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The Nationals Series


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Burnes (3-1, 2.61) faced the Nats twice last year, allowing 4 ER in 5.2 IP the first time, 2 ER in 6 IP the second time.  

Bradish (1-0, 0.00) also faced them twice, throwing 14 scoreless innings.  Advantage, Bradish.

Trevor Williams (3-0, 2.27) started against the O’s in 2017, allowing 1 run in 6 IP.  Michael Parker (2-1, 2.53) has never faced the O’s.   

The Nats come in scoring 4.18 runs per game, 18th in MLB and a 100 OPS+, 16th.  The O’s are 2nd in R/G at 5.29 and 2nd in OPS+ at 122.  The Nats lineup features 5 hitters who are off to good starts: CJ Abrams (165 OPS+), Luis Garcia (160), Nick Senzel (143), Jesse Winker (134) and Jacob Young (119).  The rest of the lineup has been a bit of a black hole, all at 79 OPS+ or worse    

The Nats’ bullpen ranks 16th in ERA at 3.81, while the O’s are 11th at 3.54.   

The Nats have built their 17-17 record on a pretty easy schedule, -0.4 SRS per BB-ref.   The O’s 23-11 has come against the toughest schedule in the league to date, at +2.0 SRS.

Time to show the Nats who’s the alpha dog in this region.  



 

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Per Tom Boswell, this series marks the end of 21 straight games for the Nats against 2023 playoff teams, and they are 11-8 so far.   However, that group includes Houston (12-22), Miami (10-27) and Toronto (16-19).

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A lot of O’s fans in DC usual; all the pre-game spots felt like 95% O’s fans. I saw Clancy at one of the outdoor bars at Turtle.

For the game itself maybe 60% O’s fans? Metro packed with O’s fans also.

I’m now 7-0 at O’s games in DC so the unbeaten streak continues.

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