At MLBTR Contract Numbers. Choose One

[RZNJ]

These three seem like the shopping aisle Mike Elias is probably shopping down.  Pick one and feel free to post your reasoning.

Edited November 10, 2023 by RZNJ

[btdart20]

I doubt Elias goes 4 years.  But can see a case for either of the others.

[Pickles]

That seems downright reasonable for Eduardo.

[OriolesMagic83]

I chose Sonny Gray.  I think he's the best overall pitcher and Elias is much more likely to go for a 3 year contract than 4 years, which I doubt he goes for anyone.  The has been a lot written about poor aging for relatively short right handers.  Not saying it would apply to Stroman, but there is a pattern.

[RZNJ]

Just now, OriolesMagic83 said:

I chose Sonny Gray.  I think he's the best overall pitcher and Elias is much more likely to go for a 3 year contract than 4 years, which I doubt he goes for anyone.  The has been a lot written about poor aging for relatively short right handers.  Not saying it would apply to Stroman, but there is a pattern.

Sonny Gray is short by MLB standards as well.  Just saying.

[G54377]

I'd pick Gray, but Eduardo being younger and a lefty takes the cake. A 4 year deal gives us some insurance with an inevitable injured season.

Erod

Bradish

Grod

 

Makes for an elite top 3

[RZNJ]

5 minutes ago, Pickles said:

That seems downright reasonable for Eduardo.

Things could get crazy pushing Gray to 4 years and ERod to 5.

[forphase1]

I went with Eduardo.  I'd rather have Sonny Gray really, and he'd have been my choice if we didn't lose a draft pick by signing him.  That pick is valuable, and that's why I went with Eduardo.

[Moose Milligan]

Gray since I think he's the best pitcher of the group.  At this stage in the game, I don't care about losing a draft pick.

[Pickles]

3 minutes ago, RZNJ said:

Things could get crazy pushing Gray to 4 years and ERod to 5.

I would expect that tbh.  

I advocated signing E-Rod two years ago.  He has been the only FA I've really advocated for since the rebuild began.

I'd love to see him in Baltimore at 4/80, but when the numbers inevitably creep higher than that, I fully expect them to walk away.

[Pickles]

7 minutes ago, RZNJ said:

Sonny Gray is short by MLB standards as well.  Just saying.

I just noticed that.  He's listed at 5'10" which means he's probably a legit 5'8".

He's had an impressive career for a 5'8" righty.

[SilverRocket]

Surprised to be in the minority picking Stroman here. All three pitchers are similar but for a FA pitcher in his thirties, I'm going with the shortest deal.

Does MLBTR have updated numbers since this article? https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/11/2023-24-top-50-free-agents-with-predictions.html
That link projects 4/90 for Sonny Gray.

[RZNJ]

4 minutes ago, SilverRocket said:

Surprised to be in the minority picking Stroman here. All three pitchers are similar but for a FA pitcher in his thirties, I'm going with the shortest deal.

Does MLBTR have updated numbers since this article? https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/11/2023-24-top-50-free-agents-with-predictions.html
That link projects 4/90 for Sonny Gray.

I can’t change the poll mid stream but that might change things.  

[AnythingO's]

ERod IMO is the best bet for 30 starts and 150+ inn with sub 4 ERA. He is the youngest at 30 yo and a lefty, and had BAL as one of his 3 approved destinations at the trade deadline. I would offer 4@$78 M with a 5th year option at $22 M if he goes 450 inn at sub 4.0 ERA in the first 3 years combined. Gray's 2023 season at 34 is most like his OAK years in 2014-2015, I view that as an outlier relative to going forward. Stroman at 32 seems to be a 25 start, 130ish inn guy. The lower AAV, for longer term, for the youngest pitcher, in a location he preferred, and a lefty. Sign ERod.

[RZNJ]

My apologies.  I have changed the Gray contract according to MLBTR.  Not sure if they updated or I just blew it.  If you’ve already voted for Gray at the 3/69 contract tell us if this changes your poll choice.