Jump to content

If Harper Falls To Us...


Recommended Posts

First off, do we draft him? I'm not too sure JJ even needs to be involved in this decision. Every baseball fan in the country knows of the epic season the 17y.o. Harper is having playing in junior college, so it really comes down to AM and PA deciding whether or not they wanna roll the dice on a 17y.o. kid for $25M. I would personally be extremely disappointed if we had a chance to take Harper and passed.

If we do decide to take Harper, is it reasonable to expect him to make it to the show by the 2012 season? All reports indicate that he's that once in a lifetime player, so I don't think that's at all farfetched to believe (A-Roid made it at 18, Griffey at 19, etc. etc.). Taking it a step further, is it possible that Harper bumps Wieters somewhere else (first base)?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't think many experts expect Harper to stick at Catcher. I would also think developing him as a catcher would add a year or so to his development time.

Mixed reviews, but he's definitely making progress, fundamentally. Needs more flexibility and will need to maintain that (which is tough for a bigman-to-be).

Probably 3B/RF most likely, but hell absolutely get a chance to catch as a pro and show he can't stick there.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 1 month later...

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.



  • Posts

    • Any chance Holliday gets the start today? I would assume no…but he did have a good last game and came in for Gunnar and drew another walk.  Urias is 7-29 since coming back and one of those hits was a gift double yesterday.  To be clear, I’m not saying they should start Holliday, just wondering if they would consider it.
    • They are a better match up on paper than Ragans, but I don't think that's really the issue here. This offense has a puckered sphincter problem. They tense up at the slightest of pressure. The matchups probably don't matter at this point until someone will give them a lead and take off some of the pressure. Anytime this team gets behind they pucker up because the pressure is on. If they can get a lead early, it will take some of that pressure off and maybe, they can win the game. If they get behind though they are done.
    • He was very good.  Really hope to see him get a chance again this year.
    • He didn't carry us?  He pitched 8 innings of 1-run ball.  And newsflash - if he'd pitched 8 shutout innings, we very possibly would have still lost.  Was he supposed to also hit a home run to tie the game?  Talking about the starter not carrying us when he pitched 8 and we lost 1-0 is a wild take.
    • It’s 100% fair to wonder if players can calm themselves down and get their heart beat down.    I think Westburg can do this.
    • The key decision is (a) Mounty at 1B and O’Hearn at DH, or (b) O’Hearn at 1B and Kjerstad at DH. Weighing all of the considerations, I would go with (b). If the decision were just Mounty or O’Hearn at first base with the other on the bench, I think the clear choice would be O’Hearn.  Mounty is perhaps 15 runs better on defense over a full season than O’Hearn, though gap may have narrowed some with O’Hearn getting more reps over the last month.  To offset that, his wOBA needs to be ~30 points higher.  Since 2023, O’Hearn’s wOBA vs. RHP has been .47 better than Mounty and his xwOBA has been .41 better.     For Kjerstad, it becomes the same question - do you think his bat today will be in the neighborhood of .30 wOBA points than Mounty.  It’s a tougher question to answer given Kjerstad’s lighter track record.  However, when you factor in Lugo’s platoon splits, the Wall, and Mounty’s prospects against a pitcher with a 9-pitch arsenal, I’m inclined to go with O’Hearn/Kjerstad.   Further, I would prioritize getting momentum on offense - it’s really important to score early and there is a high likelihood that there isn’t a defensive play that Mounty would make and O’Hearn wouldn’t (I know there was one yesterday).  Additionally, Mounty off the bench provides more pinch-hitting flexibility.
    • The Os only have 32 at bats vs Lugo but they have been successful. No one than 6 PA vs him. Slater is the one with 6 at bats and he has 3 hits vs him. Mountcastle, Mullins and Westburg each have 2 hits vs him. Cowser and Westburg have a homer and Westy and Santander each have a triple.  Cowser has the only walk. The Os scored 4 runs, had 9 hits, 1 BB and only struck out once when they faced him in April. So again, like the one Ragans start, they had a lot of hits and a good approach…but can they carry that over?   Lugo had one bad start in September, vs Detroit. The rest of the month, he pitched 23 innings and gave up 3 runs. He shut down the Giants, Yankees and Cleveland. His last outing was 2 innings vs Atlanta and they didn’t store off of him.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...