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AL Playoff Race - 9 weeks left- now 1 week


eddie83

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-7 weeks left
-Orioles are now clear favorites to win AL East. Boston hanging around. 
 

this week 

AL playoff race 

AL East                        GB            GL 

BAL        73-45                            44
TB          71-49               3.0         42


TOR        66-54             8.0         42


BOS        62-56             11.0        44


NYY        60-58            13.0        42

AL Central 
MINN      62-58                           42
CLE         57-62              4.5        43

AL West
TEX         70-48                          44
HOU        68-51            2.5         43
SEA         63-54            6.5         45
LAA         59-60           11.5         43

AL WC
TB             71-49          +5.0
HOU         68-51           +2.5


TOR           66-54          - - - 
——————
SEA            63-54           1.5 
BOS           62-56          3.0
NYY            60-58          5.0
LAA            59-60          6.5
CLE            57-62          8.5

SCHEDULES

BAL 
       
@SD (3)    @OAK (3)
TOR (3)    COL (3)
CWS (3)    @ARZ (3)                 5
@LAA (3)    @BOS (3)
STL (3)    TB (4)
@HOU (3)    @CLE (4)
WAS (2)    BOS (4)

TB
  
@SF (3)    @LAA (3)
COL (3)    NYY(3)
@MIA (2)    @ CLE (3)               5
BOS (3)    SEA (4)
@MIN (3)    @BAL (4)
LAA (3)    TOR (3)
BOS (2)    @TOR (3)
    

TOR
    
PHI (2)     @CIN (3)
@BAL (3)     CLE (3)
WAS (3)     @COL (3)                5
@OAK (3)     KC (3)
TEX (4)     BOS (3)
@NYY (3)    @TB (3)
NYY (3)    TB (3)

BOS
    
@WAS (3)     @NYY (3)
@HOU (4)    LAD (3)
HOU (3)    @KC (3)                  5
@TB (3)    BAL (3)
NYY (4)     @TOR (3)
@TEX (3)    CWS (3)
TB (2)    @BAL (4)

NYY
    
@ATL (3)    BOS (3)
WAS (3)    @TB (3)
@DET (4)    @HOU (3)              5
DET (3)    MIL (3)
@BOS (4)    @PIT (3)
TOR (3)    ARZ (3)
@TOR (3)    @KC (3)


MIN
    
DET (2)    PIT (3)
@MIL (2)    TEX (4)
CLE (3)     @TEX (3)               5
@CLE (3)     NYM (3)
TB (3)    @CWS (4)
@CIN (3)    LAA (3)
OAK (3)    @COL (3)

CLE
    
CIN (2)    DET (4)
LAD (3)    @TOR (3)
MIN (3)    TB (3)                       5
MIN(3)    @LAA (4)
@SF (3)    TEX (3)
@KC (3)    BAL (4)
CIN (2)    @DET (3) 

TEX
    
LAA (3)    MIL (3)
@ARZ (2)    @MINN (4)
@NYM (3)    MIN (3)                   5
HOU (3)    OAK (3)
@TOR (4)    @CLE (3)
BOS (3)    SEA (3)
@LAA (3)    @ SEA (4) 

HOU
    
@MIA (3)    SEA (3)
BOS (4)    @DET (3)
@BOS (3)    NYY (3)                  5
@TEX (3)    SD (3)
OAK (3)    @KC (3)
BAL (3)     KC (3)
@SEA (3)    @ARZ (3)

LAA
    
@TEX (3)    TB (3)
CIN (3)    @NYM (3)
@PHI (3)    @OAK (3)                5
BAL (3)    CLE (4)
@SEA (3)    DET (3)
@TB (3)    @MIN(3)
TEX (3)    OAK (3)

SEA
    
@KC (4)    @HOU (3)
@CWS (3)    KC (3)
OAK (3)    @NYM (3)               5
@CIN (3)    @TB (4)
LAA (3)    LAD (3)
@OAK (3)    @TEX (3)
HOU (3)    TEX (4)
I

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10 minutes ago, ORIOLE33 said:

Are the Yankees far enough back that we should be rooting for them vs Atlanta? 
 

Gotta think long term. 

Something I struggle with sometimes is do I want the Yankees to lose every game for the remainder of the season? This is better for them long term in terms of draft position...... or do I want them to win exactly 80 games and miss the playoffs every year?

I think in terms of what is worst for them long term i think it might be going 80-82 every year.

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2 hours ago, ORIOLE33 said:

Are the Yankees far enough back that we should be rooting for them vs Atlanta? 
 

Gotta think long term. 

It doesn’t matter what Atlanta does they have home field advantage in World Series with National league win in all star game.

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6 minutes ago, bpilktree said:

It doesn’t matter what Atlanta does they have home field advantage in World Series with National league win in all star game.

That rule was changed after the 2017 season.  Best record among the pennant winners gets home-field advantage in the World Series.

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6 hours ago, dystopia said:

Rule #1: Root for the Orioles

Rule #2: Root for whoever plays the Yankees.

I've always used the hierarchy:

 

Rule #1: Root for the Orioles

Rule #2: Root for a particular outcome if it benefits the Orioles

Rule #3: Root for whoever plays the Yankees

Rule #4: Root for whoever plays the Red Sox

Given the scenario above, looks like Rule #2 could be used for the Braves-Yankees series if it helps to ensure the Orioles would have home field advantage in the WS.

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I wasn't sure whether or not to start a new thread on the Rays so it's good to find this one.  The Rays are going through quite a bit of adversity all of a sudden.  They've been 15-21 since July 1st.

