Jump to content

Record Breaking HR Prediction Thread


Moose Milligan

Recommended Posts

As you are all aware, the Orioles are streaking towards the record for homers given up in a season, 258 by the 2016 Reds.  Our birds will destroy this record, it's not a question of "if"but "when".

So let's have some fun with it.  This thread is to predict:

  • The batter that hits it
  • The pitcher that gives it up
  • Date of the game
  • Inning
  • Anything else you want to add to make yourself seem like you have a crystal ball

Baseball reference has the team giving up 223 homers so far.  I'm pretty sure BR updates nightly so that total should include what the Yankees hit last night.

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 88
  • Created
  • Last Reply
8 minutes ago, Frobby said:

August 27, O’s vs. Nats, Juan Soto hits it in the 1st inning against Wojciechowski.   The ball travels 411 feet and ties the game at 1-1.    

What do I get when I’m right?

Isn't Soto injured on that date? 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Frobby said:

August 27, O’s vs. Nats, Juan Soto hits it in the 1st inning against Wojciechowski.   The ball travels 411 feet and ties the game at 1-1.    

What do I get when I’m right?

You deserve something for spelling Wojo’s full surname.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Moose Milligan said:

More rep points? :disco:

Yeah, he really could use those. ?@Can_of_corn will have to settle for 2nd. 

OK, for @Moose Milligan's contest, I'll take Colonel Mustard, in the Billiard Room, with......a lead pipe.   

32 HRs in 8 games by NY this year is also a record for any visiting team, breaking a mark last set in 1957 (29).  The surprising thing is NY "only" has 9 vs Baltimore in 5 games at Yankee Stadium .  Anyhoo, tack on 5 more the next two nights from them.   31 to go to set the record. 
56 games each, home and road, and yet at home more fan souvenirs have been given out, 130 to 96.   42+ HRs/month.   Odds are a home game late in the month, which sets up TB but I'm not going with them.    After having said all that, ordinarily, I would say forget it, and go with 8/27 in DC, since I'll be at that game, but @Frobby already called it. hmmm

8/28 in DC.  Y-noa, it will be him,  3rd inning, hit by Rendon.   Final answer, Regis.
 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, TonySoprano said:

Yeah, he really could use those. ?@Can_of_corn will have to settle for 2nd. 

OK, for @Moose Milligan's contest, I'll take Colonel Mustard, in the Billiard Room, with......a lead pipe.   

32 HRs in 8 games by NY this year is also a record for any visiting team, breaking a mark last set in 1957 (29).  The surprising thing is NY "only" has 9 vs Baltimore in 5 games at Yankee Stadium .  Anyhoo, tack on 5 more the next two nights from them.   31 to go to set the record. 
56 games each, home and road, and yet at home more fan souvenirs have been given out, 130 to 96.   42+ HRs/month.   Odds are a home game late in the month, which sets up TB but I'm not going with them.    After having said all that, ordinarily, I would say forget it, and go with 8/27 in DC, since I'll be at that game but @Frobby already called it. hmmm

8/28 in DC.  Y-noa, it will be him,  3rd inning, hit by Rendon.   Final answer, Regis.
 

I have no illusions that I'll ever catch Frobby, he's both more popular and a better poster than I am.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.




  • Posts

    • So it is different from last year? Last year the games were something like 3:00, 4:30, 7:00, and 8:30.   Have they said it will be different this year???
    • Me too. Driving 4 hours to have a father daughter date. Can't wait!
    • The discussion about Cle vs NYY is interesting. The Os always struggle at Cle and their BP is awesome but the starters are meh and so is the offense. I prefer to play NY. Worse pen, doesn’t run as much.  Not a bunch of contact hitters.  
    • Bautista, if he is back to his old self, would be a big addition. Dominguez and Soto have to improve the walk rate. They certainly have swing and miss, but at a significant cost. Cano can throw up in the zone and get misses, but he is used so often he is rarely sharp. He is used to induce ground balls, and the sinker is fairly effective when he is tired.  Akin, Webb and Coulombe are getting some swing and miss. They are all above average in swinging strike percentage, according to FanGraphs. MLB average is generally around 11.2% from year to year, and Akin (second on the Orioles behind Grayson 13.6) is at 13.2, Dominguez 12.4, Cano 12.2, Soto 12.9, Webb 11.8, Coulombe is 9.9 and Cionel 9.5. In fairness to Coulombe (11.8) and Webb (13.7), they are higher over the last three years. They have not been healthy for a fair amount of this season and pitched through some things that made those numbers dip, perhaps.  Bautista was 18% in the same period of 2022-2024. He would be 11th in MLB in 2024. No other Oriole is in the top 100 in MLB. Grayson Rodriguez is at #120. It should be noted that Andrew Walters is at 18.8, ranking 7th. He was our unsigned 18th round pick in 2022. All of that aside, I am not sure the pen is structured the same as in recent years. There may be some moves there. Or, perhaps it is like you wrote, and they focus on Soto and Dominguez making adjustments to having more command, decreasing the walks. Those two are getting a little expensive as well. I guess we’ll see.   
    • How much different? They sat Judge yesterday, they threw their playoff starters for 5+ innings yesterday and today. They are also playing for the best record in the AL. They aren't mailing it in.
    • It’s not just the O’s. I’ve checked the Dodgers who have similar prices and they have a lot of upper deck NLDS games 2 & 3 available. Same for the NLCS. yanks still have seats available also. — In general, I’m sure alot of fans are just gonna wait till the day of to grab tickets.
    • That makes no sense. If they had to win their current series would have looked much different. 
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...