AL Playoff Race - 9 weeks left- now 1 week

[Can_of_corn]

4 minutes ago, Moose Milligan said:

Boston up on Tampa by 1 in the 8th. 

Must win game for Boston.

[FlaO'sFan]

Now 4 up after Boston scores 3 in 8th and still batting.

Edited September 4, 2023 by FlaO'sFan

[Malike]

24 minutes ago, Moose Milligan said:

Boston up on Tampa by 1 in the 8th. 

We get 7 more with Boston. They have pitching issues but they can score a lot of runs. I doubt they can knock us out of the playoffs in the final 4 game series with them to end the year like we did to them 2011, but they'll be dangerous if TB is still only a game or two back and possibly push us out of the division lead if Toronto hasn't completely folded.

Edited September 4, 2023 by Malike

[Frobby]

Fangraphs has the O’s with a 100% chance to make the playoffs, while BB-ref says >99.9%.   As of now, the 6th spot is at .558 winning percentage, which projects to 90-91 wins.  The O’s could go 7-19 and top that.   But, I’d rather they didn’t.  

[Malike]

12 minutes ago, Frobby said:

Fangraphs has the O’s with a 100% chance to make the playoffs, while BB-ref says >99.9%.   As of now, the 6th spot is at .558 winning percentage, which projects to 90-91 wins.  The O’s could go 7-19 and top that.   But, I’d rather they didn’t.  

Yeah, I doubt we'd not win another game this season and miss the playoffs, I wouldn't be shocked if we can't get some separation with TBR that we don't win the division. They are in the midst of an 18-game in a row stretch iirc. Plenty of top pitching and desperate teams ahead of them.

[Just Regular]

Now is my first time noticing Tampa's Games 160-162 are at Toronto, so count me in for hoping the Blue Jays hang in the wildcard race until the final weekend.

TEX's older roster fighting it some in the dog days - tomorrow looks like they are returning Eovaldi for an Astros matchup without any rehab following a 6-week absence.     Scherzer the game after that for his Wednesday showdown with Verlander.     HOU took 7-4 lead in season series with TEX today to guarantee that tiebreaker.

[eddie83]

The big series starting tonight this weekend is SEA-TB. TEX-TOR starting Monday.  
 

AL playoff race 

AL East                        GB           GL 

BAL        88-51                          23
TB          85-55            3.5       22 


TOR       77-63             11.5      22


BOS       72-68            16.5       22


NYY       70-69           18.0        22

AL Central
MIN        73-67                          22
CLE        67-73           6.0         22

AL West
HOU        80-61                          21
SEA          78-61             1.0        23
TEX         76-63            3.0       23 

AL WC
TB             85-55            +8.0
HOU         78-61              +1.5


TOR.         77-63
——————
TEX           76-63          0.5
BOS          72-68           5.0

SCHEDULES

BAL 
    
    @BOS (3)
STL (3)    TB (4)
@HOU (3)    @CLE (4)
WAS (2)    BOS (4)

 

TB
  
    SEA (4)
@MIN (3)    @BAL (4)
LAA (3)    TOR (3)
BOS (2)    @TOR (3)
    

TOR
    
   KC (3)
TEX (4)     BOS (3)
@NYY (3)    @TB (3)
NYY (3)    TB (3)

BOS
  
  BAL (3)
NYY (4)     @TOR (3)
@TEX (3)    CWS (3)
TB (2)    @BAL (4)

NYY
  
MIL (3)
@BOS (4)    @PIT (3)
TOR (3)    ARZ (3)
@TOR (3)    @KC (3)

———————————-
MIN
    
     NYM (3)
TB (3)    @CWS (4)
@CIN (3)    LAA (3)
OAK (3)    @COL (3)

CLE
    
   @LAA (4)
@SF (3)    TEX (3)
@KC (3)    BAL (4)
CIN (2)    @DET (3) 

- - -  - ———————-

TEX
    
     OAK (3)
@TOR (4)    @CLE (3)
BOS (3)    SEA (3)
@LAA (3)    @ SEA (4) 

HOU
    
    SD (3)
OAK (3)    @KC (3)
BAL (3)     KC (3)
@SEA (3)    @ARZ (3)

 

SEA
    
    @TB (4)
LAA (3)    LAD (3)
@OAK (3)    @TEX (3)
HOU (3)    TEX (4)
 

[DirtyBird]

It’s a shame we don’t get to face Jack Flaherty when St Lois comes to town.

