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Crush surpassed his 2014 HR and RBI totals last night


Frobby

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The Buck/DD/Jones/Machado era isn't going to last forever. I don't think 4/68 gets the job done. Why not sign him to like 6/115.. try to back load some of it. Trade him in like 3 years or so to a big market team who's looking to make the post-season.

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And how does the K rate today compare to the K rate then?

The ability to swing and hit a ball is a discrete, not relative, skill. It may be that Davis would not have had the opportunity in a different era, but it's unlikely to be very relevant to how Davis' swing ages.

Isn't someone like Carlos Pena a better comparison? Or Richie Sexon? Or (at the low-end) Russell Branyan?

Here are your K-rate leaders since All-time, with over 3000 PAs. How many of these guys produced well in their 30s?

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=3000&type=8&season=2015&month=0&season1=1871&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=10,d

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The ability to swing and hit a ball is a discrete, not relative, skill. It may be that Davis would not have had the opportunity in a different era, but it's unlikely to be very relevant to how Davis' swing ages.

Isn't someone like Carlos Pena a better comparison? Or Richie Sexon? Or (at the low-end) Russell Branyan?

Here are your K-rate leaders since All-time, with over 3000 PAs. How many of these guys produced well in their 30s?

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=3000&type=8&season=2015&month=0&season1=1871&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=10,d

Is the strike zone an immutable entity?

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I think at the very least it's lower then it was in 1978.

Of course I also think it's foolish to dismiss the historical K rate as simply being a product of the hitters' ability to make contact.

Of course you do. It's fortunate for all involved that no one has done that, I guess.

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I will admit, I never thought Id say this. We should try and re-sign him.I must be among his biggest critics when he is scuffling, and he scuffles a lot. But when he is hot,and he is hot right now, he can carry a team in a way a similar player like Adam Dunn could not.I think he will get 20m a yr. from someone like the Red Sox. We should try and match that and see if he will stay.I DONT think he will.

I don't understand why you think Davis can carry a team when he's hot, but Adam Dunn couldn't. Do you think Dunn never had a streak when he hit 15 homers and had 42 RBI in 47 games? I'd be willing to bet that Dunn had several streaks like that in the course of his career.

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I will admit, I never thought Id say this. We should try and re-sign him.I must be among his biggest critics when he is scuffling, and he scuffles a lot. But when he is hot,and he is hot right now, he can carry a team in a way a similar player like Adam Dunn could not.I think he will get 20m a yr. from someone like the Red Sox. We should try and match that and see if he will stay.I DONT think he will.

Roy, are you saying that IF the Orioles matched the highest offer you don't think he'd stay? Why is that? He seems to like it here and we gave him the opportunity that surely Texas never did.

I personally don't think the O's would come close to being in the ballpark of what it's going to take to make a run at keeping him, but your comments make it seem like he wouldn't stay even if we did make that offer.

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The Buck/DD/Jones/Machado era isn't going to last forever. I don't think 4/68 gets the job done. Why not sign him to like 6/115.. try to back load some of it. Trade him in like 3 years or so to a big market team who's looking to make the post-season.

Just hypothetically...what if you had to choose between 6/$155M for Davis versus 10/$250M for Manny, which guy do you build around?

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