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2021 1st round pick (5): Colton Cowser - OF - (Junior) Sam Houston University

Tony-OH
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Posted by Tony-OH,

My Initial take: Looks like Elias is going with someone who can move quickly through the minors and be able to get and produce at the major league level quickly. While scouting takes on Cowser are a bit all over the place, he's a three year producer even though his conference is not very strong. He appears to be a high OBP guy with some pop and speed and even if Mullins is still center, he would like real good in Camden Yards spacious left field.  He appears to b a lower risk guy thoug

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Tony-OH
Tony-OH

You keep saying this like it's fact, but are you talking about the Austin Martin with two home runs and slashing .773 in 198 AA PAs while splitting time between SS (.908 Fld %) and CF?  Clearly w

Tony-OH
Tony-OH

I said last year I preferred Lacy overall, but I understand what Elias was doing when he went for Kjerstad. Unlike some of you, I don't pretend I know everything about these guys because I read a few

Moose Milligan
Moose Milligan

Lol, you're ridiculous.

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DrungoHazewood Hangout Grand Counsel

DrungoHazewood

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So the way I understand this, all drafts are graded against how closely they follow Baseball America and the MLB projections the day of the draft.  Right?  BA says 10 they take at five... fail.  BA says five and they take at 10... win!

I guess that makes sense since 90% of the board hasn't seen any of these guys outside of YouTube clips and brief written descriptions, so if the guy's not on the cover of BA then "what the... why didn't we take the one guy I'd heard of?!?!?".

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sevastras All-Star

sevastras

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From The Athletic-

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From a hitting standpoint, Cowser has long had a knack for barreling the ball. Holland, a former minor-league player and minor-league coach, has been his guide throughout his development. Holland has worked with hitters in the Houston area for years, from former major leaguers like Carl Crawford, Michael Bourn and Jay Bruce to current major leaguers like Robbie Grossman, Jed Lowrie and Cavan Biggio. Cowser was about 7 years old when he first started working with Holland, whose son, Korey, now an outfielder in the Indians’ system, was on the same youth team as Cowser.

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Ask evaluators about the 21-year-old Cowser and the prevailing sentiment is some variation of this kid can really hit. Cowser has always hit, and once he physically matured, tapped into some power

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But because of his bat, the Houston-area native has a relatively high floor for a first-rounder and could be a fast riser to the major leagues.

And Law's feelings:

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The Orioles' pick of Colton Cowser almost certainly indicates that they're pursuing the same draft strategy as last year -- take a college hitter they like who'll sign for a discount to their pick's recommended slot bonus, then go over slot with subsequent selections. Cowser is one of the better bats in the college class, but he's a corner outfielder, so there's some more pressure on his bat to justify the pick. Who they take in later rounds really matters though -- we can't judge this pick in isolation.

 

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Sports Guy Hangout Grand Counsel

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I find a comp of Austin Martin and Cowser interesting.

For whatever reason, the Os didn’t take Martin last year.  That’s a decision that was perfectly ok with.  
 

That being said, these two seem to profile similarly. Cowser seems to have less of a power question mark but Martin is a potential SS or maybe CFer.  Cowser is a potential CFer with corners more likely (more likely meaning it’s easier to play and if there is any issues with his defense, Cowser won’t be in CF)

You also have Mullins and Haskin in the organization but that’s ok.  You don’t draft that way.

Anyways, Martin was said to be the best pure college hitter in the draft last year, just as Cowser is this year.

If that is what Elias values, why go with Cowser now and pass on Martin last year?  Was it the power question mark?  Was it just about money?

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sevastras All-Star

sevastras

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2 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

I find a comp of Austin Martin and Cowser interesting.

For whatever reason, the Os didn’t take Martin last year.  That’s a decision that was perfectly ok with.  
 

That being said, these two seem to profile similarly. Cowser seems to have less of a power question mark but Martin is a potential SS or maybe CFer.  Cowser is a potential CFer with corners more likely (more likely meaning it’s easier to play and if there is any issues with his defense, Cowser won’t be in CF)

You also have Mullins and Haskin in the organization but that’s ok.  You don’t draft that way.

Anyways, Martin was said to be the best pure college hitter in the draft last year, just as Cowser is this year.

If that is what Elias values, why go with Cowser now and pass on Martin last year?  Was it the power question mark?  Was it just about money?

I had the feeling of character issues with Martin, but I could be completely wrong.  But yes, money was definitely a play.  Cowser is only seen as a corner guy because of his average arm.  He can cover the ground(not Mullins cover, but cover).  He is what I like in a college player as far as slower to physically mature.  I have said before, dont draft the high schooler who has a full beard at 16.

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Sports Guy Hangout Grand Counsel

Sports Guy

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10 minutes ago, DrungoHazewood said:

So the way I understand this, all drafts are graded against how closely they follow Baseball America and the MLB projections the day of the draft.  Right?  BA says 10 they take at five... fail.  BA says five and they take at 10... win!

I guess that makes sense since 90% of the board hasn't seen any of these guys outside of YouTube clips and brief written descriptions, so if the guy's not on the cover of BA then "what the... why didn't we take the one guy I'd heard of?!?!?".

Cowser isn’t really a reach.  Faleris had him 8th, FG had him 7th.  You can justify him with this pick.

What you can’t do, imo, is justify him over Lawlar.

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Redskins Rick Hangout Grand Counsel

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1 minute ago, sevastras said:

I had the feeling of character issues with Martin, but I could be completely wrong.  But yes, money was definitely a play.  Cowser is only seen as a corner guy because of his average arm.  He can cover the ground(not Mullins cover, but cover).  He is what I like in a college player as far as slower to physically mature.  I have said before, dont draft the high schooler who has a full beard at 16.

Maybe not full time CF, but as a COF that can play CF in a pinch, is always a good thing.

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sevastras All-Star

sevastras

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1 minute ago, Sports Guy said:

Cowser isn’t really a reach.  Faleris had him 8th, FG had him 7th.  You can justify him with this pick.

What you can’t do, imo, is justify him over Lawlar.

I can.  Lawlar is a higher ceiling lower floor guy and Cowser is a high floor lower ceiling guy who is closer to being MLB ready.  Safer pick that can help you sooner.  I would rather they picked Lawlar or Benny Montgomery or Kahlil Watson but this is the safer pick.  Gamble with Lonnie White Jr or James Wood in the next rounds

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Sports Guy Hangout Grand Counsel

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1 minute ago, sevastras said:

I can.  Lawlar is a higher ceiling lower floor guy and Cowser is a high floor lower ceiling guy who is closer to being MLB ready.  Safer pick that can help you sooner.  I would rather they picked Lawlar or Benny Montgomery or Kahlil Watson but this is the safer pick.  Gamble with Lonnie White Jr or James Wood in the next rounds

Why are you losing on purpose to draft the safe player?  
 

They could have won (the equivalent) to 75-80 games in 2020 and gotten a “safe pick” in the middle third to half way through the first round.
 

 

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Redskins Rick Hangout Grand Counsel

Redskins Rick

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Elias is doing a good sales job.

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Elias called Cowser a “five-tool player,” meaning he can hit for power and average, runs well, and plays strong defense with an above-average throwing arm. That arm, Elias said, could play in right field if needed, but he sees Cowser as a center fielder.

 

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