Jump to content

Mariners looking to trade pitching for hitting?


Sports Guy

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, 7Mo said:

SEA is really struggling at second. I'm sure they would want Ortiz+. No idea how much more. 

I would rather send them Norby. 
 

A reunion with Frazier for the right now and Norby for the future?
 

Get it done Elias. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Bryan Woo is getting a lot of shutdown attention from workload watchers.

His 2021 draft year was only 28 innings, and during our recent Mariners series I heard their hometown announcers lauding their algorithms for finding a gem based on pitch characteristics despite a small college workload and bad ERA.

He went to the Arizona Fall League in 2022 to get to 67 innings total last year.

He's at 73 between AA and MLB year to date, with his turn up tonight in Houston.     He looks like a good pitcher.

https://www.si.com/fannation/mlb/fastball/news/seattle-mariners-likely-to-shut-down-young-pitcher-bryan-woo-in-second-half

General manager Justin Hollander has already alluded to the likelihood Woo will be shut down altogether at some point during the second half, adding "we're not just purely measuring innings; we're measuring stressful innings, how hard they're working in any given outing."

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, Billy F-Face3 said:

I guess the Cardinals aren't looking to trade any of their pitchers if they're already looking to acquire starting pitchers.

Montgomery is likely gone after the season…and Hicks is also a FA.

Trading rentals is always on the table.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I would guess at the Gilbert-Kirby level, they are only asking at the Cowser-Kjerstad-Mayo level for a centerpiece, and we're the ones fleshing out a package.

Bryce or Woo might be more Westburg-y.

But I think these kind of dangles, DiPoto isn't quitting on Julio's 2023 yet.     They have these talented pitchers who perhaps aren't sturdy enough to do their craft to Halloween in some cases.     A team like the Cardinals with little care for the rest of 2023 will probably profile as a more natural partner.

DiPoto dipped into his Arms and was willing to pay Teoscar half a season ago...Arenado or Goldschmidt is probably on his wishlist here.     Maybe also clearing a role on the team for an enthusiastic Ohtani pitch.

To some extent how DiPoto (or Kim Ng) do relative to Elias in the next 1-18 months is a bit of a measurement which GM put a lot of eggs in a more valuable sector.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Just Regular said:

I would guess at the Gilbert-Kirby level, they are only asking at the Cowser-Kjerstad-Mayo level for a centerpiece, and we're the ones fleshing out a package.

Bryce or Woo might be more Westburg-y.

But I think these kind of dangles, DiPoto isn't quitting on Julio's 2023 yet.     They have these talented pitchers who perhaps aren't sturdy enough to do their craft to Halloween in some cases.     A team like the Cardinals with little care for the rest of 2023 will probably profile as a more natural partner.

DiPoto dipped into his Arms and was willing to pay Teoscar half a season ago...Arenado or Goldschmidt is probably on his wishlist here.     Maybe also clearing a role on the team for an enthusiastic Ohtani pitch.

To some extent how DiPoto (or Kim Ng) do relative to Elias in the next 1-18 months is a bit of a measurement which GM put a lot of eggs in a more valuable sector.

Yea the names like Walker and Gorman are being thrown around.  Now, I don’t know if the Cards are looking to move them but those are the names being talked about.

Now, maybe Woo or Miller would be less or maybe they will be interested in established guys that can help now. 
 

Would they be interested in a package of Urias or Frazier, Hays or Santander, Stowers and Norby?  I tend to doubt it but it depends on how much value they are putting on guys that are established that can help now.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

51 minutes ago, Billy F-Face3 said:

You're nuts.

I don't know that I'm a believer in Austin Hays. His BABIP this year is .387 and he's often injured and often struggles coming back from injuries. Plus he's about to start costing more money in arbitration.

If his 2021/2022 is more of an indicator of his true talent, and you can find a team that believes this isn't just a career year for him, I'd send him packing for pitching. At that point he's basically a 2-win OF and I'm sure we can mostly replace that internally.

As for Santander he was basically replacement level/slightly above until last year. We have better defensive options, and he only has one relatively expensive year left before free agency.

Losing either player would be taking a hit this year, but if it allowed us to acquire multiple years of MLB starting pitching through a trade, I'd send one, maybe both of them out.

  • Upvote 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Billy F-Face3 said:

You're nuts.

No he's not.

If you could trade either Hays or Santandar in a package for a SP that's better than any of our current guys, then you make that trade. Kjerstad is waiting in the wings to step into an OF spot vacated by that trade.

Edited by bluedog
  • Upvote 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, bluedog said:

No he's not.

If you could trade either Hays or Santandar in a package for a SP that's better than any of our current guys, then you make that trade. Kjerstad is waiting in the wings to step into an OF spot vacated by that trade.

Not to mention, I would rather keep the better prospects that are cheaper, younger and will have a lot of team control.

There won’t be a “team WAR” drop off because of the increase in pitching.

Seattle’s OF production this year hasn’t been good and DH and 1st base hasn’t been that good either.

