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O's PLAYOFF TIX!! Greatest story ever!


OsShallreturn

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Before today's game, according to Accuscore's Season Futures, the Orioles were given a 46.27% chance to make the playoffs and only 10.27% chance to win the division.

http://accuscore.com/baseball-betting/season-futures-baseball-betting

I've followed this closely over the course of the season. While it has never been so high, I still feel the odds makers are short-changing the O's. There's still no love there. 2 out of 3 in NY might push them up to 50% and maybe 15 to 20% chance to win the division. These odds makers are still favoring (prior to today) the Angels over the Orioles.

Thoughts?

Here are the full numbers:

Betting Futures - Baseball

inShare

10

AccuScore simulates the remainder of the MLB Season nightly and reports each team's probability of making the playoffs, winning their division along with their projected Win-Loss record.

AL SEASON-TO-DATE FORECAST POSTSEASON

Central WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF

Detroit Tigers 71 61 90.0 72.0 71.51% 80.62%

Chi White Sox 72 60 87.8 74.2 28.49% 44.85%

Kan City Royals 59 73 71.9 90.1 0% 0%

Minnesota Twins 55 78 67.7 94.4 0% 0%

Cleveland Indians 56 77 67.1 94.9 0% 0%

East WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF

N York Yankees 76 56 93.2 68.8 85.04% 95.38%

Baltimore Orioles 73 59 88.2 73.8 10.27% 46.27%

Tampa Bay Rays 72 61 86.7 75.3 4.63% 25.47%

Boston Red Sox 62 72 76.3 85.7 0% 0%

Toronto Blue Jays 60 72 73.7 88.3 0% 0%

West WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF

Texas Rangers 78 54 95.6 66.4 91.58% 99.4%

Oakland Athletics 75 57 89.1 72.9 5.55% 58.4%

Los Angel Angels 71 62 88.3 73.7 2.83% 47.18%

Seattle Mariners 64 70 74.4 87.6 0% 0%

NL SEASON-TO-DATE FORECAST POSTSEASON

Central WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF

Cincinnati Reds 81 53 97.1 64.9 96.49% 99.82%

St. Louis 72 61 89.3 72.7 1.76% 65.99%

Pittsburg Pirates 71 61 88.6 73.5 1.75% 52.64%

Milwauk Brewers 63 69 78.7 83.3 0% 0.09%

Chicago Cubs 50 82 62.2 99.8 0% 0%

Houston Astros 41 92 50.4 111.6 0% 0%

East WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF

Washington 80 51 97.8 64.2 98.54% 99.88%

Atlanta Braves 74 59 89.1 72.9 1.46% 60.36%

Philadelphia 63 69 79.9 82.1 0% 0.08%

New York Mets 63 70 77.1 85.0 0% 0.01%

Miami Marlins 59 74 70.0 92.0 0% 0%

West WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF

San Francisco 75 58 90.2 71.8 78.8% 85.1%

Los Angeles 71 63 87.0 75.0 20.38% 33.51%

Arizona 67 67 81.7 80.3 0.78% 1.2%

San Diego Padres 62 72 73.9 88.1 0% 0%

Colorado Rockies 54 77 67.3 94.7 0% 0%

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Before today's game, according to Accuscore's Season Futures, the Orioles were given a 46.27% chance to make the playoffs and only 10.27% chance to win the division.

http://accuscore.com/baseball-betting/season-futures-baseball-betting

I've followed this closely over the course of the season. While it has never been so high, I still feel the odds makers are short-changing the O's. There's still no love there. 2 out of 3 in NY might push them up to 50% and maybe 15 to 20% chance to win the division. These odds makers are still favoring (prior to today) the Angels over the Orioles.

Thoughts?

It's not like there's some guy sitting in a room making these odds. It's done by numbers, and a negative run differential is going to hurt their chances, statistically speaking.

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It's not like there's some guy sitting in a room making these odds. It's done by numbers, and a negative run differential is going to hurt their chances, statistically speaking.

Granted. I understand that. And I'm really not arguing with the odds. But as noted on other threads, and in statistical analysis, the run differential almost doesn't matter at this point. In the last 27 games the Orioles have a plus-27 run differential against the cream of the crop (including, NY, TAM, DET and TEX).

So it may be time for the odds to start creeping in the O's favor. At this point how can you not like their chances?

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Most of the information can be accessed here - it is very specific if you click through.

http://mlb.mlb.com/bal/ticketing/sth_postseason.jsp

Here is the allocation by plan:

allocation_300x302.gif

If you click on "New Invoices" on your account page it will show you the seat location and package you have been assigned as well as a breakdown of the costs.

Thanks for posting this... wish I read this a bit more carefully before paying for my Bronze 2 package. My first game is a game 3 of ALDS? Which would imply a Game 5 @ Home IF we win the division. Haha yikes

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So I assume tickets are not on sale yet to the general public. Also I assume since both wild card games will be on tbs one will be a day game and one will be a night game. Looks like I am taking off work that day no matter who plays. We better just win the division, it will be easier for the whole city :P

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If this upcoming series is not indicative of a playoff atmosphere, the folks in this town - regardless of their reasons - have nothing to ever b**** about again. This is quite possibly the biggest in-season series OPACY has ever hosted. I will be there for at least two games. It will literally sicken me if the "Let's go Yankees" chants outweigh the O's chants. Or maybe that will be the sickness from the multiple sausages, Loose Cannons (best beer ever) and seeing Carne Cabeza shirtless. Either way, I will be sick.

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