[eddie83]

Huge 4 game series TEX@TOR starts tomorrow. Hopefully for Orioles, MIN will be more help than SEA was. 7 teams for 6 spots 

For conversation sake- assuming BAL wins at least one of 4 vs TB

If BAL goes 10-10, TB needs to go 13-5 to win division 

 

AL playoff race 

AL East                        GB           GL 

BAL        90-52                           20
TB          88-56            3.0        18


TOR       80-63             10.5       19


BOS       73-70             17.5       19


NYY       71-72             19.5        19

AL Central
MIN        75-68                         19
CLE        68-76           7.5         18

AL West
HOU        82-62                       18
SEA         79-64          1.0        19
TEX         78-64          3.0       20

AL WC
TB             88-56            +8.5
TOR          80-63             +1.0


SEA           79-64
——————
TEX           78-64           0.5
BOS          73-70            6.0

SCHEDULES

BAL 
    
 STL (3)    TB (4)
@HOU (3)    @CLE (4)
WAS (2)    BOS (4)

 

TB
  
@MIN (3)    @BAL (4)
LAA (3)    TOR (3)
BOS (2)    @TOR (3)
    

TOR
    
TEX (4)     BOS (3)
@NYY (3)    @TB (3)
NYY (3)    TB (3)

BOS
    
 NYY (4)     @TOR (3)
@TEX (3)    CWS (3)
TB (2)    @BAL (4)

NYY
    
@BOS (4)    @PIT (3)
TOR (3)    ARZ (3)
@TOR (3)    @KC (3)

MIN
    
 TB (3)    @CWS (4)
@CIN (3)    LAA (3)
OAK (3)    @COL (3)

CLE
    
@SF (3)    TEX (3)
@KC (3)    BAL (4)
CIN (2)    @DET (3) 

TEX
  
@TOR (4)    @CLE (3)
BOS (3)    SEA (3)
@LAA (3)    @ SEA (4) 

 

HOU

OAK (3)    @KC (3)
BAL (3)     KC (3)
@SEA (3)    @ARZ (3)

                   
SEA

LAA (3)    LAD (3)
@OAK (3)    @TEX (3)
HOU (3)    TEX (4)
 

[OriolesMagic83]

I think you can remove NY & Boston from the wild card race.  Boston really needed to sweep the O's to stay in it.

[AlbNYfan]

I don't know, Tuesday's Prime TV game is Boston -NY. It MUST be an important game.

[Baltimorecuse]

It's a game at a time.  The first thing I watch for every night is "are we going to get a quality start".  It all begins with that.  We're scoring close to five a game.  I'm not worried about offense.  I'm looking at the next nine innings.  

[waroriole]

The next 7 games after STL will give us an idea of what to expect next month. Tampa and Houston is gonna be tough. Also I’m really not looking forward to that 4 game series with Boston to close the season. I feel better about our chances with the Rays than the Sox. Need to take care of business this weekend and we can coast. 

[eddie83]

9 hours ago, OriolesMagic83 said:

I think you can remove NY & Boston from the wild card race.  Boston really needed to sweep the O's to stay in it.

I’m enjoying where they are too much to do that. 
 

That said, you are correct. 

[Just Regular]

Texas also has 7 of their final 10 against Seattle so even if the malaise continues and Toronto puts itself in a strong position they'll have that hope.

It'd be bad fortune if by Games 160-162 the Blue Jays are just throwing AAA guys against Tampa with a wildcard series locked in the following Tuesday-Thursday.