Jump to content

19 Game Streak Post-Mortem


TonySoprano

Recommended Posts

58 minutes ago, Pickles said:

Well, that leads to the issue of BPA by whose criteria.

Sometimes the professionals' and the media's is going to align, and sometimes it won't.

So when are you going to trust it?

Im guessing you trust that the same media that ranked Lawlar high for over a year when they say the Os have the best or one of the top 3 farm systems, right?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 8/27/2021 at 11:10 AM, Tony-OH said:

I think this amount of ineptitude is why some people have become frustrated with the rebuild. I think 98% of people new this team needed to be rebuilt and losing was going to be a part of it. I'm not sure anyone thought they needed to be historically bad to do so. 

Elias stripped this team down until it was an embarrassment in historical ways, and while I don't believe he meant for the team to be this bad, at the end of the day, it was that bad. 

It's a little disheartening to know your team has sunk to this kind of low and even if the team returns to some kind of winning consistent ways, this stain will never go fully away

Apologize for not reading thread all the way through yet....

I don't really disagree with any of this.  Tony its pretty spot on.  But I will say this....after the 14 years, when Delmon Young hit that double....I'm not gonna lie, I didn't care about the 14 years.  Just wanted that moment to grow and last.

Will do the same if and when.....

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Sports Guy said:

So when are you going to trust it?

Im guessing you trust that the same media that ranked Lawlar high for over a year when they say the Os have the best or one of the top 3 farm systems, right?

What is this new i bEt yOu tRuSt tHe mEdIa wHeN tHeY sAy gOoD tHiNgS bit?  Is that what you think is rhetorical brilliance?

Other than accusations, can you show any example of me hypocritically supporting my positions by selectively citing the media?

I haven't even made a comment about the "media's" perception of our farm system.  At any point.  Why do you keep referencing it as if I did?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Pickles said:

What is this new i bEt yOu tRuSt tHe mEdIa wHeN tHeY sAy gOoD tHiNgS bit?  Is that what you think is rhetorical brilliance?

Other than accusations, can you show any example of me hypocritically supporting my positions by selectively citing the media?

I haven't even made a comment about the "media's" perception of our farm system.  At any point.  Why do you keep referencing it as if I did?

I believe I have seen you reference the idea that the team has a highly ranked and talented farm system, correct?  
 

And if you haven’t, do you believe that the team’s ranking of a top farm system is valid?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

An awful .200 team has an 80% chance of losing a game. The probability of this .200 team losing 19 games in a row is 0.8 raised to the 19th power. The odds are 1 in 100.

Very unlikely if the players are all trying to win and play up to a low bar of a .200 winning percentage.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If you thought a 5-23 May was terrible, thanks to the 19 game streak, the Orioles are 3-24 in August.  The Orioles need to win on Tuesday night in order to tie the 2002 Orioles 4-24 collapse for worst full month ever.   Even in 2018  and 2019 (both 6-20 in June),  and 1988 (Sept, 8-19) never did the Orioles win fewer than 6 games in a full calendar month, let alone do it twice in the same season. 

How low will they go?  Grab your dart board and compare after 130 games -  
2018 37-93 (47-115)
2021 40-90 (TBD)
2019 42-88 (54-108)
1988 45-85 (54-107)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, TonySoprano said:

If you thought a 5-23 May was terrible, thanks to the 19 game streak, the Orioles are 3-24 in August.  The Orioles need to win on Tuesday night in order to tie the 2002 Orioles 4-24 collapse for worst full month ever.   Even in 2018  and 2019 (both 6-20 in June),  and 1988 (Sept, 8-19) never did the Orioles win fewer than 6 games in a full calendar month, let alone do it twice in the same season. 

How low will they go?  Grab your dart board and compare after 130 games -  
2018 37-93 (47-115)
2021 40-90 (TBD)
2019 42-88 (54-108)
1988 45-85 (54-107)

5 more wins will be a stretch. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • This is a fun one to discover with the detail B-Ref and Fangraphs can now provide, and changes a lower information view I had previously had that the Orioles have never beaten the Yankees for something they both wanted. September 12th the Yankees beat the Orioles 3-0 at Memorial Stadium as Jim Palmer drops to 6-12 when he blinks first in the 8th inning of a 0-0 duel with Mike Wallace, and the Orioles fall to 75-69. NYY leads by 2.5 games with 18 to play.     The Orioles revive and close 16-2 to take the AL East championship, including a sweep at Yankee Stadium as part of the division taking run. The BAL wRC+ late that September is 130 - Boog and Don Baylor do the Judge and Soto thing and have 257 and 231 wRC+'s for a couple weeks.    Palmer redeems himself with three complete games of 0.33 ERA.    Naturally fWAR considers Ross Grimsley slightly better with a 3.60 ERA and better peripherals in a similar number of innings during that run.    Kevin Brown should get on bugging Palmer tonight whether or not Grimsley was better than him at the end of the happy 1974 story. They get a 2nd go at OAK in the ALCS but lose again as the A's march towards the 3-peat. It is the 50th anniversary of that in case things get really weird and entertaining the next few days.  
    • I doubt this team does anything in the playoffs but Hyde deserves some credit for keeping it afloat. They could have easily tanked the season and yet they didnt. No long losing streaks
    • He was really terrible and pretty consistent in favor of NYY. Kremer did an amazing job bouncing back from the bad calls, battling the umpire as well as the Yankees hitters. 
    • Wow, I hadn’t realized just how stingy the strike zone was last night.   It’s a testament to the pitches that the score was kept pretty low despite playing in a bandbox with that strike zone.  
    • I'd want to se who the opponent is and re-evaluate then, but right now it's definitely Kremer. If Kremer does start and pitches well, you have to figure he'll cover no more than five innings (or roughly twice through the lineup, again depending on the opponent). There will be plenty of innings left, and Suarez would be a candidate for them in a close game, even if Hyde insists on following Kremer with a LHer). 
    • Might as well lock the Tigers into the 5 seed now. They of course get the White Sox this weekend, while KC gets to go to ATL and play a Braves team that will most likely start the weekend still alive for the third WC in the NL. That’s a tough bit of scheduling luck for them. So WC round likely will be KC @ HOU and DET @ BAL, unless the Twins somehow revive their season that’s on life support.    Cant say I’m looking forward to playing the Tigers again, although perhaps by Tuesday it will be past time for that worm to have turned. 
    • I think it’s fair and correct to list injuries and bad batted ball luck among the reasons the team faltered.   We just shouldn’t delude ourselves into thinking those were the only reasons, or even the biggest ones.   
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...