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Doubles Machine 2.0


tinamodotti

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60 doubles hasn't been done since 1936. Manny's on pace to blow right by that number (and the MLB record as was mentioned).

Earl Webb(?) set the record with 67 in 1931.

Manny's on pace to hit about 69 even if he only plays in 154 games.

Wow. He is locked in now and just wearing out that left field corner.

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The other day I ran an approximation of Manny's numbers through Bill James' old Brock2 projection system and it said he'd play through at least age 41 and end up with almost 1100 doubles*. Tris Speaker's record is 792. The doubles record is vulnerable**, so if someone is going to crush it like Chris Davis and a fastball it might as well be Manny.

* Of course the same system, using the same rosy early 2013 performances extrapolated out to a full year, would probably show Bryce Harper ending up with the all time records in like 15 categories.

** The record is roughly 15 seasons of league-leading performance, which makes it somewhat likely to be broken.

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60 doubles hasn't been done since 1936. Manny's on pace to blow right by that number (and the MLB record as was mentioned).

Earl Webb(?) set the record with 67 in 1931.

Manny's on pace to hit about 69 even if he only plays in 154 games.

Wow. He is locked in now and just wearing out that left field corner.

The single-season doubles record is one of those records that you'd assume would have been broken long before now. We're at about 1.7 doubles/game, which is only a bit off of the all-time high (the mid-2000s and the era right around 1930 were both peaked in the 1.8-1.9 range). The differences between today and the Earl Webb era is probably parks and fielding ability. You had lesser fielders trying to cover larger outfields. This was counter-balanced by weaker hitting, and a larger spred in hitting talent, so the overall league numbers were similar. A highly-skilled doubles hitter in a park that generates lots of doubles could take advantages of conditions that don't exist anymore.

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Let's keep things in perspective. Mike Napoli is on pace to hit 61 doubles.

Manny is a doubles machine right now but he would have to hit doubles at this torrid pace the rest of the season and that is highly unlikely. 50 doubles isn't out of the question though.

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