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Phillies series is going to be fun


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19 minutes ago, Malike said:

Eh, we'll likely be throwing Suarez, Povich and Irvin against the Yankees so not exactly our best.

I've been saying this for a week since Hyde went to the 6 man rotation. Right now, NY lines up w/ Poteet, Cortes, and Gil. They have a clear advantage if this holds. I am hoping w/ the off day, Hyde will maybe push Bradish or GRod up a day to at least face Gil on Thu.

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6 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

 

2 of the 3 best teams and arguably the leading contenders for CY in each league but is that the Sunday ESPn national game?  Nah..we got Boston vs NY!  

We will be on Sunday Night Baseball in 2 weeks when we play the Rangers. That was just announced today.

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1 hour ago, Malike said:

Eh, we'll likely be throwing Suarez, Povich and Irvin against the Yankees so not exactly our best.

I really hope that doesn't happen. Hyde said that the 6-man rotation was not going to be a permanent thing, nor should it with our schedule and our bullpen situation. The pen needs a long man. Suarez is a maybe to complete five innings. Suarez should be in the pen, not starting at Yankee Stadium.

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Red Sox knocked out Aaron Nola after four innings, so Philly has used Gregory Soto, Orion Kerkering, and now Jeff Hoffman out of the bullpen. It's still the seventh inning. Keep working that bullpen!

Also good to see Boston's offense rolling before the Yankees come to town.

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9 hours ago, OsFanSinceThe80s said:

That’s because ESPN cares about the Yankees, Dodgers, Red Sox, Cardinals/Cubs series and then depending on how much time is left the rest of MLB gets a few crumbs of coverage. 

Believe it or not, I don't think the Yankees have played on Sunday night all that often over years. What I don't get is ESPN's infatuation with the Cardinals. They get a slew of Sunday night games every year. 

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3 hours ago, Moshagge3 said:

I really hope that doesn't happen. Hyde said that the 6-man rotation was not going to be a permanent thing, nor should it with our schedule and our bullpen situation. The pen needs a long man. Suarez is a maybe to complete five innings. Suarez should be in the pen, not starting at Yankee Stadium.

Bradish goes Friday so if they don't want him on extra rest after what happened the last time, he'd pitch on Wednesday, Rodriguez on 4 days rest on Thursday so no Burnes, and GRod scares me being a flyball pitcher, pitching in that bandbox of a stadium. We'll see, I guess, but it's not lining up for us to have all of our studs pitching with more than 4 days rest and Bradish concerns me with little rest. Who pitches on Tuesday?

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The Phillies come to town at 46-22, one game better than the Orioles' 45-23.   They have faced an incredibly easy schedule, playing only 12 games against team over .500.  That stops tonight.  The pitching matchups are:

Ranger Suárez (10-1, 1.81 ERA) vs. Kyle Bradish (2-0, 2.62)

Taijuan Walker (3-1, 5.40) vs. Grayson Rodriguez (7-2, 3.27)

Zack Wheeler (8-3, 2.16) vs.  Corbin Burnes (7-2, 2.08)

Suárez has faced the Orioles twice, in 2021 and 2023, going 6 innings each time and yielding 2 and 4 runs.  He won the 2021 game and took a no-decision last year.  Bradish has only faced the Phillies once, taking the loss last year while allowing 5 ER in 6.2 innings.   Suárez and Bradish went head to head in 2023, with Bradish yielding the go-ahead runs after Suárez had left the game.

Walker has faced the Orioles nine times in his career, going 4-1 with a 2.54 ERA.  In his sole appearance last year, he allowed 2 runs in 5.2 innings and got no decision.  Rodriguez has never faced the Phillies.

Wheeler has faced the Orioles four times, throwing to a 1.90 ERA and a 1-0 record.  Last year, he allowed 1 run in 6 innings and getting no decision.  Burnes pitched four games against the Phillies while he was with the Brewers, twice in relief and twice as a starter, and has a 0.55 ERA against them.   Last year, he pitched 8 innings of 2-hit shutout ball against them, striking out 10, posting a game score of 87, his best of the year (tied with a start he had against the Orioles).   

The bullpens are pretty evenly matched.  The Phillies' pen has a 3.55 ERA, 9th in MLB, and has 20 saves in 30 opportunities (67%).   The Orioles relievers have a 3.27 ERA, 4th in MLB, and have 22 saves in 35 opportunities (63%).  Phillies closer Jose Alvarado has 12 saves in 14 opportunities and a 3.41 ERA.  Ex-Phillie Craig Kimbrel has a 2.59 ERA and 16 saves in 19 opportunities.   

This matchup features the top two teams in runs/game, with the O's offense leading MLB at 5.10 runs/game and the Phillies hot on their heels at 5.07.   By OPS+, the O's are 2nd in MLB at 119 and the Phillies are 5th at 112.  With runners in scoring position, the Phillies boast an .843 OPS (4th in MLB), while the Orioles are at .815 (6th).   

Notably, the Phillies will be without their star catcher J.P. Realmuto, who is undergoing knee surgery.   The Phillies are 35-16 with Realmuto behind the dish, 11-6 with others.  Trea Turner and Brandon Marsh also are on the IL, though Marsh may return during this series.  So, maybe not the worst time to catch the Phillies.

The Phillies are a very good team, but so are the O's, and the O's are a little more battle-tested this year.   We'll see how the weekend goes.

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