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Swing Decisions, Monthly


Just Regular

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After a responsible April, in the May 1-20 period BAL has collapsed to by far worst MLB-wide month to date at O-Swing.

And with Ryan Mountcastle gone most of that time.    

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=5&season=2022&month=1000&season1=2022&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2022-05-01&enddate=2022-05-20

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12 hours ago, Just Regular said:

After a responsible April, in the May 1-20 period BAL has collapsed to by far worst MLB-wide month to date at O-Swing.

And with Ryan Mountcastle gone most of that time.    

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=5&season=2022&month=1000&season1=2022&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2022-05-01&enddate=2022-05-20

I've noticed that just when things are trending in the right direction for some of these guys, that's when for some unknown reason they go back to hacking at everything. Hays was really doing a lot better and had is avg well above 300 and just start swinging at everything and Mountcastle appears to have gone back to his old ways this year. Hard to understand, I guess old habits are tough to break, but you would hope success would be the objective

 

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  • 2 weeks later...

In May 2022, the Orioles fell from the stronger April 16th place perch down to 29th, as whatever happened with April's middle class outcomes didn't stick.

Percentile results -   Player: April, May

Hays: 42nd, 10th      (hot month mode)

Mullins: 20th, 19th     

Trey: 51st, 45th    (monthly "team leader", meaning not one qualifying Oriole in Top Half of MLB May regulars)

Santander: 62nd, 43rd    

Urias: 87th, 39th      (has taken a zig-zaggy path to seasonal 60th-70th percentile range)

Mateo: 24th, 11th      

Mountcastle:  8th, xx      (non-qualified monthly with the short wrist absence)  

June should bring the inaugural Adley qualifying regular month; his first 10 days he was in the 60th-70th percentile range YTD along with Urias.

 

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  • 4 weeks later...

June 2022 - team was 28th despite Adley's Month1 contributions.   YTD April-May-June ranks for BAL at O-Swing among the 30 Clubs: 16th, 29th, 28th.

Seven Bats qualified as regulars by Fangraphs June reckoning - Adley new, and Mountcastle back from non-qualifying May status.     Mountcastle himself placed 4th among the 7 as Mateo-Hays-Santander, mostly having good months, joined him in I'm Seeing Beachballs mode.

Player and April-May-June percentile among qualified MLB bats

Adley, xx-xx-86            when can I get Gunnar as a teammate?    or at least Urias back?

Mancini, 51-45-56        he's steady

Mullins, 20-19-25         his 2021 monthly percentiles were 75-52-41-40-64-73

Mountcastle, 8-xx-13     gotta admit I never expected him to out-eye three teammates in a good hitting month for the Club

Mateo, 24-11-10

Hays, 42-10-8

Santander, 62-43-4     have we abandoned the medicine ball thing?

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It’s interesting to line this up with the O’s runs per game or OPS performance by month.   The relatively patient approach the O’s had in April didn’t yield good results (2.95 runs/game).   The two months where we ranked 29th, the team has been slightly above average in runs/game.   

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14 minutes ago, Frobby said:

It’s interesting to line this up with the O’s runs per game or OPS performance by month.   The relatively patient approach the O’s had in April didn’t yield good results (2.95 runs/game).   The two months where we ranked 29th, the team has been slightly above average in runs/game.   

I'm sure it delights Elias-Sig-Fuller-Borgschulte every day.    I feel its a known known controlling the strike zone is a huge chunk of what the game of baseball is, and player acquisition outcomes demonstrate the Orioles (not you, Jordan Lawlar) value it even more than many other Clubs.

The wall has moved the goalpost on the value of a batted ball in Camden Yards probably quite a bit.

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  • 1 month later...

July 2022 - team was 27th despite Adley's Month2 contributions as the bottom of the group guys really plummeted.   YTD April-May-June-July ranks for BAL at O-Swing among the 30 Clubs: 16th, 29th, 28th, 27th

All Nine Bats qualified as regulars by Fangraphs July reckoning - the Means and Grayson bumps stink, but the 2022 Orioles are enjoying a good Bats health year.

Player, and April-May-June-July percentile among qualified MLB bats

Adley, xx-xx-86-98            let's see if Vavra plays enough to qualify in August

Mancini, 51-45-56-76       

Mullins, 20-19-25-66         his first good month this year by his standards for this metric

Mountcastle, 8-xx-13-1     he was 174th of 175 in August, out-hacked only by his fellow spirit animal Nick Castellanos

Mateo, 24-11-10-14

Hays, 42-10-8-6

Santander, 62-43-4-9     

Urias, 87-39-xx-30

Odor, xx-10-xx-26

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  • 5 weeks later...

August 2022 - robust team improvement to 14th MLB-wide fueled by big improvements from several usual laggards.

YTD April-May-June-July-August ranks for BAL at O-Swing among the 30 Clubs: 16th, 29th, 28th, 27th, 14th

All Eight Non-DH Bats once again qualified as regulars by Fangraphs August reckoning, as the 2022 Orioles continue enjoying a good Bats health year.

Player, and April-May-June-July-August percentile among qualified MLB bats

Adley, xx-xx-86-98-90          leading the franchise like clockwork...will Gunnar give a SEP22 challenge?    Cowser '23?

Mullins, 20-19-25-66-58        continuing better 2nd half

Mountcastle, 8-xx-13-1-24      bettering three of his teammates on the month-long scale

Mateo, 24-11-10-14-22

Hays, 42-10-8-6-12

Santander, 62-43-4-9-40

Urias, 87-39-xx-30-23

Odor, xx-10-xx-26-57

Mountcastle, Santander and Odor all with 20-30 point improvements.     Gunnar September is here; no way will he be near Adley with Month1 adrenaline is the guess here, but curious to see if his debut is more like 50th or 75th percentile.

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  • 2 weeks later...

Early returns on Gunnar show elite plate discipline, swinging at only 22.5% of pitches outside the strike zone, even better than Adley’s 24.5%.  Among players with at least 30 PA, Gunnar ranks 22nd of 557 players, Adley 48th.  That was very apparent last night for both players.  

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11 minutes ago, Frobby said:

Early returns on Gunnar show elite plate discipline, swinging at only 22.5% of pitches outside the strike zone, even better than Adley’s 24.5%.  Among players with at least 30 PA, Gunnar ranks 22nd of 557 players, Adley 48th.  That was very apparent last night for both players.  

Who are the worst offenders on the team?

Hays, Mateo, and Mountcastle?

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2 hours ago, RZNJ said:

Who are the worst offenders on the team?

Hays, Mateo, and Mountcastle?

Mountcastle 42.4%
Hays 40.6%
Stowers 39.8%
Mateo 39.4%

I don’t think Stowers is impatient by nature.  It’s a matter of seeing good major league breaking stuff for the first time.  
 

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