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By Sports Guy · Posted
Last years I posted about the PARS list. StS is another prospect ranking system that they use lots of different advanced stats. These 2 just joined together and did the Avengers thing and came up with a combined list using their criteria. Its probably a lot more valid than subjective rankings done because of draft status and “what you think”. That said, it’s also based off of a SSS of stats, so there is only so much to take from it. I do know both of these systems liked Povich last year too. -
By Sports Guy · Posted
When you have multiple seasons where you pitch around 180 innings and pitch to a 4ish ERA, I’m guessing you have stretches where you look pretty dominant. Zero surprising about anything he’s doing. It would be surprising if he did it for a full season but not a 4-7 start stretch. -
By DrungoHazewood · Posted
They don't let stuff on the internet unless it's been thoroughly vetted. -
Let's talk a little about about how good Cano has been for the Orioles this year. He was fired up last night in his first true save opportunity this year. Here's his percentiles on the year so far. Notice his AVG exit velocity may be low, but the fact that he's the best in the league with getting ground balls (72.2 %, 100 percentile) makes most of those ground ball outs. But here in lies the problem with him closing. We lose him as a weapon coming into tight jams in the 7th or 8th to get those double plays. I have no doubt Cano can be a closer even though he had some struggles last year when given the role after Bautista's injury. It's worth noting that he's averaging about a MPH slower than last year in his sinker, but getting more movement. There are only 8 pitchers this season who have thrown 50 or more changeup and averaged over 90 MPH. Cano has the most vertical movement and 3rd best % Break vs AVG at 10% better than the average changeup at his velocity +/- 2 mph. Since this is a Cano thread, I won't go into who should close instead of Cano, but for now, I expect the Orioles to use him and Coulombe to close out games depending on who is available. Imagine the uproar that would have occurred if the Orioles had traded Jorge Lopez straight up for Cano. Instead, not only did Elias get a much better reliever in Cano, he also got the best pitching prospects in the system currently in Cade Povich. Oh, and Juan Nunez is still at least interesting in Aberdeen topping out around 97-98 at times. -
By DrungoHazewood · Posted
That's an interesting point of view, that baseball needs more offense. The all-time MLB average runs/game is about 4.7, but that includes a bunch of very early seasons with 6, 8, 10+ runs/game. Since 1900 (and also since WWII) the average is about 4.4 runs/game. So far this year the Majors are averaging 4.34, and as the weather warms up it will almost certainly nudge up towards 4.5 or 4.6. Since 2016 every season has been at or above the post-1900 averages for runs scored per game. Even at the height of the PED era runs were only over 5.00 three times, and never more than the 5.14 of 2000. I think that increasing walks to 2024 IL levels would put the majors right around the 2000 runs scored level, if not a bit more. -
Pitching well/career norms is one thing. Pitching like this is another thing to wrestle with. -
By Sports Guy · Posted
Where you go matters. I don’t have any reason to think Arizona’s development system isn’t good. They have clearly developed good players. But who is to say Jones wouldn’t be doing better with us? I think Elias made the right choice and felt it at the time. Holliday was the only other player I felt should be taken at 1 unless they felt they could unlock whatever plagued Elijah Green. His talent was 1st pick worthy but so many question marks. Still, had the Os taken green, I would have trusted that they saw something easy to fix. But after hearing Elias explain why they took Holliday, it made perfect sense. Still, I don’t think Jones failing means it’s a slam dunk Holliday will be better. Jones is still young and he started off his career with some injury issues, so that put him behind. And maybe if he’s drafted here, we do a better job at developing him. Who knows? Doesnt matter, we have the guy that is likely the better player and that’s all that matters.
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