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The Adley Rutschman effect is already being felt after a quarter of a season - Camden Chat

In the simplest terms, the Orioles have already shown clear signs of improvement since Adley’s arrival. At the time of Rutschman’s call-up, Baltimore was 16-24. In the 41 games since the call-up, the Orioles are 21-20. While a one-game-above .500 record doesn’t exactly seem like a victory—given what this fan base has suffered through the last four-plus years—this undoubtedly represents a beacon of hope.

Those improvements have shown up on both offense and defense for this Orioles squad. Prior to Rutschman’s arrival, the Birds had a -32 run differential and were averaging 3.5 runs per game. Since Adley joined the team, those numbers have jumped to a +7 run differential and 4.6 runs per game.

 

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47 minutes ago, Paul in Virginia said:

The Adley Rutschman effect is already being felt after a quarter of a season - Camden Chat

In the simplest terms, the Orioles have already shown clear signs of improvement since Adley’s arrival. At the time of Rutschman’s call-up, Baltimore was 16-24. In the 41 games since the call-up, the Orioles are 21-20. While a one-game-above .500 record doesn’t exactly seem like a victory—given what this fan base has suffered through the last four-plus years—this undoubtedly represents a beacon of hope.

 

It doesn't? Really? To whom?

 

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If I throw out 2020 and buffer Machado's 6.33 years and Adley's 6.75 years with an extra year on either side, 2011-2019 and 2021-2029 are approximately Franchise Fulcrum parallel periods.

MLB payroll in millions

2011-2019: 87, 84, 92, 107, 118, 147, 164, 148, 80      (9-year spend of ~1028mm, or ~114mm/year)

2021-2029: 57, 43, x, y, z, etc

If this decade's Orioles spend the same Billion across the 9 years, the remaining 7 seasons have ~928mm, or ~132mm/year to go.    Even one $30mm offseason only uses about one-third of the 43-132 gap.    With the Mancini-Lyles ~15 of the 43 expiring, +$35 for Correa, +$25 for Musgrove (just using guys Elias knows) only lands about 90.    Oh, and bunting Anthony Santander's backbreaking arbitration raise.

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It’s probably not very legit to compare the O’s record pre- and post- Adley and say that Adley is the entire cause for improvement.   The team already was playing .500ish baseball for about three weeks before Adley arrived.  But, he’s probably been worth an extra 1-2 wins in a quarter-season, even though he hasn’t really hit his stride offensively yet.   

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2 hours ago, Frobby said:

It’s probably not very legit to compare the O’s record pre- and post- Adley and say that Adley is the entire cause for improvement.   The team already was playing .500ish baseball for about three weeks before Adley arrived.  But, he’s probably been worth an extra 1-2 wins in a quarter-season, even though he hasn’t really hit his stride offensively yet.   

Adley was had around a .500 OPS for the first 2+ weeks.  I doubt he was helping the O's win that much then, despite his great defense/framing.

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On 6/14/2022 at 11:58 AM, MurphDogg said:

Pop Time Leaderboards are back up on Statcast.

Still waiting for a larger sample size, but Adley slots in tied for 8th of 71 catchers with an average pop time of 1.93. That is with a minimum set at 3 attempts which is how many throws Adley has made to second.

JT Realmuto is in a league of his own, but Adley is solidly in the next (top) tier of catchers by this metric and markedly ahead of the other two Orioles catchers this season, Bemboom at 1.99 and Chirinos at 2.04.

Adley now tied for third in pop time with an average time of 1.90. 

He also ranks 14 out of 59 catchers in frame rate. Chirinos is dead last in that category.

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