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2023 #7 Prospect Enrique Bradfield Jr. - CF


Tony-OH

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16 hours ago, LookinUp said:

Don't they always? 

It may be arrogance in their own ability to develop at this point, but I doubt they're accepting that he will be almost unplayable outside of a platoon or defensive replacement role. They're probably the ones who put out the Kenny Lofton hype. Lol.

Who has even suggested that anywhere? Way too early to draw those conclusions and I'm positive the Orioles don't see that or they would not have taken him in the 1st round. 

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56 minutes ago, Fiver6565 said:

Quoting because I looked up the name - Johan Rojas

 

Johan Rojas Stats: Statcast, Visuals & Advanced Metrics | baseballsavant.com (mlb.com)

Check out his spray chart.  How do you explain the blue dot/double next to home plate?  Baltimore chopper over the IF?  Bunt double?  IFFB where no one was given an E?

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1 minute ago, btdart20 said:

Johan Rojas Stats: Statcast, Visuals & Advanced Metrics | baseballsavant.com (mlb.com)

Check out his spray chart.  How do you explain the blue dot/double next to home plate?  Baltimore chopper over the IF?  Bunt double?  IFFB where no one was given an E?

Just got to click on the dot.. ;) Speeds kills...

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/sporty-videos?playId=4f769e7c-66cf-49f0-8a6d-e78ae56429ea

 

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44 minutes ago, Tony-OH said:

Who has even suggested that anywhere? Way to early to draw those conclusions and I'm positive the Orioles don't see that or they would not have taken him in the 1st round. 

Nobody's suggesting it. I'm pointing out that they absolutely must project more power from his bat. There's no other possibility. 

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To the extent the org revolves around Adley, it tilts me to the Oregon State Steven Kwan comparison too.

The 2.0% swinging strike rate thing really was nuts - here are All Affiliated Minors with 100 PA (more than 2500 guys), Bradfield was #1.

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/minor-league?pos=all&level=0&lg=2,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,14,12,13,15,16,17,18,30,32,33&stats=bat&qual=100&type=2&team=&season=2023&seasonEnd=2023&org=&ind=0&splitTeam=false&players=&sort=15,-1

Arraez, Kwan, Bregman, Myles Straw were the MLB leaders among 2023's qualified Bats at lowest SwStr%, with Adley #7.     Myles Straw I think is probably the most generic floor for this kind of profile in MLB currently.      He's gotten about 575 PA/year the last few seasons despite a 77 career OPS+.

 

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6 hours ago, Frobby said:

I’m thinking that’s too lofty.  (See what I did there?)

Lofton had a career .124, and had double digit homers 7 times.   Butler had an .086 ISO, and was never in double digits for homers.  He did have double digits in triples 5 times though.  I’d be thrilled with either outcome (68.4 rWAR for Lofton, 49.8 for Butler) but I’m pessimistic that Bradfield will have as much pop as Lofton.  

Considering that Lofton should be in the Hall, I sure would be happy with that outcome. 

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11 hours ago, Frobby said:

 (2) his defense is so good that the floor for what he needs to do on offense to justify being a major league starter is about as low as it can go.   So, that will be fun to watch.  

Brings to mind our own Jorge Mateo. I wonder how those two will compare... and if they will ever end up playing together. 

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58 minutes ago, OriolesMagic83 said:

If he can lay down a bunt and not make bone headed baserunning plays, he'll be ahead of Mateo

Mateo made a few mistakes, but I wouldn’t say he makes an excessive number of boneheaded baserunning plays.  I will grant you the point about his bunting.  

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44 minutes ago, ShoelesJoe said:

SSS and all that, but Bradfield's A ball stats are very close to those of 21 year old Kevin Kiermaier when he was on Tampa's A-ball team. I'd be very happy with that kind of career for Bradfield. 

If Bradfield can torment other AL East teams the way he’s tormented the Orioles over his career, I’d take that for sure. 

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I’m excited for Bradford but we don’t necessarily need him to develop into a #1/#2 type hitter. Obviously, that is ideal. With the projected future of our offense him turning into a GG CF that bats #7-#9 is really good. Sort of like what Jackie Bradley gave Boston. Heck, even Mullins was hitting 6th a lot last year. However, that was after his injury. 

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