The “right now” production that Hays and/or Santander can bring them could be very valuable to them as they try to get back into the playoffs.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Posts

    • Basallo is currently ranked 69th in OPS at AA, which includes stats from people that are no longer at that level (including those that were demoted, promoted, etc.).  Average age of players above Basallo: 24 He's the youngest. But here's the breakdown of those above him (minimum 50 PA): 20: 3 21: 9 22: 10 23: 10 24: 11 25: 15 26: 7 27: 1 28: 2 OPS by age group for everybody that qualifies in PA (at least 50): (ref: https://milbtracker.com/hitter-stats?levels[0]=AA&sort=ops&sort_direction=desc&org=&timeframe=2024&min_walk_percentage=0&max_strike_out_percentage=100&paginate=50&page=1) AGE OPS 18 0.544 19 0.800 20 0.747 21 0.734 22 0.701 23 0.677 24 0.664 25 0.682 26 0.682 27 0.620 28 0.686 29 0.652 30 0.588 31 0.676 Breakdown by age: AGE COUNT PERCENTAGE 18 1 0.22% 19 1 0.22% 20 7 1.56% 21 31 6.92% 22 55 12.28% 23 83 18.53% 24 86 19.20% 25 88 19.64% 26 51 11.38% 27 21 4.69% 28 7 1.56% 29 11 2.46% 30 3 0.67% 31 3 0.67% I mean, 90% of the league is aged 21-27 with 60% of the league being aged 23-25.  Basallo is putting up a comparable OPS to the upper echelon of hitters overall. And is OPSing better than *every age group* on average!  The kid is special. At age 20, Gunnar put up an 826 OPS across A, A+, AA. At age 18, Basallo put up a 953 OPS across A, A+, AA.
    • I don't agree at all. In the majors maybe, but not in AAA. Just my opinion. 
    • Oops missed your reference.  I agree it’s a great article. 
    • From a great analytics article on Mayo and Holliday in Baseball America.  I don’t want to paste too much more because we should encourage this type of work.  https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/coby-mayo-jackson-holliday-headline-10-statcast-standouts/ This is hopefully the last time that I’ll be writing about Mayo (hopefully he’ll be in the majors soon), so let’s dive even deeper and break down his analytical metrics vs both RHPs and LHPs, beginning with RHPs, as that’s his tougher matchup as a righty bat.   If you want to read these charts at a glance, go to the bottom row where it says “All Pitches” and scan for gold. The darker the gold, the better, the more purple, the worse the metric is. You can then scan up and see how that looks when broken into a smaller piece, such as sliders. All numbers are relative to the MLB average, so that you can easily see if he’s above average at something, with the caveat that this is against Triple-A pitching. Let’s go back to the analytical check boxes. When we talk about chase rates, we’re mostly concerned about chasing breaking balls (sliders, sweepers and curves) as well as offspeed pitches (changeups and splitters). The previous charts strongly suggested he was going to shine in that respect. Indeed he does, with minuscule chase rates against non-fastballs. This is a huge box to check. It demonstrates his tremendous approach at the plate, even against the harder matchup. He’s also able to avoid swing and miss against breaking balls the few times he does chase. For Zone Contact, I usually key in on the fastballs. That’s the pitch pitchers will typically use to attack hitters in the zone. Here again, we see more gold coloring, indicating Mayo has no trouble getting to above-average bat-to-ball ability in the zone. Now what makes Mayo an outstanding hitting prospect is his rare ability to make hard contact in the air. Against righties, he shows a remarkable ability to lift nearly every pitch type (including fastballs, which have a higher baseline launch angle), and does so with authority. I look through a lot of data, and I can’t think of another prospect that makes this much contact, with this much power, and also hits the ball in the air.   If you thought his metrics against righthanders were good, they’re even better when he has the matchup advantage against lefties, with perhaps a touch too much chase sliders. We see an incredible average exit velocity of 96.1 mph, which is borderline elite, and fully backed up by his elite 90th percentile ext velocities. At the risk of beating the same drum again, we see much the same story, an extremely potent analytical profile, where we have to zoom in on a subset to find something that Mayo isn’t (yet) excelling at. If he can replicate these kind of exit velocities and launch angles against major league lefties, he’ll be hitting a lot of home runs.
    • I want them ALL to do well. I have no ill will towards any Oriole or prospect. Lifelong fan and current plan holder. I want EVERYTHING to work out in our favor. I know little to nothing about Basallo except for what I read online and what I can glean from his stats, which is obviously not the whole story/picture. Hence the original post full of questions about him. Sorry you seem bothered by it all, but do you have any thoughts to share on Basallo? Or any responses to any of the 6 questions I asked in the original post? Or did you just get it all of your chest with that single, insightful comment?  
    • .500 OBP is much more valuable than a .500 Slug
    • Why not see how much someone like Jameson Taillon would cost prospect wise? $17 million a year for a decent pitcher isn't horrendous. 
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...