How many games will the O’s win during the 30 games in 31 days gauntlet?

[Frobby]

Here comes the 30 games in 31 days gauntlet, with the vast majority of games against 2023 playoff teams (though several of those teams have been disappointing so far in 2024).  Here’s the schedule, with our opponents’ current 2024 records in parentheses.  How many do you think the O’s will win?  What would be a satisfactory outcome to you?

3 vs. TBR (27-29)

4 at TOR (26-29)

4 at TBR (27-29)

3 vs. ATL (31-22)

3 vs. PHI (39-18)

OFF DAY

3 at NYY (38-19)

3 at HOU (24-32)

3 vs. CLE (37-19)

4 vs. TEX (27-29)

Personally I think 17 of 30 would be fantastic, and that’s what I’ll predict.

[dystopia]

20-10. 

[Gunnar]

I think we can take 5/7 from TB, 3/4 from TOR and 4/6 from HOU/TX. And the remainder we should be able to take at least 6/13. That adds up to 18/30... maybe hopeful but I think we can do it.

[Royle]

17 seems like the right number to me too.  And if they can do it, they’ll still be on a 100-win pace a few games past the halfway point of the season.

[Just Regular]

The middle section has gained some separation from the beginning and end based on what many projections expected starting the season.

The NL exhibitions are just appetizers, and we know pretty clearly now any regular season Yankee game has massive tournament implications.     ZiPS forecasts a tie, and each one is a 2-game swing - Clay Holmes and/or Craig Kimbrel are going to have something dramatic happen somewhere in those final 10 regular season games.

It'll be interesting to see many of the "strongest strugglers" while they are battling to stay alive - with the AL Central's good play, one of TBR-TOR-HOU-TEX ends up out of it and that will be an interesting seller.

ESPN's new power rankings this morning guessed them:

PHI 1, NYY 2, (BAL 4), CLE 5, ATL 7, TEX 15, HOU 16, TBR 19, TOR 20

[spleen1015]

I said 18-19 based on the last couple of years. They've played ~.630ish so, I'll say they do the same during this stretch.

I'm hoping we see a 10 winning streak during this 30 games. That would be a good statement to make.

Edited May 30 by spleen1015

[DirtyBird]

3 vs. TBR (27-29)  3

4 at TOR (26-29) 3

4 at TBR (27-29) 3

3 vs. ATL (31-22) 2

3 vs. PHI (39-18) 2

OFF DAY

3 at NYY (38-19) 2

3 at HOU (24-32) 3

3 vs. CLE (37-19) 1

4 vs. TEX (27-29) 3

22 - 8

[Just Regular]

I voted 16-17.    This is also half the games before the trade deadline - probably a bit more even with the All-Star break, and the injury gods will have taken a heavy tax if the AUG-SEP roster isn't a good deal better than the JUN-JUL roster.

.600 ball or better in this stretch maybe makes another 100+ wins a likelihood; even .500 keeps it in range once the clubs polarize even more at the end.

Middle relievers better than Orioles incumbents are going to be waived in early August, should any club be inclined to pay them.

[DirtyBird]

How many different starting pitchers will we use during this stretch?

[Jim'sKid26]

18

2 games in each series.

[glenn__davis]

I went with 16-14, and I think that would be a very acceptable result.

[Moose Milligan]

1 hour ago, DirtyBird said:

3 vs. TBR (27-29)  3

4 at TOR (26-29) 3

4 at TBR (27-29) 3

3 vs. ATL (31-22) 2

3 vs. PHI (39-18) 2

OFF DAY

3 at NYY (38-19) 2

3 at HOU (24-32) 3

3 vs. CLE (37-19) 1

4 vs. TEX (27-29) 3

22 - 8

That's roughly 2/3, but you do you, DB.  

[DirtyBird]

1 minute ago, Moose Milligan said:

That's roughly 2/3, but you do you, DB.  

I would like to see them go 30-0

[Moose Milligan]

Just now, DirtyBird said:

I would like to see them go 30-0

Wouldn't we all, but some things are just impossible aren't they?

[Can_of_corn]

Just now, Moose Milligan said:

Wouldn't we all, but some things are just impossible aren't they?

I wouldn't.

I think that would lead to some really annoying national coverage and a pretty toxic environment.

Maybe 26-4?