas:   1) TOR/Ace role /Burns FA.  All other roles 2-6 are likely fine.  Bradish coming back in 2nd half of 2025 would be a boost but should not be counted on.   Going into 2025 w/o sourcing a 4 WAR type of replacement for Burns would be a huge miss.    Most important decision/move for 2025.  2) Need to solidify closer and BP which is hopefully Felix coming back strong but should not depend on 2023 dominance.  Need a deep pen with reliable depth in minors and assume more trade deadline reinforcements.   Plenty of good options here, spend $ smartly but don't depend solely on waiver claims.  3) Adley - none of Elias' 2024 calculus included AR's huge 2nd half dropoff.    If he does not come back strong, may have to re-think AR contribution and make up for any defecit in other positions.  If Gunnar is a 10 and Adley's a 4 WAR we are more than fine, should not assume Adley is a 5+WAR player.  4) Santander - How is he best replaced.  Elevate Heston and pair him with a RH platoon partner who can back-up all three OF postions.  Not an easy find but needs to be impactful - a RH bat, preferably a high OBP type- that player does not exist in the org in terms of 2025 readiness.     Supposedly that's why Mayo is so highly valued as a RH  bat which is why not developing him as an OFer is curious.  5) Jackson Holliday - Biggest upside story for 2025.  Expect to see major improvement and the type of bat the lineup needs.  Should be settled in, got to experience the post season without playing but a lot of the Elias' plan/process is JH becoming a very good player.   
    • I don't get the idea of not wanting Soto back. First of all, lets talk about money.  He probably gets around $6M in arb for 2025. 37 relievers made 6M or more in 2024. 56 made 4M or more.  A 1/6 deal for him isnt bad and its not a long term commitment, which is a huge plus. After his 2 awful outings after he got here, Soto appeared in 20 games. He threw 16.1 innings and had a 1.10 ERA. He gave up 1 homer, walked 4, 11 hits and struck out 20.  For the season, his ERA was a mediocre 4.42 but his FIP was 3.68, his K rate was over 11 and his HR rate was .68. The issue is the walks. He is still only 29 years old, has over 60 appearances each of the last 4 years (ie he's durable) and he has very good seasons in the past. Even last year, when his ERA was 4.62, his xERA was 2.79 and his FIP was 3.59. With his ability to get Ks and miss bats and the upside he has, taking the chance on him for 1/6 is a risk you would be foolish not to take.
    • Haha. Our reliever with the lowest FIP & WHIP and highest K/BB rate.
    • Akin is discussed above. Pretty sure he is out of options as of this year. But I am far from a roster nerd.  Cano and Felix do have options but they are not the type of guys you would option assuming they are performing at a high level, only if they struggle. We are not going to want to option them just to get through a bullpen day or manage rest. 
    • It's a tough question. Akin stunk/hurt in 2023, this year he was very good in medium/low leverage situations. Suarez is a starter *and* was effective in relief. I don't know, think I'd rather have Suarez, tbh.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...