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We know his plate discipline is poor. Beyond that, earlier in the season, I thought he was just coming in too steep. As in, he's late and/or his arms get too far behind his body so his hands then go directly to the ball. He's still hitting the ball hard but the launch angle isn't there to create HRs. What I think now is that he's letting the ball travel too far because he's focusing too much on right field. His Pull% is below 2020-21 (though it is = 2022-23). His Cent% is below his career average (47% vs. 55%) and his Oppo% has climbed every year (19%, 24%, 26% and now 32%). In other words, the stupid eyesore wall is probably part of the overall power shortage, which seems to come from bad luck (many top-of-wall doubles) and an increased approach to right center. We have seen him use right field when he's going well but maybe that approach has become excessive. There have been many times where he's hit an inside pitch, off the plate even, to the right side. It's also true he'd have 20 HRs playing for many other teams, so we wouldn't be having this conversation. I always coached my kids to work away, but when I had a kid letting the ball travel too far, or who wouldn't even pull an inside pitch, I'd try to reset them a bit by having them focus on hitting the ball in front of them more. We don't know what the O's and Mounty are teaching and working on but I'd love to see him try pulling some inner half pitches for a few games. -
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By interloper · Posted
If you look closer than just ERA, he's been terrible. -
By LookitsPuck · Posted
He was excellent earlier in the year when his velocity was a few ticks higher, but it’s dropped as well as his command. I was OK with the Kimbrel acquisition. I was not ok with it being the only real reliever acquired outside of Elias’s typical waiver diving approach. -
By LookitsPuck · Posted
I think the issue with Brandon Young is he's both unproven and has not operated as a reliever much at all this year. He's apparently made, what, 3 appearances as a reliever with 33 PA (which would be more like a middle/long reliever). Personally, I'd like Young as an option in September when rosters expand, and I'd like Rogers optioned as Povich given the rotation spot. Young is intriguing, though. But there's a world in which you can have Young *and* Neris. -
This was a bet by Elias that really blew up in his face. To pay this much money for this kind of performance. -
By LookitsPuck · Posted
Pretty funny that Jorge Lopez has made Hector Neris expendable, whereas if the O's just picked up Jorge Lopez *FOR FREE*, we aren't having this conversation. You have to ask yourself the following: Is Hector Neris better than any of the following: Seranthony Dominguez - no Craig Kimbrel - maybe Yennier Cano - no Cionel Perez - maybe Colin Selby - yes Burch Smith - no (situationally) Gregory Soto - yes Keegan Akin - no I don't think there's a world in which Elias admits that Kimbrel is cooked and cuts him. Just not going to happen. So he's off the table. That leaves Perez with 2 years left of control, so don't think he's going anywhere. Gregory Soto who was just acquired by drastically overpaying for him and his extra year of service and his inability to get righties out with all of his control issues, but I don't think Elias admits defeat with Soto since he just overpaid for him *and* talked about his extra year of service. So he's not going anywhere, unfortunately. So this really leaves Colin Selby. Selby has options, something Elias loves. Neris doesn't have options. Rosters expand soon, but you can only have 14 pitchers. So that's 1 extra arm. I could see a world where they option Selby, pickup Neris and then when rosters expand bring up Young and Selby and do funny things with the rotation to keep guys fresh. To me I like Hector Neris more than a couple guys in the bullpen right now. The WHIP sucks, similar to Soto, he also stinks against righties, similar to Soto. But if we look at his last, let's call 20 game sample, Neris has only allowed earned runs in 5 of them. 2 of the 5 have been more than 1 run. So, maybe you don't anoint him the closer, but he's definitely better than some of the guys in the pen. Why not? Elias already missed on one bullpen arm that cost nothing, and instead we are calling up Selby and giving time to Kimbrel, Soto and putting guys like Perez in sticky situations more often than not. -
The bullpen has had a worse performance in the second half than in the first half, in both 2023 and 2024. So it would be interesting to see the rankings for the second-half only (the one that is likely to be reproduced in the playoffs). In part, this was due to injuries. But this is part of the game, all teams have it. If other teams are doing better, it's because they have more depth or a plan B.
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