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The secret of Zach Britton's unique dominance


xian4

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Nice, thanks for posting.

It confirms some observations that we have been having.

From the comment section.

So 8 of his hits were unlucky, but how many of his outs were lucky?
This is a good question! And one that I feel silly for having not addressed in the post. Using the same parameters, but going in the other direction, Britton’s “Lucky Out%” is just 13.2%, where league average is at about 23%. Puts him in like the 98th percentile, or right about where he is in the “Unlucky Hits.” So, an even stronger case has now been made!
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  • 2 weeks later...
OFFNY said:
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(vs. DIAMONDBACKS, 9/25)

 

4 up, 3 down.

Britton ceded a 2-out single before closing the show.

He leads the American League in both Games Finished (61), and Saves (46.)

 

2016 ERA: Oll.ll. 0.56

2016 WHIP: O,l 0.839

 

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Buck Showalter on Britton's season ........ "Its historical. Take a good look at it, because it wont pass your way again.

https://twitter.com/masnRoch/status/780154275389472769

 

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(SEPTEMBER 28th)

 

Question:) Who is the only player this season to homer off of Zach Britton ???

Answer:) Mookie Betts. He hit a lead-off home run off of Britton in the 9th inning of an April 11th game at Fenway Park. The Orioles won, 9-7.

 

SOURCE:) Roch Kubatko

 

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Haven't seen this posted yet: this article from The Ringer uses a rarely cited stat to make a possible case for Britton not just as Cy Young, but MVP.

Last year, with the help of Dan Hirsch, creator of historical stats and analysis site The Baseball Gauge, I introduced/revived a stat called Championship Probability Added, which addresses the aforementioned factors that fall outside the scope of WPA. Built on the bones of similar stats that hadn’t been tweaked to reflect the current, 10-team playoff format, Championship Probability Added answers a simple but compelling question: How much has a given player helped or hurt his team’s chances of winning the World Series?
For the O’s, almost every game has been a fight for their spot in the standings.

...

That brings us back to Britton. Put the player with the highest Win Probability Added on the Team with the highest Championship Leverage Index, and you have a formula for a runaway winner in the Championship Probability Added race.

...

According to cWPA, Britton, all by himself, has increased the Orioles’ odds of winning a championship by 4 percentage points. No other player comes close: The difference in cWPA between Britton and second-ranked Daniel Murphy is as great as the difference between Murphy and 33rd-ranked Carlos Correa.

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Zach Britton has thrown 1 pitch up and out of the zone all season (barely)... That's pretty impressive. <a href="https://t.co/jSGtoUo8Gi">pic.twitter.com/jSGtoUo8Gi</a></p>— Daren Willman (@darenw) <a href="

">September 29, 2016</a></blockquote>

<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Per Daren Willman

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Eeek... Apologies on this tweet. That was only balls in play. Here's all his pitches. I'll do better. Still impressive <a href="https://t.co/xBL4JFOnIt">pic.twitter.com/xBL4JFOnIt</a></p>— Daren Willman (@darenw) <a href="

">September 29, 2016</a></blockquote>

<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

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  • 6 months later...
On 4/8/2017 at 1:36 PM, OFFNY said:

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(APRIL 8th)

 

Britton's ankle is fine. He said that the mound visit in the 9th inning was only "A courtesy visit" from Showalter and Bancells.

 

https://twitter.com/masnRoch/status/850746332616773633

 

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Zach Britton has recorded 51 consecutive save opportunities, dating back to October 1st of 2015.

 

https://twitter.com/masnSteve/status/850535964359499776

 

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  • 3 weeks later...

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