How does Povich fit into your 2025 plans?

[CTBear]

He hit 96 on the gun in his final start. His September was really strong and he made the postseason roster. He pitched very well at Camden Yards too. I’m hoping he can build off of some of that success and win a rotation spot out of spring training. 

[theobird]

Povich will be in our rotation next year, book it. Kid came on strong down the stretch, he vastly improved his command and his stuff plays. Get used to seeing Povich, he’s gonna be a mainstay for years to come

[Sports Guy]

44 minutes ago, Flash- bd said:

That's pretty good for his rookie season, no? I'm a bit confused by the characterization of his peripheral stats not being great.

Yep, basically agree with this. With the favorite undoubtedly being Povich, and Rogers / Suárez (bullpen) / McDermott next up when the inevitable injury hits. 

That one particular stat is good..but his K rate, Bb rate, missed bats, many of his statcast stats, etc…not so good.

[LookitsPuck]

29 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

That one particular stat is good..but his K rate, Bb rate, missed bats, many of his statcast stats, etc…not so good.

Maybe so, but his Statcast is already better than Rogers, as are his peripherals. Especially if you look at the starts after being called back up. 8 starts since being called back up:

4.25 ERA, 3.47 FIP, 1.20 WHIP, 9.4 SO/9, 2.3 BB/9, 1.1 HR/9

Those are solid as all get out. And are very much inline with what he did in AAA this year!

Kid has positive run value for his 4 seamer, sweeper, sinker and his change has upside. If he can consistently get that change where he wants, he’s got middle of the rotation stuff.

[LookitsPuck]

53 minutes ago, theobird said:

Povich will be in our rotation next year, book it. Kid came on strong down the stretch, he vastly improved his command and his stuff plays. Get used to seeing Povich, he’s gonna be a mainstay for years to come

One of Elias’s better trades, tbh. Half a season of Jorge Lopez as a reliever for Cano, Povich, Nunez, Rojas. Right up there with the Bradish trade.

[RVAOsFan]

1 hour ago, RZNJ said:

Assuming we get an established starter to go along with Eflin, GRod, and Kremer, that leaves Suarez, Rogers, and Povich competing for the 5th spot.   Suarez has earned the edge.  If Suarez is the 5th starter, then one of Roger’s/Povich becomes a swing man in the pen with the other providing depth in Norfolk.  Povich has options and I believe Rogers does as well.

 

 

This is my thought process regarding the pitching staff next season, ideally we resign Burnes but if not another TOR like Snell or Fried need to be signed this offseason.  Eflin GRod and Kremer are a really solid 2,3,4 the 5 spot is open to competition but realistically there will probably be some injuries or fatigue that require all of these guys contributing. 

[RVAOsFan]

13 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

Povich was up and down at this level this year. 
 

His peripheral stats aren’t great…His xERA was 4.02. He has some upside but I’m unsure how much. He ended the year strong. In 27.2 IP in September, Povich had a 2.60 ERA, 10.4 K rate, 2.6 BB rate and only 16 hits allowed.

Right now, we have 3 guaranteed starters in GRod, Kremer and Eflin. Rogers and Povich are also possible but I can’t imagine those 5 are our starters next year. 

Elias likes both of the lefties, as he made it a point to trade for them.

So, where does that leave Povich?  Is he trade bait? Is he depth? Is he a starter for us next year?

If you are going to make a major trade this offseason, I would figure Povich and/or Kjerstad will be involved in the deal.

What would you do with him?

Last offseason with John (I am so poor) Angelos still in charge, along with the depth in the upper minor leagues it made sense to make a trade for someone like Burnes.  I don't think Elias should be looking at making a trade this offseason using any of our young talent.  It is time for Rubenstein to open the checkbook and land us a TOR starter and a big bat.  The days of having too many prospects is over, I want to see us have some solid depth options in AAA if we need it.