Like FlaosFan says, McClanahan is done.  He's been out for a while, but now they know they can't rely on him for the playoff race.  Their rotation does still include Tyler Glasnow, Zach Eflin and Aaron Civale, but they've had to rely on "openers" like Shawn Armstrong and Jalen Beeks to fill it out.

Then we have the Wander Franco situation.  Now that the subject matter has been leaked... even if he is innocent of any charges coming his way, this would be a stain on his reputation/career.  If not, he's going to prison.  And it has the potential to be a huge distraction.  Not to mention, they've lost their All Star shortstop who was OPSing 819 with stellar defense.  He was second in the AL in rWAR (behind Ohtani of course) and fourth in fWAR.  So they've brought in brand new rookie Osleivis Basabe.

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/08/rays-to-promote-osleivis-basabe.html

Quote

Basabe’s hitting took a step up during his 2022 minor league campaign at the high-A and Double-A levels, which earned him his first trip to Triple-A in 2023.  His season at Durham has resulted in a .297/.350/.427 slash line and four homers over 424 plate appearances, with 16 steals as well as 24 doubles and seven triples.  This performance has boosted his prospect stock, as MLB Pipeline (6th) and Baseball America (7th) each rank Basabe within the top seven minor leaguers in the deep Rays farm system.

Nice prospect, but it's still a huge downgrade.

Now all that said, they beat the pants off the Giants 10-2 yesterday and the Orioles are currently losing by 7 runs, so nothing can be taken by granted.  It's just that the road is looking rougher for them.

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Now 6.5 weeks left 

Orioles season series

- won vs TOR, NYY and SEA

-up 6-3 over TB with 4 games left  

-3-3 vs Boston -7 games left 

-3-3 vs TEX- BAL currently ahead based on divisional records 24-14 vs 21-15

-1-2 vs HOU with 3 left  

*Boston playing WAS right now DET/CLE later- EDIT  BOS lost and DET/CLE rainout -DH tomorrow  

SEA/HOU  play this weekend and BOS/NYY. 
 

AL playoff race 

AL East                        GB            GL 

BAL        74-47                            41 
TB          73-50              2.0        39


TOR        67-55             7.5         39


BOS        63-58             11.0       41

NYY        60-61             14.0       41

AL Central 
MINN      63-59                          40
CLE         58-63             4.5        41

AL West
TEX         72-49                           41
HOU        70-52           2.5         40
SEA         66-55          6.0           41
LAA         60-62           12.5       40

AL WC
TB             73-50           +5.5
HOU         70-52            +3.0


TOR           67-55            - - - 
——————
SEA            66-55          0.5 
BOS           63-58           3.5
NYY            60-61           6.5 
LAA            60-62           7.0 
CLE            58-63            8.5

SCHEDULES

BAL 
    
    
    @OAK (3)
TOR (3)    COL (3)
CWS (3)    @ARZ (3)                 5
@LAA (3)    @BOS (3)
STL (3)    TB (4)
@HOU (3)    @CLE (4)
WAS (2)    BOS (4)

TB
  
    
    
    @LAA (3)
COL (3)    NYY(3)
@MIA (2)    @ CLE (3)               5
BOS (3)    SEA (4)
@MIN (3)    @BAL (4)
LAA (3)    TOR (3)
BOS (2)    @TOR (3)
    

TOR
    
    
    @CIN (3)
@BAL (3)     CLE (3)
WAS (3)     @COL (3)                5
@OAK (3)     KC (3)
TEX (4)     BOS (3)
@NYY (3)    @TB (3)
NYY (3)    TB (3)

BOS
    
    
    @NYY (3)
@HOU (4)    LAD (3)
HOU (3)    @KC (3)                  5
@TB (3)    BAL (3)
NYY (4)     @TOR (3)
@TEX (3)    CWS (3)
TB (2)    @BAL (4)

NYY
    
    
    BOS (3)
WAS (3)    @TB (3)
@DET (4)    @HOU (3)              5
DET (3)    MIL (3)
@BOS (4)    @PIT (3)
TOR (3)    ARZ (3)
@TOR (3)    @KC (3)


MIN
    
    
    PIT (3)
@MIL (2)    TEX (4)
CLE (3)     @TEX (3)               5
@CLE (3)     NYM (3)
TB (3)    @CWS (4)
@CIN (3)    LAA (3)
OAK (3)    @COL (3)

CLE
    
    
    DET (4)
LAD (3)    @TOR (3)
MIN (3)    TB (3)                       5
MIN(3)    @LAA (4)
@SF (3)    TEX (3)
@KC (3)    BAL (4)
CIN (2)    @DET (3) 

TEX
    
    
    MIL (3)
@ARZ (2)    @MINN (4)
@NYM (3)    MIN (3)                   5
HOU (3)    OAK (3)
@TOR (4)    @CLE (3)
BOS (3)    SEA (3)
@LAA (3)    @ SEA (4) 

HOU
    
    
    SEA(3)
BOS (4)    @DET (3)
@BOS (3)    NYY (3)                  5
@TEX (3)    SD (3)
OAK (3)    @KC (3)
BAL (3)     KC (3)
@SEA (3)    @ARZ (3)

LAA
    
    
    TB (3)
CIN (3)    @NYM (3)
@PHI (3)    @OAK (3)                5
BAL (3)    CLE (4)
@SEA (3)    DET (3)
@TB (3)    @MIN(3)
TEX (3)    OAK (3)

SEA
    
    
    @HOU (3)
@CWS (3)    KC (3)
OAK (3)    @NYM (3)               5
@CIN (3)    @TB (4)
LAA (3)    LAD (3)
@OAK (3)    @TEX (3)
HOU (3)    TEX (4)
I

Edited by eddie83
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