Jump to content

O's 2020 MLB Draft Chat: Picking #2/30/39/74


Recommended Posts

Just now, Moose Milligan said:

Of course we need to see how these guys pan out.  They could be great.  They could be not so great.

But you can't look at this draft so far and say that the Orioles have picked the best player, or one of the best players available at that pick.  

I can look at it and say they haven't picked who the mock drafters have said was the best pick. That's certainly true. But 98% of those guys know about as much about these players as your or I do. Which isn't a lot. That's about all.

And since I'm not in the Orioles Draft HQ, I can't say one way or the other that the O's picked the guy at the top of their own board. These are impossible things to know. So I don't bother getting all worked up about them. And since this isn't the NBA or NFL, none of these guys are walking on the field right away - so we aren't going to get answers any time in the near future. So I just don't see the reason to flip out over the whole thing and make baseless accusations towards the FO and organization.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, FlipTheBird said:

I would imagine Elias and his team have already identified what guys from the old management team in the system they're ready to move on from, permanently.

I assume so.  I figure just looking at high draft picks from 2018-2020, you are looking at needing spots for all of Neustrom,  Stowers, Rizer,  Watson, Kjerstad  and Hankin in A and A+ ball.  Doesn't leave much room for more fringe guys, but I guess that's the point of contraction...

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Three Run Homer said:

Complaining is a healthy response when you believe you are being screwed.

If it makes you feel any better, the Rangers wound up being the first team to draft a guy that MLB Network didn't seem to have any video on. That's an accomplishment.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, FlipTheBird said:

I can look at it and say they haven't picked who the mock drafters have said was the best pick. That's certainly true. But 98% of those guys know about as much about these players as your or I do. Which isn't a lot. That's about all.

And since I'm not in the Orioles Draft HQ, I can't say one way or the other that the O's picked the guy at the top of their own board. These are impossible things to know. So I don't bother getting all worked up about them. And since this isn't the NBA or NFL, none of these guys are walking on the field right away - so we aren't going to get answers any time in the near future. So I just don't see the reason to flip out over the whole thing and make baseless accusations towards the FO and organization.

First of all, no.  You and I don't know as much as 98% of the mock drafters.  Those guys do this for a living, you (I'm assuming) and I do not.  Like, they watch these guys all year long.

Second, we're not in the Orioles draft HQ so you're right, we don't know if the O's picked the guy at the top of their board.  Certainly, they did with Kjerstad because..well, only one player was ahead of them.  They could have taken anyone.  And there's no real good explanation for that pick.  He's a good player but not the best player available.  Elias, however, seems to think he was, which is puzzling.  Even if you wanted to prioritize defense first, there were plenty of other outfield options available that were better defenders.  

We're here to discuss the draft and what we think of it.  We're here to discuss the Orioles and what they do, each day and every day.  We've been doing it for years.  Sometimes we agree and rejoice, sometimes we're frustrated with them.  A lot of the time we disagree with one another.

Which is happening here.  I disagree with you, mostly.  I agree that we aren't going to get answers on this draft for awhile.  But I disagree that we've taken the best talent we could have at each spot.  

  • Upvote 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Moose Milligan said:

First of all, no.  You and I don't know as much as 98% of the mock drafters.  Those guys do this for a living, you (I'm assuming) and I do not.  Like, they watch these guys all year long.

Second, we're not in the Orioles draft HQ so you're right, we don't know if the O's picked the guy at the top of their board.  Certainly, they did with Kjerstad because..well, only one player was ahead of them.  They could have taken anyone.  And there's no real good explanation for that pick.  He's a good player but not the best player available.  Elias, however, seems to think he was, which is puzzling.  Even if you wanted to prioritize defense first, there were plenty of other outfield options available that were better defenders.  

We're here to discuss the draft and what we think of it.  We're here to discuss the Orioles and what they do, each day and every day.  We've been doing it for years.  Sometimes we agree and rejoice, sometimes we're frustrated with them.  A lot of the time we disagree with one another.

Which is happening here.  I disagree with you, mostly.  I agree that we aren't going to get answers on this draft for awhile.  But I disagree that we've taken the best talent we could have at each spot.  

And there is the money issue.  Even if Kjerstad was at the top of the board he shouldn't take near slot to sign.  None of the other picks so far look to be overslot so where is the money going?

I find it very hard to fathom that the O's pick the BPA every round and end up with a million+ unspent.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

36 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

That the O's don't want to spend $13,894,300 on players.

 

33 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Pretty sure the crack reporters up there will be all over them if they don't.

 

10 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Remember when Frobby said the O's were going to go up in the farm rankings after this draft?

 

Good times.

 

7 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Orioles, redefining the impossible.

Being a disagreeable message board hater is not, in fact, the same as a personality.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • Probably 2010 when Derek Jeter won the last of his many undeserved Gold Gloves.  I agree that media bias isn’t a big factor in the awards.  
    • Exactly what does “getting hot” mean? It means that everyone, at the same time, is playing to their best qualities and avoiding bonehead mistakes. the last week we saw that, and the Os had their best week in a while. So maybe the Os are getting hot.
    • Other than having to get through the WC round, I think this roster is situated equally or better than last year's to make a run. Yes they won 10 fewer games but when you look at talent going into October, this year's team is just as capable.  Reflecting on this season, I think the two greatest differences from last year are 1) the in-season injuries, 2) not having Bautista. With many of our injured guys back, Eflin filling in for one of the injured SP spots, and Bautista missing last year's postseason anyways, those two things aren't differences in October.  So, I think the "maybe we can go on a run like Texas" emphasis comes from watching the team struggle for two months. Not because they are only good enough if they get get hot. I think on top to bottom talent it is still them and the Yankees as the two best teams in the AL. NYY, Cleveland, and Houston will not be happy if Baltimore shows up on their schedule and will be relieved if KC gets through. 
    • DRS is part of dWAR, the part that’s unadjusted for difficulty of position, and expressed in runs, not wins.   If I wanted to know how good Cowser was as a LF, I’d never look at dWAR, I’d look at his DRS as a LF (he also played CF).   Honestly, I kind of wish BB-ref wouldn’t even publish dWAR, since it’s misinterpreted so often.  You could calculate the Fsbgraphs equivalent of dWAR, but they don’t publish it, so nobody ever mentions it.   But anyway, I agree that the best approach is to look at all the metrics and not adhere slavishly to any one of them.  And, I agree completely with your sssessment of Cowser.  I love his range, and he gets excellent jumps, but I hope he spends a lot of time this winter working on the accuracy of his throws, which is quite subpar.     
    • It’s possible but I think he is also your Mateo pinch runner guy. In other words, I think they will save him until the end of the game just in case they need his speed.
    • Will he get 1 PA in the ALWC series? To put flesh on the bones, say against Lucas Erceg on for a Save at James McCann's spot in the lineup. He is behind all of O'Hearn, Mountcastle and Kjerstad probably on the depth chart, but if you get Ragans out by the 5th or 6th they could all be used before the endgame.
    • The race is close enough that the run environment should be a factor. In the steroid era or bouncy ball 2019, 15 W/3.50 ERA might be a much better performance than a .242 AVG/24 HR/good defense. Which is more impressive in light-hitting 2024? The whole league hit .243 this year, tied with 2022 as the lowest since... 1968.  I'd probably vote for Gil but I kinda feel like Cowser will win it in a close race. And I'm not sure NY bias is a thing in awards voting anymore with the more online media landscape and more stat-educated voters. When's the last time a NY player won an end of season award they didn't deserve? 
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...