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2024 1st Round Pick (#22): Vance Honeycutt - OF - (Jr) North Carolina (NC)

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Warehouse
Warehouse

Some interesting perspectives from Kiley McDaniel on Honeycutt: https://espnpressroom.com/us/press-releases/2024/07/transcript-espn-mlb-draft-media-conference-call-with-kiley-mcdaniel/amp/  

Rbiggs2525
Rbiggs2525

Just as an FYI Westburg and Mayo had 45 hit tool in 2020. 

Malike
Malike

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Aristotelian Hangout Grand Counsel

Aristotelian

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5 minutes ago, oriole said:

I thought Bradfield was the no hit glove first CF of the future? I guess they wanted another. Hopefully he figures out the hit tool enough to be more than defensive replacement. 

Honeycutt hit for 1.100 OPS. Completely different type of player.

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DocJJ Major Leaguer

DocJJ

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The ultimate risk/reward pick.   The range of outcomes is the entire spectrum from never sees the MLB to MLB superstar....

I'd be happy with a .250 avg 25 HR 60 steals with gold glove defense outcome!

I personally would have preferred Brecht.  I know the extreme risk with any pitcher, but arms like his don't grow on trees....

 

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Malike Hangout Grand Counsel

Malike

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Just now, DocJJ said:

The ultimate risk/reward pick.   The range of outcomes is the entire spectrum from never sees the MLB to MLB superstar....

I'd be happy with a .250 avg 25 HR 60 steals with gold glove defense outcome!

I personally would have preferred Brecht.  I know the extreme risk with any pitcher, but arms like his don't grow on trees....

 

I would have liked Brecht also, but he has high reliever risk so maybe they shied away.

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Greg Pappas Hangout Grand Counsel

Greg Pappas

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11 minutes ago, Frobby said:

High risk, high reward?   He’s very Fabianesque from what I’ve read.   

These were/are my thoughts as well.  Now we need to get that hit tool to be close to average (or better).  Huge upside, but a risky choice. Let's see who we tab at 32.

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Roll Tide Hangout Grand Counsel

Roll Tide

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Who is Honeycutt? The most polarizing prospect in this draft class

Yet he is possibly the biggest wild card of the first round. Before the age of analytics, maybe Honeycutt wouldn't be such an enigma and the 6-foot-3, 205-pound center fielder who oozes athleticism would be a no-brainer early pick. After a season of superlatives, the plus runner with a plus arm and plus power is potentially weighed down by one big negative: his strikeout rate.

While Honeycutt's production soared this past season -- he hit .318 with 70 RBIs and a 1.124 OPS to go with 28 stolen bases -- he struck out 83 times in 62 games, with his strikeout rate ticking up to 27.5%. (He struck out 20.4% of the time in 2023.)

"He's one of those guys who, if everything hits, you're going to wonder how he wasn't a top-10 pick," said one National League scout. "But I just don't know if he's going to hit. There's too much swing-and-miss right now, and when he cut down on that last year, he was bad.

"The tools are really good. He's fast. He catches everything. He's got power. I could see him being like [Tampa Bay Rays outfielder] Jose Siri with more walks."

Those who have seen Honeycutt deliver in so many clutch situations, with nary an ounce of outward distress, don't seem too concerned about analytics or where he might land this weekend.

How could he miss?

"Honestly, they don't make 'em like Vance Honeycutt often enough," said Carson Herndon, who coached Honeycutt in baseball and football at Salisbury.

"He's just a special kid."


Nice pick

 

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/40527412/2024-mlb-draft-tracker-live-updates-order-results-analysis-every-first-round-pick

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DocJJ Major Leaguer

DocJJ

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2 minutes ago, Malike said:

image.thumb.png.7ceddcec4a0d129d54340d4a876e9097.png

ugh... this doesn't inspire confidence at all....!  

 

Westberg and Mclain have done pretty well...  Joey Bart at least is in the MLB.   

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HowAboutThat Hangout Grand Counsel

HowAboutThat

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I don’t understand this pick.

He’s 22 which means he’s got to reasonably debut within the next three seasons when he will be 25, we have battalions of outfielders, even if they’re all great we can’t play them all and outfielders are less valuable than pitching.

I don’t know whether this is a good pick or not so I’m not complaining, but I wish I could understand yet another OG, and the reluctance to take a pitcher, when we really really really need pitching.

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Malike Hangout Grand Counsel

Malike

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2 minutes ago, DocJJ said:

ugh... this doesn't inspire confidence at all....!  

 

Westberg and Mclain have done pretty well...  Joey Bart at least is in the MLB.   

As was stated earlier if he can bring his K rate down to ~25% he could be a star.

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